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All Betting Tips and Odds Prices Articles
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» April 19th, 2006
BLUES CAN BREAK RED BLOCKADE AT bet365's 11/10
Chelsea v Liverpool
Sa Apr 22 – 5.15 pm ko (BBC1)
As usual with these two teams, a tight low-scoring game looks on the cards, but its Chelsea who are fancied to prevail at the bet365 price of 11/10 (Liverpool 12/5, 2/1 the Draw). That doesn't look a bad price considering that Chelsea have won five of the last nine encounters in the last two seasons, compared to the Red's solitary triumph in May 2005, and they probably have more potential match winners on the pitch than Liverpool. Of course, the Reds won't be easy to break down at Old Trafford, but Chelsea are fancied to nick his by one goal and progress to the final.
In the bet365 First Goalscorer market, the in-form Didier Drogba gets the nod at 5/1, especially as they'll give you your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead. It's not difficult to envisage this game being really tight leading up to the interval, so the same firm's 4/1 about the Draw / Chelsea double result market also looks tempting. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out their Live In-Play Console, which offers up to 14 dynamic markets on the game.
Live Game Picks:
Chelsea @ 11/10
Didier Drogba to score first @ 5/1
Draw / Chelsea @ 4/1
BORO TO NAIL HAMMERS AT 13/10
Middlesbrough v West Ham
Su Apr 23 – 4.00 pm ko (SS1)
Not forgetting the 'other' semi final, which promises to be at least as entertaining as the match at Old Trafford, with both teams likely to go for each other's throats straight from the whistle. Both teams are much better going forward than they are sitting back, which should give the neutrals amongst us plenty of excitement, and a decent bet to boot in the shape of over 2.5 goals at 10/11. Both sides have averaged two goals per game in the FA Cup this season, and this game is likely to be no exception. As for the winner, Boro just get the nod at 13/10, with their quality winger James Morrison a good shout to score first at bet365's 11/1 (3/1 Anytime).
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.90
James Morrison to score first @ 11/1
IT'S ALL IN THE STARS AT 8/1 FOR SCOTTISH NATIONAL
This weekend, the flat takes a back seat as the jumpers are in action up at Ayr for the last National of the season. It's been a tough season already for many of the runners in Saturday's Scottish National (3.30), so it should pay to stick with those runners who have had a relatively light campaign so far, and the Paul Keane-trained All In the Stars will be fresher than most. Connections have laid their horse out for the race all season after showing progressive form, and their decision to bypass Cheltenham and Aintree could reap dividends at a tasty bet365 price of 8/1. He's already shown that he's suited to a flat track and a test of stamina, and proved that he can mix it with the best over fences by slamming Vodafone Gold Cup winner Horus (3rd) at Wincanton last time out.
Scottish National Pick: All In the Stars @ 8/1
On the same card, Wellbeing looks a good bet to take the Scottish Champion Hurdle (2.50). He was top-class on the flat and, although he took a while to get the hang of things over jumps, his latest impressive Aintree win confirms him as a future star, and the 19lb rise in the weights is unlikely to stop him going in again. Jack The Giant was beaten a short head by the selection last time out at Newbury in receipt of just 5lb, and he looks the answer to the opening novice hurdle (1.50). As well as taking advantage of some cracking bets on the card, bet365 customers can go one better by having a free bet(s) on the live Channel 4 racing from Ayr and Newbury. Simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in a live Channel 4 race and they'll give you a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next bet365 Channel 4 Race.
GLOVER TO HUMBLE HIS RIVALS AT 28/1
Houston Open
Th Apr 20 – 21.00 (SS2)
Fr Apr 21 – 21.00 (SS2)
Sa Apr 22 – 20.00 (SS2)
Su Apr 23 – 20.00 (SS2)
This week's event is being played on a brand new course (Redstone GC, Humble, TX), which unfortunately means there's no course form to go on. However, it's safe to assume that at just under 7,500 yards long, the course is going to suit the long-hitters, which is why the main pick this week is Lucas Glover (tenth in total driving this season). With four top-ten efforts and seven top-25 finishes in 11starts, Glover's had the 'winner waiting to happen' look for some time now and, at the bet365 price of 28/1, he has to be thereabouts.
Despite having no course form to go on, a good record in Houston is still desirable as it shows an ability to play in the prevailing course and weather conditions, and that means Gary Owen must come into the reckoning at a tasty bet365 price of 40/1. Last year's Houston Open represented his best chance to win on the Tour before the Bay Hill Invitational last month (finished fourth after holding the final round lead during the front nine), and a return to Houston should see him back into he mix. He's worth backing each-way in bet365's outright market, but mustn't be missed at 11/2 to be Top European.
At the same odds, the massive-hitting Camillo Villegas also makes plenty of appeal, having twice made the frame this year in his rookie year. He missed the cut last week at Hilton Head, where the emphasis was on accuracy off the tee, but this week's set-up will be much more to his liking. Don't forget, once the event tees off, bet365 will still be taking plenty of bets via their In-Play Console found on their homepage. The advice here is to back your selection before they reach the intimidating 15th, the longest of the par fives at a mere 607 yards!
The Houston Open Three Off The Tee... Lucas Glover @ 28/1 (19/1 EWO), Davis Love @ 16/1, Stewart Cink @ 20/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» April 20th, 2006
WIZARDS WIN DATE WITH CAVS BUT PISTONS ARE FAVS AT 11/10...
Washington beat Detroit 96-80 on the final day of the NBA regular season to clinch the No.5 seed, and will open the playoffs against the fourth-seeded Cleveland Cavaliers when post-season action begins on Saturday April 22nd. Meanwhile, the top-seeded Pistons (and bet365's Championship favourites at 11/10) will open Sunday night against the eighth seeds Milwaukee. In the West, Kobe Bryant scored 35 points to claim his first NBA scoring crown as the Lakers beat New Orleans 115-95 to enter the play-offs riding a five-game victory streak. The Lakers, back in the post-season after a one year absence, take on the Phoenix Suns in a first-round clash featuring two of the league's top MVP candidates, Bryant and Suns guard Steve Nash.
To celebrate the start of playoff action, bet365 are offering customers bonuses of up to 50% on their parlays. Plus, once the games tip-off, be sure to check out their live betting service, available through the In-Play console found on their homepage.
IT'S TOUGH AT THE TOP FOR JOHNSON
In bet365's Nextel Cup Championship betting, series leader Jimmie Johnson remains favourite at 4/1 but, after finishing out of the top-10 in two of his last three races, the pack are closing in on him. Four drivers, Matt Kenseth (11/2), Kasey Kahne (10/1), Mark Martin (12/1) and defending series champion Tony Stewart (6/1), are now within 100 points of the No.48 Hendrick Motorsports driver. Kenseth has had four top-three finishes in the last six events and is just 15 points behind, while Kahne joined Johnson as the only multiple winners this season after his victory in the Samsung/Radio Shack 500 on April 9th.
STEWART LOOKS FRESH AT bet365's 6/1
Subway Fresh 500, Phoenix International Speedway
Sa Apr 22 – 8:00 pm (FOX)
The next race is on Saturday night under the lights of the Phoenix International Speedway, and Tony Stewart is strongly fancied to win his second race of the season. Stewart is a previous winner at this track in 1999, and has fared well since with five top-10 finishes in eight starts. He gets the checkered flag this week at bet365's 6/1, with Matt Kenseth (7/1) the most likely driver to follow him down Victory Lane.
Nigel's Checkered Flag... Tony Stewart @ 6/1
BROTHER DEREK IS bet365's DERBY FAVOURITE AT 11/4
The 132nd running of the Kentucky Derby, otherwise known as the Run for the Roses, takes place at Churchill Downs on Saturday 6th May, and Brother Derek deserves his place at the head of the bet365 market at 11/4. The Dan Hendricks-trained front-running colt was a most impressive winner of the Santa Anita Derby on April 8th, looking value for more than his three-and-a-quarter-length victory. It is not easy to oppose him, but he won't have things all his own way out in front, and better value could be had by backing a couple against him.
Lawyer Ron, a 5/1 chance with bet365, has made great progress recently, winning his sixth successive race when cruising home in the Arkansas Derby last time out. He's bound to be popular on the day due to his trainer Bob Holthus' popularity in the area, and he could be challenging for favouritism on the day. Meanwhile, Sweetnorthernsaint is another going the right way after taking the Illinois Derby in some style, and there could be further improvement to come. He rates a sold each way bet at bet365's 7/1 (1/4 odds 1.2.3) for this ten furlong contest, although Tote customers are also assured of some extra value as the firm are adding bonus payments to all winning bets placed on the Tote board - 10% Win / Place / Show, 15% Exotics.
GLOVER TO HUMBLE HIS HOUSTON RIVALS AT 28/1
Th Apr 20 – 4:00 pm ET (USA)
Fr Apr 21 – 4:00 pm ET (USA)
Sa Apr 22 – 3:00 pm ET (CBS)
Su Apr 23 – 3:00 pm ET (CBS)
This week's event is being played on a brand new course (Redstone GC, Humble, TX), which unfortunately means there's no course form to go on. However, it's safe to assume that at just under 7,500 yards long, the course is going to suit the long-hitters, which is why the main pick this week is Lucas Glover (tenth in total driving this season). With four top-ten efforts and seven top-25 finishes in 11starts, Glover's had the 'winner waiting to happen' look for some time now and, at the bet365 price of 28/1, he has to be thereabouts.
Despite having no course form to go on, a good record in Houston is still desirable as it shows an ability to play in the prevailing course and weather conditions, and that means Gary Owen must come into the reckoning at a tasty bet365 price of 40/1. Last year's Houston Open represented his best chance to win on the Tour before the Bay Hill Invitational last month (finished fourth after holding the final round lead during the front nine), and a return to Houston should see him back into he mix. He's worth backing each-way in bet365's outright market, but mustn't be missed at 11/2 to be Top European.
At the same odds, the massive-hitting Camillo Villegas also makes plenty of appeal, having twice made the frame this year in his rookie year. He missed the cut last week at Hilton Head, where the emphasis was on accuracy off the tee, but this week's set-up will be much more to his liking. Don't forget, once the event tees off, bet365 will still be taking plenty of bets via their In-Play Console found on their homepage. The advice here is to back your selection before they reach the intimidating 15th, the longest of the par fives at a mere 607 yards!
The Houston Open Three Off The Tee... Lucas Glover @ 28/1, Gary Owen @ 40/1, Camillo Villegas @ 40/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» April 12th, 2006
UNITED QUICK OFF THE BLOCKS AT TASTY 2/1
Man United v Sunderland
Fr Apr 14 – 7.45pm ko (PremPlus)
Last week, we cashed in by taking the 11/10 on United to beat Arsenal, and the Red Devils can again be a route to profit when they play Sunderland on Good Friday. There is likely to be nothing 'good' for the Black Cats in this game, and a score line of 3-0 or even 4-0 (at 11/2 and 7/1 respectively) looks about right. However, a safer bet could be on United to score most of their goals in the first half at a very tasty bet365 price of 2/1. In their last four Premiership matches at home, nine of Man United's twelve goals have been scored in the first half, which underlines the fact that they are invariably quick off the blocks at the Theatre Of Dreams.
United to score most goals in first half @ 2/1
ROONEY 11/10 TO OUTSCORE OWEN IN GERMANY
In bet365's first goal scorer market on the game, Wayne Rooney is priced at 3/1 to open the scoring. Remember, bet365 will give you your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead, but there could be even better value in backing Cristiano Ronaldo at 11/2 (6/4 to score anytime), as the Portuguese playmaker's pace looks sure to exploit the Black Cats woeful defence. Looking further ahead to the World Cup and, after all that's been written over the past few days regarding a rift between Rooney and Michael Owen, bet365 make the United striker 11/10 to outscore his England strike partner in Germany.
TROTTERS CAN KEEP IT TIGHT AT 13/5
Bolton v Chelsea - Sunday April 9th, 4.00pm ko, live on Sky Sports 1.
This looks a particularly tough game to call, so the value could lie with backing the draw at bet365's 13/5. It's true that the Trotters appear to be going backwards, but they're particularly hard to break down at the Reebok – just ask Arsenal, Liverpool and Spurs - while Chelsea's away form has been decidedly shaky recently. The Blues have only beaten West Brom in their last seven away matches and, while that run includes the trip to Barca, they have also drawn away to Everton, Aston Villa and Birmingham, and lost to Fulham and Middlesbrough. All in all, this match looks sure to be tight and, while Chelsea are the most likely winners, the draw is the advice. Also, don't forget to check out bet365's 14 dynamic In-Play markets on this game (kick off 12.45pm).
Bolton to draw @ 13/5
HOME FORM MAKES ROVERS THE BET AT 9/4
Blackburn v Liverpool - Sunday April 16th, 2.30pm ko, live on Sky Sports 1.
In Sunday's meeting between Blackburn and Liverpool, the advice is again to oppose the visitors. Mark Hughes' side have already beaten both Arsenal and Man United at Ewood Park, and their two defeats came against mid-table Newcastle and Everton, showing that they're capable of producing their best performances against the better teams. They're worth a bet at 9/4, but have a saver on the 1-1 draw at 11/2 as, despite their impressive 11-3-2 home record, they invariably concede a goal per game.
However, the bet of the weekend has to be on Rovers getting a quarter-ball start (currently 1.925), as you'll only lose if Liverpool win the game. bet365's Asian Handicap betting consistently provides excellent value as they bet to 102%, while their Premiership Accumulator Bonus pays out up to 60% more on accas including top-flight teams. Why go anywhere else for your footy bets!
Live Game Picks:
Blackburn @ 9/4
Blackburn to Draw @ 11/2
Blackburn (+1/4) @ 1.925
NATIONAL SCARE FOR BET365
As always, the Grand National was a thriller, and for bet365, it was very nearly an expensive one! Joint favourites Clan Royal (5/1) and Hedgehunter (5/1) had been well-backed throughout the week and both had a chance of glory coming off the final fence. However, the strong running of Numbersixvalverde (11/1) saved the day, although there were lots of winning each-way bets after the joint favourites came home 2nd and 3rd! A fifth-placed finish for Risk Accessor (66/1) was also great news for the bet365 customers who backed the fifth horse past the post in the big race – as they got paid out at 1/4 odds thanks to bet365's generous place terms.
DOIRE A DUN DEAL AT 3/1
The National hero could bid to complete back-to-back victories in the Irish equivalent at Fairyhouse on Easter Monday (3.50). However, he'll do well to beat the improving seven-year-old, Dun Doire, whose rating wasn't big enough for him to get into the National, but whose connections will be eyeing his prize as some sort of compensation. A bet365 price of 3/1 might not seem that generous considering the competitive nature of the race, but there's likely to be even more to come over this stamina-sapping trip of 3m 5f. If he runs to form, he's almost sure to win, but best of the rest could be Our Ben (14/1). Willie Mullins' novice has enjoyed a good season, and will be fresher than most having not run since falling, uncharacteristically, in the Royal & Sun Alliance Chase at the Festival.
Irish Grand National Picks: Dun Doire @ 3/1 & Our Ben @ 14/1 (Each-way 1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4)
RED CAN BE EASTER DELIGHT
Regular bet365 customers will be aware by now that they've replicated their popular Channel 4 offer to include two Feature races every day. To take advantage, simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in a bet365 Feature race and they'll give you a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next bet365 Feature Race. Why go anywhere else for your horse racing bets? Of course, the offer still applies to all Channel 4 races, which means that there are potentially seven free bets this weekend at Kempton, Haydock and Carlisle.
At the former track, the Ed Dunlop-trained Red Racketeer looks the one to pay for the Easter expenses by winning the Rosebery Handicap (3.15). The trainer can do no wrong at the moment, and the selection should be primed to win at the first time of asking this season. In the 2.45 race, a big field looks assured but it could pay to stick with those who have already run this year, and the improving Ludovico looks capable of landing his hat-trick here against some ring-rusty rivals.
EBDON RIGHT ON CUE AT 28/1
WORLD CHAMPIONSHIP - Live on BBC Interactive
starting Saturday, April 15th – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE
After the Masters and the Grand National, another great betting event cues off this Saturday 15th April, as the Snooker World Championships gets under way in Sheffield. For the next 17 days, bet365's snooker punters, who are now deprived for all but 9 weeks of the year, will get to feast on a massive range of pre-match markets and drool over our live In-Play service, which sees prices changing in real-time and (thanks to the BBC's interactive service) covers every game in progress. But after last year's shock winner Shaun Murphy at 150/1, who's going to have the nerves to win in the City of Steel?
The draw has been kind to the defending champion Shaun Murphy, who has a couple of straightforward-looking opening games, and he looks assured of at least getting through to the quarter finals. However, at this stage, he could well surrender his crown to 2001 champion Peter Ebdon. Like Murphy, Ebdon has hardly been setting the green baize alight this year, but he always comes into his own in these longer pressure cooker matches and, as clearly the second-best player in his quarter. He looks great each-way value at bet365's 28/1 (over four times the price of Murphy at 13/2), especially considering the indifferent form of some of the world's top players going into this event.
If Ebdon gets to the semi's he'll face the winner of a very tough quarter to call, with either Ken Doherty or Crucible specialist Matthew Stevens his most likely opponents. However, the best strategy is to avoid these players until we know who's emerged, and the second selection is a player from the top-half of the draw. Steven Maguire came into this event last year as world No.3 and left with his reputation intact after losing a classic opener 10-9 to O'Sullivan. His form this year has not been great (hence his generous bet365 odds of 14/1), but he's likely to come here well-prepared, and has a couple of easy matches to play himself into form.
World Championship Picks: Peter Ebdon @ 28/1 & Steven Maguire @ 14/1
STICK WITH IN-FORM OLAZABAL AT 18/1
VERIZON HERITAGE
Starting April 13th - Live on Sky all four days, starting 9.00pm
This week, we're going to play-up some of our winnings from Jose Maria Olazabal (Each-way at 28/1 and Top European at 5/1) in bet365's outright market at 18/1. That's not a bad price considering that only one of the world's top-5 is in opposition this week, and that Ollie is such great form right now, coming off the back of successive each-way finishes and a top-10 in the Players' Championship. Of course, there's a danger in siding with players who had a hard week in the Masters, but The Spaniard was only in contention for a few holes late on Sunday and, besides, every Heritage winner since 1969 has been won by a player coming on from Augusta.
Olazabal aside, that just leaves another 34 players to choose from (!), but we can whittle this list down to a more manageable size by concentrating on course form and no-one jumps off the page more than Davis Love III. The North Carolina native has had a love affair (sorry) with this event, having won it five times and, for once, he's not favourite to win this week (that honour goes to the shaky Ernie Els at 9/1). That's because his best form this year has come in matchplay, but such is his record here that he simply has to go into the staking plan at a tasty bet365 price of 16/1. The final selection goes to Stewart Cink at bet365's 20/1. Cink is a dual-winner here, and played well for tenth place at the Masters (without being in the heat of battle), his third top-15 of the year.
Don't forget, once the event tees off, you'll still be able to get a bet on at bet365 via their In-Play Console found on the homepage. The advice here is to back your selection before they reach the short 14th, as this was the toughest hole last year, averaging almost half a stroke over par.
The Verizon Heritage Three Off The Tee...Jose Maria Olazabal @ 18/1 (19/1 EWO), Davis Love @ 16/1, Stewart Cink @ 20/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
MICKELSON 150/1 TO MATCH TIGER'S SLAM
After his victory in the Masters, bet365 are now quoting Phil Mickelson at 150/1 to go on to complete the Grand Slam, and at 66/1 to emulate Tiger Woods by holding all four Majors at the same time - which he will do if he adds the US Open and the Open to his current collection of the US PGA and Masters. Since an indifferent start to the year by his standards, Mickelson has become the punters pal after hosing-up in Atlanta and now in Augusta, and is sure to attract plenty of support for the US Open, for which he gets a 6/1 quote from bet365. He's also now 10/3 second favourite to win the US Money List, behind favourite Tiger Woods at 8/15.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» April 6th, 2006
THE MASTERS – BIG ONE OR BIG FIVE?
Th Apr 6 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)
Fr Apr 7 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)
Sa Apr 8 – 3:30 pm EST (CBS)
Su Apr 9 – 2:30 pm EST (CBS)
Enhanced bet365 odds of 11/4 on Tiger for the Masters anyone? Those odds would have looked very generous a couple of months ago after Tiger's sensational start to the year, but the World No.1 may pull out at any stage to be with his ailing father and, even if he does play, his mind could be elsewhere this week. So, at the odds, he's reluctantly passed over, but we needn't go too far down the bet365 betting list for the winner.
The recent changes to Augusta, which have seen it lengthened to over 7,400 yards, have certainly played into the hands of the big hitters, and the 'Big Five' have one important common factor – length off the tee. Therefore, it's likely that a permutation of Woods, Singh, Mickelson, Goosen and Els will be dominating the leader board come Sunday, but that's only what we've come to expect in the Majors. In the last 25, Woods has 15 finishes in the top-10, Els, Singh and Mickelson each has 14, while Goosen has nine top-10's, and the latter gets the outright pick this week at bet365's Enhanced Win Only price of 10/1.
TOP GOOSEN AT 10/1
After a light schedule at the start of the year, the 'Goose' looks to have timed his run to perfection. A superb second in the Players', where he was only beaten by an inspired Ames, was then followed by a solid fourth-place finish at last week's Bell South. His performance there was no surprise as he's a past winner at Sugarloaf in 2002 and, ominously, that was followed by a second-place finish in the Masters. In fact, his four-year Masters record is superb - 3rd, 13th, 13th and 2nd – and more importantly, he's a superb putter (6th in best putting stats for this season), so he looks sure to give you a good run for your money this week.
OLAZABAL SUPERIOR AT 28/1
Yet, although length off the tee is now a massive advantage here, there's still more to playing Augusta than brute strength. The same group of players tend to do well here year in year out, including Jose Maria Olazabal, who's playing some of the best golf of his career right now. The two-time Masters winner arrives here in top form after two runner-up finishes already in 2006 and, providing he can cope with the changes, he has the superior course knowledge to compete once again. He looks a solid each way bet at bet365's 33/1 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5), and a shoe-in for Top European at 5/1 - an honour he's claimed on three occasions in the past.
Top European – Olazabal @ 5/1
200/1 TAYLOR TO ENJOY HOME ADVANTAGE
If you're looking for a long-shot, then Vaughn Taylor could be the one at a massive 200/1 with bet365. He hits it miles, he's a very useful putter, and is a Georgia resident, so will enjoy home advantage this week. Ok, he's unlikely to be wearing the green jacket come Sunday, but he's certainly worth a bet at 100/1 in bet365's Top American market, as he might not even have to finish in the frame for you to collect. He also reached a land-mark birthday of 30 on March 9th, and that was promptly followed by his best finish in a full-field event this year (8th at the Players'), and there could be better to come.
Top American – Vaughn Taylor @ 100/1
BETTING AUGUSTA IN-PLAY
Of course, some of you may wish to wait until after the first round (or even later) to see who's playing well before placing your bets, and there's a certain logic to that policy. This brutal course is certainly not one on which you can play catch-up so, when placing your bets via our Live In-Play Console, it's worth bearing this in mind. Although its 21 years since the first round leader came through to triumph, the winner has come from the last group out in the final round for the last 15 years. Also, betting In-Play demands that you remember that, on the back nine, the two par five's at the 13th and 15th have always yielded plenty of birdies and eagles, so players are generally best backed before they play these holes.
The Masters Three Off The Tee... Retief Goosen @ 10/1 (EWO), Jose Maria Olazabal @ 28/1, Vaughn Taylor @ 200/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
JUNIOR BACK ON TRACK AT 10/1
Samsung Radio Shack 500, Texas Motor Speedway
Su Apr 9 – 1:30 pm EST (FOX)
After two consecutive weeks of short track racing, the Nextel Cup Series travels to the high-speed, 1.5 mile Texas Motor Speedway. Along with Atlanta, the Fort Worth track sees some of the fastest speeds in the Series. Kasey Kahne won that race in Atlanta, and he must be top of any short-list of drivers to win this week. The two tracks are very similar in size, distance, banking and width. However, picking the winner this week is not that simple, as there is an even bigger (like most things in Texas) pool of candidates to win this week, so we'd be looking for bigger odds than the current 11/2 on Kahne.
Fortunately, at bet365, there are plenty of possible winners that fall into the 10/1 and over price range, including Dale Earnhardt Jr, who came out of the two-race short track schedule with respectable finishes of 4th and 11th. Junior is now sixth in the standings, just 50 points out of second place, and has had very good success at Texas, where he won his first race Cup race in 2000. He was also third in Atlanta this season, so he looks a good each-way bet at bet365's 12/1.
Mark Martin was one place ahead of Junior in Atlanta, and finished second in the last Texas race, so his chances are at least on a par with the rest of his Roush team-mates - Matt Kenseth (8/1), Greg Biffle (6/1), and Carl Edwards (8/1) – but his odds are more generous. A bigger long shot this week could be Robby Gordon, after his great run at Atlanta. As the checkered flag waved, the necessary fuel stop turned a potential victory into a 28th-place finish, which was hardly a reflection of his commanding performance displayed throughout the 500-mile event. He was a 125/1 shot that week and, while those sort of odds have gone, the 50/1 with bet365 looks worth taking.
Nigel's Checkered Flag … Dale Earnhardt Jr @ 12/1 & Robby Gordon @ 50/1 (Each-way 1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4)
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» April 5th, 2006
GRAND NATIONAL HIGH FIVE FOR bet365
If recent money at bet365 is anything to go then the 2006 Grand National result will read, Clan Royal first, Garvivonnian second. The latter has been well-backed all week and is now 16/1 from 20/1, while Jonjo O'Neil's runner looks sure to go off favourite – currently 5/1 joint with Hedgehunter. Garvivonnian landed the Becher Chase back in November, the form of which amounts to little, but at least it shows he can handle the National fences. His latest run behind Forget The Past has been franked by the winners' run in the Gold Cup, and he must have sound each way prospects, especially as we're paying out down to five places here at bet365.
bet365 – each way 1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5 on the Grand National!
5/1 ROYAL – THIRD TIME LUCKY ?
As for Clan Royal, it could be a case of third time lucky in the National for the eleven-year-old, but he now looks very short in the betting considering his tendency to pull hard in his races. Besides, it's debatable whether he would have beaten impressive winner Hedgehunter last year if he hadn't been carried out by a loose horse, so there has to be better value further down the bet365 betting list.
BOTTOM WEIGHTS ARE BEST
At this stage, with a maximum field of 40, there are still doubts over whether several fancied horses will get a run. Still, we can back our selections with confidence here at bet365, as we're non-runner no bet on the big race - why go anywhere else for your National bets! Although the race is attracting more quality horses these days, the race traditionally favours horses carrying less than 11 stone (bet365 go 3/1 that the winner carries 11st or above), and the two that stand out near the bottom of the weights are Direct Access (25/1) and Ross Comm (20/1).
The former was last seen when winning the Rehearsal Chase back in December (jumped well), but has a great record fresh and a Grand National winning jockey to boot in Tony Dobbin. He looks sure to run well, while the Sue Smith-trained Ross Comm must also come into the reckoning after bouncing back to form last time out over a barely adequate 2m 4f at Bangor. The gelding was also travelling sweetly when falling at the 16th in the Hennessey in November, and will have the services of the talented Dominic Elsworth in the saddle, who rode a winner for the in-form stable at Kelso on Monday.
Grand National Picks:
Garvivonnian @ 16/1
Ross Comm @ 20/1
Direct Access @ 25/1
GINGER 20/1 FOR NATIONAL GRAND FINALE
As well as offering outstanding each way terms on the big race (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5, worth repeating!), bet365 have also wasted no time in pricing up a whole gamut of 'Race Specials'. They were originally 3/1 that there would be a fifth Irish-trained winner of the race in eight years, but that's been now been cut to 2/1 (still a decent shout when you consider what they've got running!), but you can still have 20/1 about the soon-to-be-retiring Aintree legend Ginger McCain training a fifth National winner. His best shot looks to be the recently acquired Inca Trail who could surprise a few people by running well at the current bet365 price of 50/1. In the same market, the seven-strong Paul Nicholls is a 4/1 shot to train the winner, while you can have 6/1 that all the runners negotiate the first fence. Good luck.
UNITED WORTHY FAVOURITES AT EVENS
Man United v Arsenal
Su Apr 9 – 4.00 pm ko (SS1)
Let's hope we don't see a repeat of the boring 0-0 draw at Highbury, or the Cup Final for that matter, but that's unlikely with both teams bang in form and looking like they could beat anyone right now. Of course, Arsenal have a trip to Europe in midweek to worry about, and the result there could influence this game. If they lose to Juventus, their confidence is bound to be affected, but there's nothing to affect United's confidence right now, and they look a worthy favourite for the game at bet365's Evens (11/4 Arsenal, 11/5 the Draw).
The Red Devils have won eight games on the spin and, with home field advantage in front of 70,000 fans believing their team can still win the Premiership, you have to fancy United to win. It won't be my much, so we'll also be backing them to win by one goal at 11/4 – the 1-0 correct score pays out better at 6/1, while Louis Saha has to be the bet at 4/1 to score first, as he's playing our of his skin right now. Remember, if he scores the last goal in the game instead, bet365 will give you your money back. Also, don't forget to check out bet365's 14 dynamic In-Play markets on this game (kick off 4.00pm).
Live Game Picks:
United to beat Arsenal @ Evens
United to win by one goal @ 11/4
United to win 1-0 @ 6/1 / Saha to score first @ 4/1 – Scorecast pays out at 20/1
MANCINI BACKED AS INTER CRASH OUT
bet365's Next Manager markets always create massive interest, and it's not unusual to see several gambles before an appointment is made. The bet365 Next Newcastle Manager market is no exception. The latest gamble has seen Inter boss Roberto Mancini slashed into 9/2 from an earlier 33/1 (one punt of £500 at 6/1), after his team were knocked out of the champions League by Villarreal, and he could well be looking for a job over the summer.
6/4 POMPEY GOING THE RIGHT WAY
The battle to escape relegation from the Premiership is hotting-up, and one of the key games this weekend looks to be Portsmouth (6/4) at home to Blackburn (7/4, 11/5 the draw). Pompey are playing their way to Premiership safety after a third successive win at the weekend, and this is one of five remaining fixtures at home for them. Here at bet365, they've emerged as favourites (8/13) to win a three-horse race with Birmingham (1/2) and West Brom (1/4) for top-flight survival. And they could take all three points from Rovers, who are challenging for European football on their home form alone (lost five straight ways, before winning at Sunderland).
Portsmouth to beat Blackburn @ 6/4
O'LEARY 10/1 TO COME AWAY WITH NO POINTS
Birmingham are making a fight of it too, and will fancy their chances of landing the odds (14/5) at Wigan on Saturday. The Latics have only won one home game in their last six, but that's probably more to do with the quality of their opposition, and Birmingham just don't compare to the likes of West Ham, United, Liverpool and Blackburn. Back Wigan to win at 10/11, and have a few quid on West Brom at 3/1 to beat a Villa side who were woeful against Arsenal last time. Here at bet365, we go 10/1 that Villa take no points from their forthcoming Birmingham derbies, and a defeat here (and against Birmingham on the 16th March), could see Doug Ellis joining an ever-growing list of people wearing “We're not fickle, we just don't like you” badges!
Wigan to beat Birmingham @ 10/11
West Brom to beat Aston Villa @ 3/1
UP TO 60% MORE FOR YOUR HITTING YOUR ACCA THIS WEEKEND
As always, if you're thinking of having an acca on the footy this weekend, make bet365 your choice of bookmaker as they'll give you a), decent odds (bet to 107% on the Premiership, and b), a bonus of up to 60% on your acca if it includes all top-flight teams. This weekend's suggested acca involves United (Evens), Wigan (10/11), Portsmouth (6/4) and West Brom (3/1), and pays out just over £400 for a tenner, including a bet365 bonus of 5%. Good luck.
THE MASTERS – BIG ONE OR BIG FIVE?
Th Apr 13 – 21.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Apr 14 – 21.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Apr 15 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Apr 16 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Enhanced bet365 odds of 11/4 on Tiger for the Masters anyone? Those odds would have looked very generous a couple of months ago after Tiger's sensational start to the year, but the World No.1 may pull out at any stage to be with his ailing father and, even if he does play, his mind could be elsewhere this week. So, at the odds, he's reluctantly passed over, but we needn't go too far down the bet365 betting list for the winner.
The recent changes to Augusta, which have seen it lengthened to over 7,400 yards, have certainly played into the hands of the big hitters, and the 'Big Five' have one important common factor – length off the tee. Therefore, it's likely that a permutation of Woods, Singh, Mickelson, Goosen and Els will be dominating the leaderboard come Sunday, but that's only what we've come to expect in the Major's. In the last 25, Woods has 15 finishes in the top-10, Els, Singh and Mickelson each has 14, while Goosen has nine top-10's, and the latter gets the outright pick this week at bet365's Enhanced Win Only price of 10/1.
TOP GOOSEN AT 10/1
After a light schedule at the start of the year, the 'Goose' looks to have timed his run to perfection. A superb second in the Players', where he was only beaten by an inspired Ames, was then followed by a solid fourth-place finish at last week's Bell South. His performance there was no surprise as he's a past winner at Sugarloaf in 2002 and, ominously, that was followed by a second-place finish in the Masters. In fact, his four-year Masters record is superb - 3rd, 13th, 13th and 2nd – and more importantly, he's a superb putter (6th in best putting stats for this season), so he looks sure to give you a good run for your money this week.
OLAZABAL SUPERIOR AT 28/1
Yet, although length off the tee is now a massive advantage here, there's still more to playing Augusta than brute strength. The same group of players tend to do well here year in year out, including Jose Maria Olazabal, who's playing some of the best golf of his career right now. The two-time Masters winner arrives here in top form after two runner-up finishes already in 2006 and, providing he can cope with the changes, he has the superior course knowledge to compete once again. He looks a solid each way bet at bet365's 33/1 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5), and a shoe-in for Top European at 5/1 - an honour he's claimed on three occasions in the past.
Top European – Olazabal @ 5/1
200/1 TAYLOR TO ENJOY HOME ADVANTAGE
If you're looking for a long-shot, then Vaughn Taylor could be the one at a massive 200/1 with bet365. He hits it miles, he's a very useful putter, and is a Georgia resident, so will enjoy home advantage this week. Ok, he's unlikely to be wearing the green jacket come Sunday, but he's certainly worth a bet at 100/1 in bet365's Top American market, as he might not even have to finish in the frame for you to collect. He also reached a land-mark birthday of 30 on March 9th, and that was promptly followed by his best finish in a full-field event this year (8th at the Players'), and there could be better to come.
Top American – Vaughn Taylor @ 100/1
BETTING AUGUSTA IN-PLAY
Of course, some of you may wish to wait until after the first round (or even later) to see who's playing well before placing your bets, and there's a certain logic to that policy. This brutal course is certainly not one on which you can play catch-up so, when placing your bets via our Live In-Play Console, it's worth bearing this in mind. Although its 21 years since the first round leader came through to triumph, the winner has come from the last group out in the final round for the last 15 years. Also, betting In-Play demands that you remember that, on the back nine, the two par five's at the 13th and 15th have always yielded plenty of birdies and eagles, so players are generally best backed before they play these holes.
The Masters Three Off The Tee … Retief Goosen @ 10/1 (EWO), Jose Maria Olazabal @ 28/1, Vaughn Taylor @ 200/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» March 30th, 2006
GEORGE MASON 6/1 TO WIN THE WHOLE SHOOTIN' MATCH
This Saturday will see an enormous interest in the NCAA Final Four games. First up, George Mason will look to keep their Cinderella-story alive by advancing to the final as a No.11 ranked school against the powerful Florida team. If you watched George Mason beat Michigan State and North Carolina during the first week of the NCAA tournament, then nothing the Patriots did in Week 2 would have surprised you, including their giant-killing act over Connecticut. Now they are through to the one of the most wide open Final Four fields ever and, as none of the other semi finalists are nearly as imposing as UConn, who's to say they can't go all the way at the bet365 price of 6/1.
They'll be comfortable with their underdog tag for this Saturday's game against Florida, for which bet365 have Florida currently favoured by six points, while the Total Points has been set at 132.5 points. The bet365 money line has the Gators at 10/27, with the Patriots at 11/5. The game is due to start at 4.05pm ET, and we'll have live betting via our In-Play Console found on the homepage.
Live Game Pick: George Mason (+6.0) @ 10/11
bet365 CUSTOMERS SOLD ON TIGERS TOURNEY RUN
In the second game, two powerhouse schools clash, with both UCLA and LSU coming off big wins against No.1 seeds. UCLA beat Memphis in the Sweet Sixteen, while LSU brushed aside the mighty Duke in the round of 32 before narrowly beating Texas in OT. Those wins by the Tigers are more impressive than anything that UCLA has achieved in the competition, and they're a young team that just keeps getting better.
bet365 customers certainly agree, as we've seen a lot of early money for the Tigers, and the line for this game now has them favoured by 2 points, with the Total Points trading low at 121.5. The bet365 money line has the Tigers at 20/29, with the Bruins at 5/4. Again, we'll have live betting on this exciting match-up, so join us here at bet365 when the game starts at 8.45pm ET.
Live Game Pick: LSU (-2.0) @ 20/23
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
A $50 parlay on our 2 picks this weekend pays out $187.38, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%. Whether you're betting on NCAAB or NBA, you're assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus, which pays out up to 50% more on successful parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
KASEY KAHNE LOOKS BEST WITH bet365 AT 14/1
DirecTV 500, Martinsville Speedway
Su Apr 2 – 1:30 pm EST (FOX)
The NASCAR Nextel Cup Series heads to Virginia this Sunday, as drivers go head-to-head from Martinsville Speedway in the DirecTV 500. Like Bristol last week, Martinsville is another short track event where the cars must go slower and, as a result, the drivers feel more comfortable bumping into each other around the track. Last week, Kurt Busch used a bump on Matt Kenseth to race his way into the lead with four laps to go on Sunday and win the Food City 500. This week, there is even more emphasis on braking, so driver skill makes an even bigger difference to where the car ends up.
And, no driver has driven this track better in recent years than Jeff Gordon, and he's 4/1 favorite here a bet365 to win his fifth Martinsville race in seven years. Over his career, he's had twenty top-10 finishes here (14 top-5 finishes), and he's the one driver in the field who could still go close to winning in a lesser car than what he's got. He has to be top of any shortlist of drivers to win this week, but his team mate Jimmie Johnson (9/2) must also go close.
Johnson has finished no worse than 9th in his last seven races here and, after an awful run at Bristol that saw him drop into third place in the points, he should be primed to get things going again this week. Of the other current drivers, only Gibbs team mates Tony Stewart (7/1) and Bobby Labonte (33/1), Dale Jarrett (50/1), and Mark Martin (14/1) can boast of wins here, which shows just how good Jeff Gordon has been. If there is going to be a 'shock' winner, then Kasey Kahne could be the one at a standout bet365 price of 14/1. Kahne finished second in this race last year and, after five races this season, is in second place in the points standings. He's looking a much better driver of late and will be well up to the task of winning his second race of the season.
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Kasey Kahne @ 14/1
ROLLINS IS SWEET AT bet365's 40/1 FOR SUGARLOAF
Th Mar 30 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)
Fr Mar 31 – 4:00 pm EST (USA)
Sa Apr 1 – 3:00 pm EST (NBC)
Su Apr 2 – 3:00 pm EST (NBC)
This weekend, we'll be hoping to win some betting money for next week's Masters by finding the winner of the Bell South Classic. Hopefully, that should be easier than finding last week's 'shock' winner, Stephen Ames, who was a 100/1 shot pre-tournament and surprisingly easy to back In-Play here at bet365, until he turned the event into a procession in the final round.
He takes a well-earned break, but there's no such luxury for our main selection this week, John Rollins, who can be backed at a tasty 40/1 here at bet365. While last week's track at Sawgrass demanded accuracy off the tee, Sugarloaf, this week's port of call, is more suited to long hitters, and Rollins scores heavily there. He can also point to some good course form having finished top-six in 2002 and 2003, while his recent outings suggest that he's about to enter the winner's enclosure again. An eighth place a Sawgrass was his fourth good showing of the year, after a 4th at Torrey Pines, 5th in the Nissan and 15th at Scottsdale.
He's bound to put up a good show this week, and I've also got a sneaky feeling for Tag Ridings at a massive bet365 price of 100/1. We can ignore his last two missed cuts as they were at Bay Hill and the Players', and instead concentrate on his excellent 6th here last year (14th in 2004), and a superb 5th place finish at Doral this season. We'll also be having a saver on Retief Goosen at 15/2. While he'll no doubt have one eye on the Masters, it was only an inspired Ames that prevented him from winning last week and, with his game in such good nick, he'll be wishing that Augusta was this week. A good performance here will see his odds for the Masters trimmed and, as his record in the first Major of the year is so good, we'll also be backing him at 14/1 with bet365 to win there too. Check back next week for a full betting preview of the Masters.
Bell South Classic Three Off The Tee … John Rollins @ 40/1, Tag Ridings 100/1, Retief Goosen 15/2. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» March 29th, 2006
SHOW NO MERCY WITH REDS AT A TASTY 8/15
WBA v Liverpool
Sa Apr 1 – 5.15 pm ko (PremPlus)
If West Brom are to repeat last season's great escape, it must start here and now at the Hawthorns, but they can expect no mercy from Liverpool. The Reds have got Champions League football to secure for next season and, now that they've rediscovered their goal scoring touch, they can exploit any weaknesses in the Albion defence – and there are plenty.
Liverpool's seven-goal haul against Birmingham last week contrasts sharply with the Baggies recent draw against the same side, and another hatful could be on the cards here. Back the Reds with confidence at bet365's 8/15 and fill up on the 'Over' goals at a standout 21/20. Once the game kicks off, don't forget to check out our live markets (up to 14 available) via the In-Play Console on the bet365 homepage.
Live Game Picks:
Liverpool @ 8/15
Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20
BACK CHELSEA CLEAN SHEET AT 4/6
Liverpool go straight into our Premiership Acca this weekend, along with Chelsea to beat Birmingham at 3/10. That may be a no-brainer as far as the 90 minute market goes, but there are other less obvious betting opportunities on the clash here at bet365. After a recent 7-0 thrashing, everyone will be expecting the floodgates to open at St Andrews, but only one of the Birmingham's six Premiership home games since the turn of the year have produced more than two goals, while Chelsea don't score many on their travels. Only twice this season have they scored more than two goals, so there's more than a smidgeon of value in bet365's 'Under' price of 19/20. A safer bet is Chelsea to keep a clean sheet at 4/6, as Birmingham haven't scored in five of their last six meetings with Chelsea. The match kicks off at 12.45 (live on Sky Prem Plus), so bet365's live In-Play Console is well worth checking out.
Chelsea to keep a clean sheet @ 4/6 & Under 2.5 Goals @ 19/20
VILLA COULD SURPRISE AT 9/1
Everton's home game against Sunderland should be easy pickings for the Toffees. They may have been exposed by a 10-man Liverpool at Anfield, but they're unbeaten in four matches at Goodison Park. Take the 4/11 here at bet365, but be wary of backing Arsenal at 2/7 to beat Aston Villa. The Gunners record in domestic games close to Champions League games is poor, and Villa might come away from Highbury with one of their best results of the season – 9/1 to win, 4/1 to draw.
POMPEY ARE UP FOR IT AT 10/3
There are a couple of away teams that may pull off surprises at tasty prices this weekend, starting with Middlesbrough (12/5) at Man City. Premiership safety still isn't totally certain for Boro after Pompey's return to form, but one more win should do it, and that can come at the expense of their opponents. Stuart Pearce's side don't have much left to play for this season, and a pumped up Boro could be too good for them. Meanwhile, Portsmouth are finally looking serious about avoiding relegation, and that extra edge will make all the difference against a Fulham side who are going nowhere fast. They look a value bet at bet365's 10/3 to take all three points at Craven Cottage. We'll perm any one from the two in an Acca this weekend, knowing we're assured of some extra value with bet365's Premiership Bonus, which pays up to 60% more on such bets every weekend.
Premiership Acca: Middlesbrough / Portsmouth (perm 1 from 2); Liverpool, Chelsea and Everton – best return £309.19 (£25 stake), including a bet365 bonus of 5%
FREE BETS A FEATURE AT bet365
Last week's Lincoln tip, Cesare, was rather disappointing in the end, but neither the track nor the ground worked in his favour, so he's not one to give up on yet. Hopefully we'll return to winning ways this weekend and bag a free bet (or two) here at bet365, courtesy of their brand new racing offer. Normally, we'd have to wait until the Channel 4 cameras were in action to take advantage of bet365's 4/1 Offer, but we've now extended this to include two Feature races every day of the week. To take advantage, simply back a winner at 4/1 or more in a bet365 Feature race and we'll give you a free bet to the same stake on the next bet365 Feature Race.
KEEP HANNON'S ASSET ON YOUR SIDE
The best advice for the early weeks of the new flat season is to follow the trainers in form. Some trainers will have their horses fitter than others, and Richard Hannon is well-known for dealing with more forward types and, after some good results on the All-Weather recently, looks sure to get his turf campaign off to a flyer. During the past week, he's saddled three winners plus as many placed, and he could have the answer to Saturday's Easter Stakes (3.50) with his colt Asset. Hannon has a great record in this early season 'Classic' trial, and his runner looks to have all the credentials to win here after a creditable third to the top-class Opera Cape on his final appearance as a juvenile last year.
BACK RAJEEM TO RETURN IN TOP FORM
Clive Brittain is another trainer whose win-to-run ratio is better at this time of year, and his hat-trick seeking Rajeem could well play a leading role on her return to action in the earlier Masaka Stakes (2.45). She was last seen finishing strongly over this 1m trip at Newmarket last backend. The race is one of six shown live on Channel 4, so bet365 customers can take advantage of our 4/1 Offer, while they can also watch the race on their PC by betting £5 and clicking on the 'Live Stream' next to the race.
Weekend Flat Picks: Asset (3.50 Kempton) & Rajeem (2.45 Kempton)
LOG ON TO ROSS COMM FOR NATIONAL GLORY AT bet365'S 25/1
Not forgetting the jumps action this weekend and there's a cracking card at Uttoxeter where Vaughan in the novice hurdle and Wellbeing in the concluding handicap are the two main fancies. However, we've already got one eye on next week's Aintree meeting which gets under way on Thursday. Look out for bet365's two Feature Races each day, and check back next week for a full betting preview on the big race itself. If you're looking for an ante-post bet now, then Sue Smith's Ross Comm looks interesting at the current price of 25/1, especially as we're paying out on FIVE places! The grey is lightly raced for a ten-year-old and is on the upgrade judged on his win over a barely adequate 2m 4f at Bangor last Saturday. He looks to have a handy weight too off just 10st 5lb and, with bet365's non-runner no bet policy, you've also got the insurance that if he doesn't run for any reason, you'll get your money back.
Grand National Pick: Ross Comm @ 25/1 – Non-Runner No Bet (Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5)
ROLLINS IS SWEET AT 40/1 FOR SUGARLOAF
Bell South Classic
Th Mar 30 – 22.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Mar 31 – 22.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Apr 1 – 21.00 BST (SS2)
Su Apr 2 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
This weekend, we'll be hoping to win some betting money for next week's Masters by finding the winner of the Bell South Classic. Hopefully, that should be easier than finding last week's 'shock' winner, Stephen Ames, who was a 100/1 shot pre-tournament and surprisingly easy to back In-Play here at bet365, until he turned the event into a procession in the final round.
He takes a well-earned break, but there's no such luxury for our main selection this week, John Rollins, who can be backed at a tasty 40/1 here at bet365. While last week's track at Sawgrass demanded accuracy off the tee, Sugarloaf, this week's port of call, is more suited to long hitters, and Rollins scores heavily there. He can also point to some good course form having finished top-six in 2002 and 2003, while his recent outings suggest that he's about to enter the winner's enclosure again. An eighth place a Sawgrass was his fourth good showing of the year, after a 4th at Torrey Pines, 5th in the Nissan and 15th at Scottsdale.
He's bound to put up a good show this week, and I've also got a sneaky feeling for Tag Ridings at a massive bet365 price of 100/1. We can ignore his last two missed cuts as they were at Bay Hill and the Players', and instead concentrate on his excellent 6th here last year (14th in 2004), and a superb 5th place finish at Doral this season. We'll also be having a saver on Retief Goosen at 15/2. While he'll no doubt have one eye on the Masters, it was only an inspired Ames that prevented him from winning last week and, with his game in such good nick, he'll be wishing that Augusta was this week. A good performance here will see his odds for the Masters trimmed and, as his record in the first Major of the year is so good, we'll also be backing him at 14/1 with bet365 to win there too. Check back next week for a full betting preview of the Masters.
Bell South Classic Three Off The Tee... John Rollins @ 40/1, Tag Ridings 100/1, Retief Goosen 15/2. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» March 23rd, 2006
ALL FOUR NO.1’s ALIVE, FOR NOW
There have been only four instances when all four No. 1 seeds even reached the Elite Eight, never mind the Final Four, so the odds are heavily stacked Duke, Connecticut, Villanova and Memphis advancing en masse to Indy. Still, none of the four have relinquished the favorite’s role in their respective region so, going into the Sweet 16 stage, it’s conceivable that all four could make it. However, there is plenty of competition blocking their path. Follow (and bet) on all the live action via bet365’s ‘In-Play Console’, where the odds are constantly updating in real time.
On paper, none has it easier than bet365’s outright favorites, Connecticut (9/4). The Huskies don't have anyone seeded higher than fifth left between them and the Final Four. On the other hand, Villanova (7/1) look to have the toughest assignment. Should they beat Boston College, they’ll be up against either Florida or Georgetown. Memphis (8/1) won their first two games by the most points (32), and they’re solid favorites with bet365 to reach the last eight and face either No.2 seed UCLA or No.3 Georgetown, where anything can happen. Duke (9/2) always makes the Sweet 16, but don’t always make the Final Four, not even as a No.1 seed. Seven times in the previous eight tournaments, Duke has been top seed going into a regional, and it has come up short four times. History tells us that some combination of these top four seeds is going down short of Indy.
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
Why go anywhere else for your March Madness parlay wagers, as you’re assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP – COOL HAND LUKE IS BIG AT bet365’s 20/1
Th Mar 23 – 12:00 pm ET (ESPN)
Fr Mar 24 – 12:00 pm ET (NBC)
Sa Mar 25 – 2:00 pm ET (NBC)
Su Mar 26 – 1:30 pm ET (NBC)
The US Tour takes a big step-up in class this week, as the top golfers in the world tee up for the players Championship from Sawgrass, widely known as the 5th Major. Fortunately for golf fans (and punters), the event gets plenty of TV coverage, and perhaps as a result, there’s also plenty of betting opportunities here at bet365, including once the players tee off via our Live In-Play Console.
Naturally, when looking for the winner, the first place to look is at the head of the betting, but there are good grounds for avoiding the bigger names this week. Tiger may have won three times this year, but he’s not playing at his best right now, and nor are the likes of Els, Mickelson and Goosen. Of the ‘top five’, the one most likely to play his game this week is Vijay Singh, but his putting woes continue to make him opposable, so the value lies further down the bet365 betting list.
The omens are good for a European win this week and, in particular, Luke Donald, who looks to have all the credentials to win at the stand-out bet365 price of 20/1. The worry when supporting Donald is that he doesn’t have the length off the tee, but that’s no handicap on this relatively short course (just over 7,000 yards), which places more emphasis on accuracy off the tee. Just look at last years’ winner – Fred Funk – one of the shortest hitters on tour, but also one of the most accurate. He also dispelled any doubts about is temperament by leading from the front to land the Honda Classic a fortnight ago, and lost nothing in defeat when second here last year. The time is right for Donald to step another level his week, closely followed by Padraig Harrington and Robert Allenby.
Harrington has to be on any short-list this week. He has a cracking record in this event, with two runner-up spots in 2003 and 2004, and this year he’s been a quarter-finalist in the Matchplay, 26th at Doral and 16th in the Honda. He looks to be coming into form just at the right time, as is Allenby who was 4th last week at Bay Hill, and fourth here in 2003.
LEHMAN IS BEST OF THE YANKS AT 40/1
Even better value can be found in bet365’s speciality markets. The same names generally appear in the top-20 of the leaderboard year after year and, while they’re unlikely to come up trumps in the outright market, they’re going to give us a great run for our money in the ‘Top American’ market. In particular, Tom Lehman and Jerry Kelly stand out at 40/1 and 50/1 respectively. Lehman has an outstanding record here, including tied for second last year and, arguably, he’s in better form this time around. Kelly is another course specialist with three top-11 finishes in five years, so they must both be worth an interest this week.
Players Championship Three Off The Tee … Luke Donald @ 20/1, Padraig Harrington 33/1, Robert Allenby 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
12/1 BURTON BACK IN THE SADDLE
Ford City 500, Bristol Motor Speedway
Su Mar 26 – 1:30 pm ET (FOX)
A ticket to see Bristol races is like none other for NASCAR fans, and this weekend over 160,000 of them will cram into the Thunder Valley track in Tennessee for the spectacle that is the Ford City 500. It’s a special race, and it takes a special sort of driver to win here. Nice guys needn’t turn up, as there’s sure to be plenty of side-by-side racing, plenty of mangled sheet metal, and even more frayed tempers by the end of the weekend.
They don’t come much tougher than Kevin Harvick (12/1), and he finally came good in this race last year after starting from 43rd on the grid. However, that was after several near misses at Bristol, and he might not be the best bet to win this week. But watch out for his Childress team-mate Jeff Burton, whose strong run at the end of last year came under the fall lights at Bristol. That run has rolled into this year, and he finally ended his winning drought by taking the Busch race at Atlanta last week. At bet35’s 12/1, he looks a great each way shot this week.
However, there is a duo from another organization that needs looking at this week, because they probably should have swept the season here last year. Matt Kenseth (9/2) dominated the fall race to give car owner Jack Roush his seventh win at Bristol, while Greg Biffle (4/1) had some failed strategy in the late stages of the spring race to allow Harvick the win. Biffle finished ninth in the end, and went on to finish third in the fall race, so he’s a worthy favorite to win this week. Best of the bet365 long -shots could be Kenny Schrader at a massive 66/1 here at bet365. His No.21 Wood Brothers Ford has always performed well at Bristol.
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Jeff Burton @ 12/1
COWBOYS GAMBLE ON OWENS SEES THEM CUT TO 20/1 FOR SUPER BOWL
The Dallas Cowboys signed controversial wide receiver Terrell Owens to a three year contract on Saturday, and that has had a positive effect on their Super Bowl odds here at bet365. We’ve cut them into 16/1 (from 25/1) to be champions in 2007, while the Philadelphia Eagles (who unloaded Owens), have had their odds drop from 14/1 to 20/1. Not surprisingly, the signing of outspoken Terrell Owens has sparked conversation throughout the NFL as to whether the veteran wide receiver will elevate the Cowboys' offense or burden them with his antics. However, Dallas’ HC Bill Parcell’s is renowned for his ability to communicate with players and, if he can keep TO’s ego in check, the Cowboys could well make a serious run on the title this coming season.
In other betting moves here at bet365, the Cleveland Browns have had their odds cut to 66/1 form 125/1, after they too dipped their toe quite deeply into Free Agency, signing two-time Pro Bowler and three-time Super Bowl champion Willie McGinest to a three year contract. The bet365 outright market is still headed by the Indianapolis Colts at 6/1, who are ahead of Pittsburgh (10/1) despite being routed by the Steelers in the playoffs.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» March 22nd, 2006
EVERTON TO MAKE A POINT AT 13/5
Liverpool v Everton
Sa Mar 25 – 12.45 pm ko (PremPlus)
The pick of this weekend's Premiership football has to be the Merseyside derby, especially as both teams are playing so well right now. Liverpool's strikers have certainly found their scoring boots of late, but they could find Everton an altogether different proposition to the likes of Fulham and Birmingham. Everton have also hit form of late, having scored nine goals in the last three games, and they'll fancy their chances of nicking a goal or two. A win at 5/1 might be too much to ask from David Moye's side, but they can certainly come away with the point at 13/5 (Liverpool can be backed at 4/7). Three of the last four meetings between these two have seen them share the spoils, which is further encouragement for the bet.
Live Game Pick: Draw @ 13/5
TITLE CHASE BACK ON FOR 12/1 UNITED?
A few weeks ago, it would have been inconceivable to think that Chelsea were not going to be champions again, but the signs are there that the Blues have hit the wall, having dropped 10 points from 24. On the other hand, United have won their last five to reduce the gap to 12 points and, perhaps crucially, they have a game in hand on the champions, whom they play in the penultimate game of the season. In fact, Newcastle fans will not have to be reminded that United have overhauled a 12-point deficit to win the title before, and a visit from 16/1 Birmingham this weekend is perfect for them.
Birmingham have managed just two away wins all season, and they were against West Brom and Sunderland. The Red Devils have done even better against teams now in the bottom eight and, more interestingly for betting purposes, have nailed the win / win double result on four occasions. They've also scored at least two in each of their last five games, so a punt on a scoreline of 2-0 or 3-0 looks about right.
United / United Double Result @ 2/5 & United to win 2-0 or 3-0 @ 5/1 or 6/1
SAHA SO GOOD AT 3/1
Ruud van Nistelrooy heads our First Goalscorer market on the game at 11/4, but his future at the club has come under scrutiny in recent weeks. Here at bet365, he's been well-backed to start next season at AC Milan (5/2 from 7/2), and he's not even favourite to be the top goalscorer at the club next season. That honour goes to Wayne Rooney at 5/4, closely followed by Louis Saha at 11/8, with the Dutchman at 3/1. Saha's well-taken double against Birmingham took the Frenchman's tally for a season that only started in November to 13 and, in light of that, he's a 3/1 shot to net first this weekend – money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead!
HAIL CESARE AT 7/1
The flat turf season gets under way this week and, for punters, that can only mean one thing – the annual cavalry charge that is the Lincoln Handicap. This year's race has been transferred from its usual Doncaster home to Redcar, and that might be a blessing as the effect of the draw is likely to be less pronounced here, with the majority of the field likely to tank it up the centre of the course.
With the draw out of the equation, one of the best-backed horses in recent days has been the Michael Stoute-trained King's Majesty, who is now bet365's 5/1 favourite. That's not surprising as this one looks well-handicapped and progressive and, as he needs a strong pace, should have the race run to suit. He must go well, but I just prefer the chances of Cesare who can still be backed at 7/1 with bet365. There's no doubt he's been laid out for this race, and we should not be concerned that he's not run since finishing third in a hot handicap at 'Glorious' Goodwood from a terrible draw, as he has run well after a long absence before.
GIFT IS DIVINE EACH WAY AT 16/1
The only problem with backing him now is that his trainer, James Fanshawe, also has him entered in the Doncaster Mile on Friday. That race looks less competitive than the Lincoln and, should he run there instead, we should take the hint. However, in is absence, Divine Gift looks a solid each-way alternative at a juicy 16/1 with bet365. This one was eighth in the race last year and, now under the care of Kevin Ryan, ran an excellent race to be second in the recent Lincoln 'trial' at Lingfield earlier this month. The race is live on Channel 4, but don't worry If you can't get to the TV as you can always watch the race live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the 'Live Stream' next to the race.
Lincoln Handicap Picks: Cesare @ 7/1 & Divine Gift @ 16/1 (Each-way)
FREE BETS ON CHANNEL 4
Check back next week for news of a brand new racing offer from bet365, which includes free bets every day of the week, even when there's no racing on TV. However, you don't have to wait until then to win some free bets with our generous Channel 4/1 Offer. For example, the Lincoln is due off at 3.10 and, with the winner almost certain to go off at 4/1 or bigger, bet365 customers can back the winner and take advantage of a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next live Channel 4 race – the 3.25 race from Newbury.
PLAYERS CHAMPIONSHIP – COOL HAND LUKE IS BIG AT 20/1
Th Mar 23 – 17.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Mar 25 – 17.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Mar 26 – 19.00 BST (SS2)
Su Mar 26 – 19.30 BST (SS2)
The US Tour takes a big step-up in class this week, as the top golfers in the world tee up for the players Championship from Sawgrass, widely known as the 5th Major. Fortunately for golf fans (and punters), the event gets plenty of TV coverage, and perhaps as a result, there's also plenty of betting opportunities here at bet365, including once the players tee off via our Live In-Play Console.
Naturally, when looking for the winner, the first place to look is at the head of the betting, but there are good grounds for avoiding the bigger names this week. Tiger may have won three times this year, but he's not playing at his best right now, and nor are the likes of Els, Mickelson and Goosen. Of the 'top five', the one most likely to play his game this week is Vijay Singh, but his putting woes continue to make him opposable, so the value lies further down the bet365 betting list.
The omens are good for a European win this week and, in particular, Luke Donald, who looks to have all the credentials to win at the stand-out bet365 price of 20/1 (21/1 Enhanced Win Only). The worry when supporting Donald is that he doesn't have the length off the tee, but that's no handicap on this relatively short course (just over 7,000 yards), which places more emphasis on accuracy off the tee. Just look at last years' winner – Fred Funk – one of the shortest hitters on tour, but also one of the most accurate. He also dispelled any doubts about is temperament by leading from the front to land the Honda Classic a fortnight ago, and lost nothing in defeat when second here last year. The time is right for Donald to step another level his week, closely followed by Padraig Harrington and Robert Allenby.
Harrington has to be on any short-list this week. He has a cracking record in this event, with two runner-up spots in 2003 and 2004, and this year he's been a quarter-finalist in the Matchplay, 26th at Doral and 16th in the Honda. He looks to be coming into form just at the right time, as is Allenby who was 4th last week at Bay Hill, and fourth here in 2003.
LEHMAN IS BEST OF THE YANKS AT 40/1
Even better value can be found in bet365's speciality markets. The same names generally appear in the top-20 of the leaderboard year after year and, while they're unlikely to come up trumps in the outright market, they're going to give us a great run for our money in the 'Top American' market. In particular, Tom Lehman and Jerry Kelly stand out at 40/1 and 50/1 respectively. Lehman has an outstanding record here, including tied for second last year and, arguably, he's in better form this time around. Kelly is another course specialist with three top-11 finishes in five years, so they must both be worth an interest this week.
Players Championship Three Off The Tee...Luke Donald @ 20/1, Padraig Harrington 33/1, Robert Allenby 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event. |
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» March 16th, 2006
NCAAB FINAL FOUR 2006 - BEAT THE BUZZER WITH bet365
March Madness is finally here, and it's sure to be a 20-day orgy of buzzer beaters and bracket busters, culminating in the NCAA men's basketball championship game on Monday, April 3. Follow (and bet) on all the live action via bet365's 'In-Play Console', where the odds are constantly updating in real time. Of course, serious bettors at bet365 will be getting excited at the prospect of picking pointspread winners, and we've already highlighted the fact that following the bigger teams blind could be the quick way to the 'poor house' (and madness!). Public teams, like Duke, are always going to get heavily backed, and that will be factored into the pointspread. Hence, the other team is going to be a bigger price, in order to attract equal money on both sides, so the bet365 underdog could be worth a second glance when making your picks in the coming weeks.
DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE
Another factor for bet365 customers to consider over the coming weeks is defence. That is, teams are far more likely to display all-out defence for 40-minutes (compared to the regular season), as games are far more likely to be close and meaningful, especially as the tourney gets close to the championship game. Taking Duke as an example from last season, the Blue Devils fell below their regular season scoring average (78ppg) in all three of their ACC tourney games, and all but one game went under the total. In fact, they went under the total in four of six games in the ACC and NCAA tournaments…get the drift?
CONNECTICUT CHALKED UP AT 5/
Connecticut have been chalked up as 5/2 favourites in bet365's NCAA Men's championship betting, followed by Duke at 16/5. The fact that these two top the betting is a no-brainer, but what of the challengers? The tough-minded Villanova Wildcats (7/1) and Texas Longhorns (9/1) are next best. However, both North Carolina and Kansas are two very young teams who have made great strides since the beginning of the campaign, and could be worth backing at bet365's 10/1 and 40/1 respectively. Good luck and enjoy the madness.
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
While we'll be backing our NCAA tourney picks in singles (as every serious bettor should), it will be hard to resist a speculative parlay wager along the way, especially as we're assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
NASCAR – 5/1 JOHNSON OFF TO A FLYING START
Golden Corral 500, Atlanta Motor Speedway
Mar 19 – 1:00 pm ET (FOX)
So far this season, Jimmie Johnson is doing everything right. The Hendrick Motorsports driver now has two victories (including the big one in Daytona) and a second-place finish, and he'll go into this week's race in Atlanta full of confidence that he can keep the run going.
This week's track is identical to Charlotte, and Johnson is the most prolific driver there. He can also point to a second-place finish in this race last year, so he's a worthy favourite at the bet365 price of 5/1 to win this week. Of course, the racing is much closer in Atlanta and the margin of victory always slim, so he won't have it all his own way. Also respected this week, is the winner of the last two Atlanta races, Carl Edwards, who comes in at 7/1 behind Johnson. Edwards has made a slow start to the year by his standards, but chances are he'll be fine this week.
Of the rest, Mark Martin, could also go well, and might be worth a look at bet365's 12/1. Martin is a two-time Atlanta winner (albeit the last time in 1994), but he did finish fourth and third in the two races on the track last year, and the chassis that he's bringing with him finished second in the fall race at Texas and fifth at Charlotte.
Also keep an eye on Matt Kenseth (9/1) who, apart from Johnson, is the hottest driver on the circuit. Kenseth was only second to Johnson last week after a late caution flag gave the winner the chance to catch and pass him in a two-lap overtime sprint to the finish. He doesn't have a win in Atlanta but has won on similar tracks in Charlotte and Texas, and his team is dialled in right now.
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Matt Kenseth @ 9/1
F1– SPEED 7/2 TO FINISH IN THE POINTS
Malaysian GP
Live betting - Mar 19 – 1:30 am ET
Half a world way from NASCAR, Scott Speed (that's his real name!) became the first American since 1993 to compete in a Formula One race when finishing a respectable 13th in the opening race of the season in Bahrain. Speed made his debut in a car that no-one expected to be competing for wins, podium finishes, or even points, but he still managed to beat F1 veterans Ralf Schumacher, Rubens Barrichello, and former world champion Jacques Villeneuve. For this week's race in Malaysia he's a top-priced 7/2 with bet365 to finish in the points (top-six), and an unlikely 200/1 to win behind race favourite Fernando Alonso at 21/10. The race is live from 1.30 am ET, and bet365 customers can get in on the action by betting live via our In-Play Console.
BAY HILL INVITATIONAL - CAMPBELL HAS BIG CHANCE AT 28/1
Th Mar 16 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Fr Mar 17 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Sa Mar 18 – 2:30 pm ET (NBC)
Su Mar 19 – 2:30 pm ET (NBC)
Tiger Woods is going for his fourth win of the year at this week's Bay Hill Championship, a tournament he's won four times in the past, and he'll take all the beating again this week. The question for bettors here at bet365 is whether they want to take the current price of 9/4 or wait until the event goes live, when he's almost certain to be bigger on our 'In-Play Console'. There's also the fact that six of the world's top ten take him on this week, so there must be some value further down our betting list.
With neither Vijay Singh or Ernie Els (both priced at 12/1), at the top of their games right now, the dangers to Woods are likely to come from the 16/1 shots and better, and one player who could take advantage of any slip-up from the favourite is Chad Campbell, at a standout bet365 price of 28/1. He has plenty of good course form in his favour – winner in 2004 and 8th last year – and has looked better than ever this year with a win in the Bob Hope Classic, and a second in the Sony Open.
He goes into our portfolio of bets along with Zach Johnson (also 28/1), whose two appearances here have yielded two top-tens. He could well make it third time lucky this week, judging on his third place finish in the World Matchplay and a solid 15th at Doral. Best of the long-shots could be Lucas Glover at a massive bet365 price of 50/1. His lack of course experience is the reason for the inflated odds, but in his six strokeplay events this year, he's finished in the top-10 on four occasions, and has already won on the Tour when Tiger was in the field (2005 Funai Classic)!
Bay Hill Invitational Three Off The Tee...Chad Campbell 28/1, Zach Johnson 28/1, Lucas Glover 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» March 15th, 2006
KASBAH CAN ROCK AT 6/1
Last week, I put up L'Ami at 12/1 for the Gold Cup, and Kasbah Bliss at 9/1 for the Triumph Hurdle. Since then, nothing has happened to change my mind, and they're now trading at 10/1 and 6/1 respectively – hope you are on! The duo are both trained in France by Francois Doumen, who has been saying all along that his horses have been held up by frozen gallops, so it was a slight surprise to see them run so well at Sandown last time out.
It was a fine weight-carrying performance by L'Ami in the Racing Post Chase, and it's worth remembering that he was also a fine second to Trabolgan in the Hennessy, and that one would have gone off a clear favourite for the Gold Cup had he not succumbed to injury. He'll be staying on when others have cried enough, as will Kasbah Bliss, who powered home up the Sandown hill to win the Adonis Hurdle, a race that has thrown up the winner of the Triumph Hurdle on more than one occasion. The Gallic double still pays out at a massive 76/1 for the win here at bet365!
Plus, there's no need to worry if you're stuck in the office or can't get to a TV, you can watch the progress of your free bets (and all your Festival bets) live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the live stream next to the race.
Cheltenham Ante Post Double (already advised): L'Ami @ 12/1 (Gold Cup) & Kasbah Bliss @ 9/1 (Triumph Hurdle)
FREE CHELTENHAM BETS ALL WEEK
The winner of this year's Gold Cup looks likely to go off at 4/1 or bigger, so bet365 customers smart enough to find the winner can take advantage of a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race – the Christie's Foxhunter Chase (4.00pm). Simply back a 4/1 or bigger winner of any live Channel 4 race at the Festival (there are 16 in total!), and we'll give you a free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next live Channel 4 race.
Make the most of your Cheltenham betting by visiting us all week.
15/8 TOON TO MAKE POOL PAY FOR LONG SEASON
Newcastle v Liverpool
Su Mar 19 – 1:30 pm ko (SS1)
Last week we cashed in by backing the 'under' goals in the Man United v Newcastle encounter at 10/11, and goals may again be hard to come by when Newcastle take on Liverpool at St James' Park. Ok, the Magpies may have been flattered last week, but they've always been strongest at home and, this time, they face an attack which has managed only six strikes in its last ten games. That will hardly strike fear into the Newcastle defence who, up until last weekend, had conceded just two goals in six matches.
For Liverpool, the signs are that their mammoth season is finally catching up with them (this will be the 53rd game of their campaign), which makes Newcastle look over-priced at 15/8 in our 90 minute market (Liverpool 11/8, Draw 9/4). In our First Goalscorer market, Nolberto Solano could be the value pick at 11/1. He's opened the scoring in the last two Newcastle home games, and scored twice against Everton to take his tally for the season to six. If he scores the last goal in the game instead, we'll give you your money back here at bet365.
Interestingly, neither team has lost after taking the lead or won after going behind in the league, so don't be afraid to go in again on our live 'In-Play Console' (up to 14 markets available), should the opportunity arise.
Live Game Picks:
Newcastle @ 15/8 / 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
HAVE CONFIDENCE IN CITY AT EVENS
In the other Premiership games this weekend, Arsenal (3/10), Chelsea (2/5) and Bolton (1/3) look serious Premiership acca material against Charlton, Fulham and Sunderland respectively. Meanwhile, it's difficult to see Man City (Evens) or West Ham (4/5) slipping up either. City are full of confidence in front of their home fans (not lost at home this season to a side outside the top seven), while West Ham have helped themselves to ten points from their last four games at Upton Park. A four-fold on our four main fancies this weekend pays out £384.59 for a £50 stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% - up to 60% available every weekend.
Premiership Picks:
Man City to beat Wigan @ Evens
West Ham to beat Portsmouth @ 4/5
4-fold on Newcastle (15/8), Arsenal (3/10), Chelsea (2/5) and Bolton (1/3) - pays £242.55 (£25 stake) – which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
BAY HILL INVITATIONAL - CAMPBELL HAS BIG CHANCE AT 28/1
Th Mar 16 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Mar 17- 20.00 BST (SS3)
Sa Mar 18 – 19.30 BST (SS2)
Su Mar 19 – 19.30 BST (SS2)
Tiger Woods is going for his fourth win of the year at this week's Bay Hill Championship, a tournament he's won four times in the past, and he'll take all the beating again this week. The question for bettors here at bet365 is whether they want to take the current price of 9/4 or wait until the event goes live, when he's almost certain to be bigger on our 'In-Play Console'. There's also the fact that six of the world's top ten take him on this week, so there must be some value further down our betting list.
With neither Vijay Singh or Ernie Els (both priced at 12/1), at the top of their games right now, the dangers to Woods are likely to come from the 16/1 shots and better, and one player who could take advantage of any slip-up from the favourite is Chad Campbell, at a standout bet365 price of 28/1. He has plenty of good course form in his favour – winner in 2004 and 8th last year – and has looked better than ever this year with a win in the Bob Hope Classic, and a second in the Sony Open.
He goes into our portfolio of bets along with Zach Johnson (also 28/1), whose two appearances here have yielded two top-tens. He could well make it third time lucky this week, judging on his third place finish in the World Matchplay and a solid 15th at Doral. Best of the long-shots could be Lucas Glover at a massive bet365 price of 50/1. His lack of course experience is the reason for the inflated odds, but in his six strokeplay events this year, he's finished in the top-10 on four occasions, and has already won on the Tour when Tiger was in the field (2005 Funai Classic)!
Bay Hill Invitational Three Off The Tee...Chad Campbell 28/1, Zach Johnson 28/1, Lucas Glover 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» March 9th, 2006
BEAT THE BUZZER WITH bet365
March Madness is finally here, and it's sure to be a four-week orgy of buzzer beaters and bracket busters, culminating in the NCAA men's basketball championship game on Monday, April 3. Follow (and bet) on all the live action via bet365's 'In-Play Console', where the odds are constantly updating in real time. Of course, serious bettors at bet365 will be getting excited at the prospect of picking pointspread winners, and we've already highlighted the fact that following the bigger teams blind could be the quick way to the 'poor house' (and madness!). Public teams, like Duke, are always going to get heavily backed, and that will be factored into the pointspread. Hence, the other team is going to be a bigger price, in order to attract equal money on both sides, so the bet365 underdog could be worth a second glance when making your picks in the coming weeks.
DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE
Another factor for bet365 customers to consider over the coming weeks is defence. That is, teams are far more likely to display all-out defence for 40-minutes (compared to the regular season), as games are far more likely to be close and meaningful, especially as the tourney gets close to the championship game. Taking Duke as an example from last season, the Blue Devils fell below their regular season scoring average (78ppg) in all three of their ACC tourney games, and all but one game went under the total. In fact, they went under the total in four of six games in the ACC and NCAA tournaments…get the drift?
CONNECTICUT FAVORITE AT 5/2
bet365's NCAA Men's Championship prices... Connecticut 5/2, Duke 16/5,, Villanova 7/1, Texas 9/1, North Carolina 10/1, Memphis 12/1, Ohio St 14/1, Michigan St 18/1, Illinois 20/1, others on bet365 website
Connecticut have been chalked up as 5/2 favorites in bet365's NCAA Men's championship betting, followed by Duke at 16/5. The fact that these two top the betting is a no-brainer, but what of the challengers? The tough-minded Villanova Wildcats (7/1) and Texas Longhorns (9/1) are next best. However, both North Carolina and Kansas are two very young teams who have made great strides since the beginning of the campaign, and could be worth backing at bet365's 10/1 and 40/1 respectively. Good luck and enjoy the madness.
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
While we'll be backing our NCAA tourney picks in singles (as every serious bettor should), it will be hard to resist a speculative parlay wager along the way, especially as we're assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
STEWART SEEKS JACKPOT IN VEGAS AT 11/2
Su Mar 12 – 4:00 pm ET (FOX)
The drivers head to Las Vegas Motor Speedway on Sunday for the UAW-Daimler Chrysler 400, and the smart money at bet365 is going on Roush Racing's five current drivers. That's no surprise, since the team have won five of the eight races at the track, and they're in better shape now than they've ever been.
The quintet is headed by Tony Stewart at 11/2 in bet365's outright betting. Stewart has made a relatively poor start to the year, but we're only two races in, and he was one of the strongest drivers in California until coming to grief with engine trouble inside the final 35 laps of the 250 lap race. He may have never won in Vegas, but he's come close (2nd in 2000, and three other top-5 finishes), and will be bringing with him the same chassis that dominated the California race.
Greg Biffle (8/1) was also going well in that California race until succumbing to engine trouble, and his team is likely to run similar this week, along with fellow Roush drivers, Carl Edwards (8/1), Mark Martin (10/1) and new-boy Jamie McMurray (12/1). In fact, expect to see all five finish in the top-10 this week, along with the Busch brothers, Kyle (12/1) and Kurt (18/1), who both finished in the top here last year. The best of the rest looks to be Jimmie Johnson (13/2). Johnson's No.48 Chevrolet has thrived recently, pulling off an amazing win in Daytona and a second-place finish in California. That's three wins among nine top-10's in his last dozen starts!
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Tony Stewart @ 11/2
HONDA CLASSIC – 40/1 FREDDIE READY FOR FIRST WIN
Th Mar 9 – 4:00 pm ET (USA)
Fr Mar 10 – 4:00 pm ET (USA)
Sa Mar 11 – 4:00 pm ET (NBC)
Su Mar 12 – 4:00 pm ET (NBC)
In contrast to last week's event, the Honda Classic is thin on big names (just one of the world's top-10 in the field), so this represents a good opportunity for a player to record their first US Tour victory. The last four winners of this event were registering their maiden wins in America, and my idea of the most likely first time winner is Fredrik Jacobsen, who looks an each-way steal at the bet365 stand-out price of 40/1 (but get on quick!). The Swede took some time out after the birth of his first child last year, but the 'nappy-factor' looks to have restored his competitive juices for this season judged on an excellent fourth at Doral last week. He was also fourth in this event in 2004, so the 40/1 really does stand out this week.
At the same bet365 price, Carl Pettersson must also come into calculations this week. He was another to excel when this course was used for the first time two years ago, holding the half-way lead after shooting 63-68. He did wilt over the weekend, but he's a much better player now and won his last event in Florida (2005 Chrysler Championship). His form now is good too – finished 7th against a much stronger field in the Nissan Open, and was only beaten a shot by eventual runner-up Davis Love in the 2nd round of the World Matchplay Championship.
Tiger may have won 'ugly' last week (finished bogey-bogey), but Camilo Villegas played beautiful golf tee to green to finish tied for second, and he must have a great chance of going one better this week. In the end, it was his short putting which let him down, but it was still an assured performance from the Columbian Tour rookie, whose swashbuckling style has already earned him plenty of support from the galleries. The same can be expected this week in Palm Beach, which is just down the road from Doral, while his ability to hit the ball a long way will come in handy on a course which measures over 7,400 yards. The fancy prices on him are now gone (40/1 this week, 175/1 last week!), but he could be worth a look in our live In-Play market once the event gets under way.
Honda Classic Three Off The Tee... Fredrik Jacobson 40/1, Carl Pettersson 40/1, Camilo Villegas 40/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» March 8th, 2006
CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL BETTING PREVIEW
GIVE HEURES THE TIME AT 8/1
The action gets under way on Tuesday when the Irish 'banker', Sweet Wake, attempts to justify short-priced favouritism (currently 5/2 at bet365) in the Supreme Novice Hurdle. Of course he can win, but his price is surely based on all the hype surrounding him, and he looks a favourite to take on. While market leaders have a good record in this race in recent years, the Irish often used to take this race with their second string, and that makes the four-year-old Quatre Heures of interest at the bet365 price of 8/1, especially as he gets a handy 8lb allowance. He's also entered in the Triumph Hurdle (for which he gets a bet365 quote of 12/1), but bet365 customers can back him for the former now safe in the knowledge that they'll get a run for their money, or their stake returned to their balance!
Supreme Novice Hurdle Pick: Quatre Heures @ 8/1
AL EILE LOOKS CHAMPION PICK AT 10/1
The Irish also have strong hand in the Champion Hurdle, where Brave Inca's sound claims are reflected in his cramped odds (7/4). He'll have the greatest jockey (A P McCoy) to help him get up the Cheltenham hill, but he's already had some hard races this season, while Al Eile looks to be peaking at the right time, and he looks a solid each-way alternative to the jolly at bet365's 10/1. The selection finished seventh in the race last year as a five-year-old, and looks a much stronger horse this year, so there is every reason to think he can find the necessary improvement to win. It's certainly a race not to miss, but don't worry if you're stuck in the office or can't get to a TV, as you can watch all the action live here at bet365. Just place a bet of £5 and click on the live stream next to the race.
Champion Hurdle Pick: Al Eile @ 10/1
WINNING TEAM NOT SHY OF ANOTHER SUCCESS AT 8/1
Martin Pipe doesn't look to have as strong a challenge on paper as in past years, but he can still make his presence felt in the novice chase department. Don't Be Shy represents the powerful Pipe / David Johnnson combo responsible for four of the last eight Arkle Trophy winners, and he looks a good bet at bet365's 8/1 to carry on the tradition. Since going over fences he's done little wrong, running a creditable second to Green Tango (who must have a great chance in the Grand Annual off 10st 7lb) on his chase debut at Hereford, before hacking up over two and a half miles at Haydock. His latest win came at Grade 2 level over two very smart and experienced chasers in Armaturk and Mister McGoldrick, giving his form a rock-solid look.
Arkle Trophy Pick: Don't Be Shy @ 8/1
Grand Annual Pick: Green Tango @ 9/2
CHASE THE 6/1 FLYER
Pipe can also be on the mark with Commercial Flyer in the Sun Alliance Chase. This one made a winning start over fences at Taunton last month and, as a half-brother to high-class chaser Our Vic, he could be anything. Snap up the 6/1 now. Pipe's Contraband (20/1) could run well in the Champion Chase, where the front two in the bet365 betting – Kauto Star (inexperienced) and Moscow Flyer (too old) - are worth taking on. However, at this stage, for the winner I can't decide between Fota Island (9/2) and Central House (8/1). The former would be the selection on good ground, so let's wait and see. If either wins, we could be looking at a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race, the Coral Cup, but read on to find out more.
Sun Alliance Chase Pick: Commercial Flyer @ 6/1
Champion Chase Pick: Fota Island (good ground) / Central House
KASBAH CAN ROCK AT 6/1
Last week, I put up L'Ami at 12/1 for the Gold Cup, and Kasbah Bliss at 9/1 for the Triumph Hurdle. Since then, nothing has happened to change my mind, and they're now trading at 10/1 and 6/1 respectively – hope you are on! The duo are both trained in France by Francois Doumen, who has been saying all along that his horses have been held up by frozen gallops, so it was a slight surprise to see them run so well at Sandown last time out.
It was a fine weight-carrying performance by L'Ami in the Racing Post Chase, and it's worth remembering that he was also a fine second to Trabolgan in the Hennessy, and that one would have gone off a clear favourite for the Gold Cup had he not succumbed to injury. He'll be staying on when others have cried enough, as will Kasbah Bliss, who powered home up the Sandown hill to win the Adonis Hurdle, a race that has thrown up the winner of the Triumph Hurdle on more than one occasion. The Gallic double still pays out at a massive 76/1 for the win here at bet365!
Cheltenham Ante Post Double (already advised): L'Ami @ 12/1 (Gold Cup) & Kasbah Bliss @ 9/1 (Triumph Hurdle) – non-runner no bet
FREE CHELTENHAM BETS ALL WEEK
The winner of this year's Gold Cup looks likely to go off at 4/1 or bigger, so bet365 customers smart enough to find the winner can take advantage of a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race – the Christie's Foxhunter Chase. Simply back a 4/1 or bigger winner of any live Channel 4 race at the Festival (there are 16 in total!), and we'll give you a free bet to the same stake (up to £25) on the next live Channel 4 race.
Make the most of your Cheltenham betting by visiting us all week.
PROFIT FROM LOW-SCORING AFFAIRS
Man United v Newcastle
Su Mar 12 – 1.30 pm ko – (SS1)
After looking like relegation candidates, Newcastle have been enjoying a revival under Glenn Roeder, but United (at 2/5) are fancied to end that run here. In the last 10 meetings between these two sides, the Red Devils have won eight times, and they currently have strength in depth that Newcastle must envy. In bet365's Total Goals market, the 'over' price looks to be based on the fact that eight of the last ten matches between these two have resulted in three goals or more. However, Newcastle have conceded only one since Roeder took charge, so the value lies with backing the 'under' at 10/11. Live betting available via our 'In-Play' Console.
Arsenal v Liverpool
Su Mar 12 – 4.00 pm ko (SS1)
This could be another low-scoring affair, as it's hard to see Arsenal fashioning too many scoring opportunities against a team that which has kept a clean sheet in 19 Premiership games this season. At the same time, it's now 10 matches since Liverpool have scored more than one goal in any Premiership game, and their two goals at Bolton in January was the only time they've scored more than once away from Anfield. In our 90-minute market, Arsenal can be backed at 6/5, with Liverpool at 2/1 but, with goals at a premium, the pre-match value lies with the draw at 11/5, although there may be even more value in bet365's 14 dynamic In-Play markets.
Live Game Picks:
Man United @ 2/5 / 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 10/11
Arsenal to draw @ 11/5 / 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 4/7
R0VERS TOO GOOD FOR VILLAINS @ 4/5
United are a confident selection to go into our Premiership Acca this weekend, along with Blackburn (4/5), Charlton (Evens) and Everton (5/6). Blackburn were unlucky not to come away with a point (at least!) against Spurs last Sunday, and should return to winning ways here. Charlton are not obvious punting material taking on a resurgent Boro, but the Teesiders will surely have one eye on their UEFA Cup fixture next week, and the Addicks (who are unbeaten in five at the Valley) can take advantage of any lack of focus. Everton are a force to be reckoned with at home (won their last three), and they look a good bet to see off Fulham. The Cottagers have won nine of their last ten homes, but they continue to struggle away from home (just three draws in 14 games so far!). A £25 acca on our four selections pays out a tasty £242.55, which includes a bet365 Premiership Acca Bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend).
Premiership Acca
4-fold on Man United (2/5), Blackburn (4/5), Charlton (Evens) and Everton (5/6) - pays £242.55 (£25 stake) – which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
HONDA CLASSIC – 40/1 FREDDIE READY FOR FIRST WIN
Th Mar 9 – 21.00 BST (SSX)
Fr Mar 10 – 21.00 BST (SSX)
Sa Mar 11 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Mar 12 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Mo Mar 13 – 14.00 BST (SS3)
In contrast to last week's event, the Honda Classic is thin on big names (just one of the world's top-10 in the field), so this represents a good opportunity for a player to record their first US Tour victory. The last four winners of this event were registering their maiden wins in America, and my idea of the most likely first time winner is Fredrik Jacobsen, who looks an each-way steal at the bet365 stand-out price of 40/1 (but get on quick!). The Swede took some time out after the birth of his first child last year, but the 'nappy-factor' looks to have restored his competitive juices for this season judged on an excellent fourth at Doral last week. He was also fourth in this event in 2004, so the 40/1 really does stand out this week.
At the same bet365 price, Carl Pettersson must also come into calculations this week. He was another to excel when this course was used for the first time two years ago, holding the half-way lead after shooting 63-68. He did wilt over the weekend, but he's a much better player now and won his last event in Florida (2005 Chrysler Championship). His form now is good too – finished 7th against a much stronger field in the Nissan Open, and was only beaten a shot by eventual runner-up Davis Love in the 2nd round of the World Matchplay Championship.
Tiger may have won 'ugly' last week (finished bogey-bogey), but Camilo Villegas played beautiful golf tee to green to finish tied for second, and he must have a great chance of going one better this week. In the end, it was his short putting which let him down, but it was still an assured performance from the Columbian Tour rookie, whose swashbuckling style has already earned him plenty of support from the galleries. The same can be expected this week in Palm Beach, which is just down the road from Doral, while his ability to hit the ball a long way will come in handy on a course which measures over 7,400 yards. The fancy prices on him are now gone (40/1 this week, 175/1 last week!), but he could be worth a look in our live In-Play market once the event gets under way
Honda Classic Three Off The Tee...Fredrik Jacobson 40/1, Carl Pettersson 40/1, Camilo Villegas 40/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» March 2nd, 2006
BEAT THE BUZZER WITH bet365
The second season of college basketball gets under way this week, and it's sure to be a four-week orgy of buzzer beaters and bracket busters. Follow (and bet) on all the live action via bet365's 'In-Play Console', and don't forget our Parlay Bonus (more of that later). Of course, serious bettors at bet365 will be getting excited at the prospect of picking point spread winners, and we've already highlighted the fact that following the bigger teams blind could be the quick way to the 'poor house' (and madness!). Public teams, like Duke and Kentucky, are always going to get heavily backed with bet365, and that will be factored into the point spread. Hence, the other team (the likely dog) is going to be a value price, in order to attract equal money on both sides.
DEFENCE, DEFENCE, DEFENCE
Another factor for bet365 customers to consider over the coming weeks is defence. That is, teams are far more likely to display all-out defence for 40-minutes (compared to the regular season), as games are far more likely to be close and meaningful, especially as the tourney gets close to the championship game. Taking Duke as an example from last season, the Blue Devils fell below their regular season scoring average (78ppg) in all three of their ACC tourney games, and all but one game went under the total. In fact, they went under the total in four of six games in the ACC and NCAA tournaments... get the drift.
JAYHAWKS ARE CALLING AT 40/1
bet365's NCAA Men's Championship prices... Duke 5/2, Connecticut 11/4, Texas 7/1, Villanova 9/1, Memphis 10/1, Michigan St 16/1, West Virginia, Florida 20/1, Gonzaga 20/1, Kansas 40/1, others on bet365 website
No.1 Duke have been chalked up as 5/2 favorites in bet365's NCAA Men's championship betting, followed by No.2 Connecticut at 11/4. The fact that these two top the betting is a no-brainer, but what of the challengers? Gonzaga (28/1) have already completed a perfect season in their conference, while Memphis (10/1) and George Washington (28/1) will be trying to keep their perfect seasons intact as well on Thursday night. GW is also tied with Gonzaga for the nation's longest current winning streak (16). Kansas are a very young team who have made great strides since the beginning of the campaign. After their 1-2 start in Big 12 play, the Jayhawks reeled off ten consecutive wins, leading the nation in defensive field goal percentage allowed (an outstanding defensive effort), and they are attractively priced at 40/1 here at bet365. Good luck and enjoy the madness.
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
While we'll be backing our NCAA tourney picks in singles (as every serious bettor should), it will be hard to resist a speculative parlay wager along the way, especially as we're assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
VIVA LAS VEGAS – KENSETH'S YOUR MAN AT 8/1
NASCAR drivers take a break until March 12th, when teams meet at Las Vegas Motor Speedway in the UAW-Daimler Chrysler 400. Betting for that race is likely to go through the roof here at bet365, and we'll have an in-depth preview (and odds) for that event next week. But, if you can't wait until then, there's still some value to be had in our 2006 Nextel Cup Championship market. This is currently headed by twice runner-up Jimmie Johnson at 4/1, closely followed by last year's champion Tony Stewart (5/1). Further down the bet365 betting list, you come to Matt Kenseth at 8/1.
Kenseth is coming off a win in last week's Auto Club500, although his win was slightly fortuitous, after both Greg Biffle and Tony Stewart (the two strongest drivers of the day) both came to grief with engine problems inside the final 35 laps of the 250 lap race. Still, a win would have come as a welcome relief for Kenseth, who spent the early part of last year watching his four Roush Racing team-mates claim all the success. It took the 2003 NASCAR champion three races to register his first top 10 (8th place at Las Vegas), while his one and only victory, at Bristol, came in race No. 24 at Bristol.
What a difference a year makes, and he could be ready to build on what has been a flying start to the season in gambling city next week. We also know he's got a strong restrictor plate car, which bodes well for the remaining three plate races, while the only races likely to give him trouble are the road races, but there are only two of them. Kenseth is currently third in the standings behind Johnson, and Casey Mears. We're already on Johnson at 5/1 for the title, but a small investment on Kenseth at bet365's 8/1 is a nice insurance at this stage of the season.
FORD CHAMPIONSHIP – WELCOME HOME FURYK AT 19/1
Th Mar 2 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Fr Mar 3 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Sa Mar 4 – 3:00 pm ET (NBC)
Su Mar 5 – 3:00 pm ET (NBC)
Tiger Woods is almost unbeatable when he's playing his best, and that was certainly the case last year, when he shot a remarkable score of 129 at the weekend to pip Phil Mickelson. Woods' record is now 1-2-9 for his three appearances here, and it is hard to believe (despite not being at his very best this year) that he won't be bang in contention going into the final round. The bet365 'Enhanced Win Only' price of 18/5 is the best out there, but value hunters might want to consider waiting until the event goes live. He's almost certain to be a bigger price on our 'In-Play Console' at some stage, especially as he heads a stellar field containing nine of the world's top-10 players.
Tiger is of course a Florida resident, and Florida-based golfers have won 14 of the last 16 runnings of this first leg of the so-called 'Florida Swing'. Unfortunately for bet365 customers, 40 of the 144-strong field have now made their (or a) home in the Sunshine State, so we can't rely on this stat alone when picking the winner this week.
Fortunately, the stereotypical winner also has plenty of positive course experience, and that makes Jim Furyk of interest this week at bet365's 19/1 (EWO). Furyk will be glad to see the Tour arrive back in his home state (and back on his beloved Bermuda greens), and he's excelled in his event with four top-tens in his last five visits, including a win in 2000 and a second in 2003. The fact that he was eliminated early from last week's Matchplay, meaning that he didn't waste too much energy, could also be in his favour.
Europe sends out its big guns this week, including Sergio Garcia and Padraig Harrington, but neither have particularly good records here. Angel Cabrera is much more interesting (and a bigger price at 66/1!), as he's shown a liking for the course – tied 10th, tied 17th, missed cut, tied fifth in his last four starts. If you're looking for a big priced outsider to get into the frame (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5), then he could be your man, while we'll also be risking a few quid each way on Tampa resident David Branshaw, at a massive bet365 price of 175/1! Last years' Nationwide Tour Championship winner has been going well on the West Coast with two top-20's in four starts, including a solo sixth last week.
Ford Championship at Doral Three Off The Tee... Jim Furyk 18/1, Angel Cabrera 66/1, David Branshaw 175/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
WORLD BASEBALL CLASSIC - USA HEAVY CHALK AT 5/4
Here at bet365, we make the USA team 5/4 favorite to win this weekend's inaugural World Baseball Classic, with Canada a longshot a 50/1. The Dominican Republic are second choice at 6/4, and victory for any other team outside the top two in the betting will be a massive shock. Teams have been divided into four pools, and USA is an overwhelming 1/16 choice to win Pool B against its northern neighbours Canada (10/1), Mexico (12/1) and South Afica (150/1). Japan, who will host Pool A games, are a 3/10 selection to cop its division, while Puerto Rico is even money chance in a close Pool C race that has Cuba at 6/4, Panama 6/1 and The Netherlands at 12/1. The Dominican Republic is a 5/11 Pool D favorite. Action gets underway on Saturday with Pool A games in Tokyo.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» March 1st, 2006
FULHAM ARE DERBY VALUE AT 11/5
This weekend, we'll be playing up our winnings from the Carling Cup (cleaned up on the outright, double result and first goal scorer markets!) by taking bet365's 11/5 on Fulham to beat Arsenal. Despite some indifferent away form this season, the layers still consistently over-estimate the Gunners, and there's no way they should be 11/10 here (11/5 the draw). Arsenal were fortunate to catch Real Madrid on a bad night when nicking the win, and Fulham won't be as complacent as the Spaniards. Besides, Fulham have won eight of their last nine Premiership home games, including a 6-1 thrashing of West Brom last weekend, so they are massive value for this derby.
Fulham to beat Arsenal @ 11/5
DRAW IS BEAUTIFUL AT 11/5
Thankfully, Newcastle v Bolton is not on the box, as the football is unlikely to be pretty, and goals could be at a premium. Bolton have been struggling to win games (drawn five of their last six), and finding the net against Newcastle won't be easy. Like Bolton, Newcastle have become difficult to break down and this could be a match in which the defences hold the upper hand. Cash in by backing the stalemate and go 'under' on the bet365 goals market too.
Newcastle v Bolton – Draw @ 11/5 / 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 4/6
BAGGIES COULD SHOCK AT 7/1
Bolton v Chelsea
Sa Mar 4 – 12.45 ko (Prem Plus)
Call it March Madness, but am I the only one who thinks West Brom have got more than a squeak of pulling off a massive upset on Saturday? At 7/1, bet365 clearly don't, but Chelsea have been badly underperforming since the turn of the year, and they cannot afford to be complacent at the Hawthorns. West Brom have won six matches at home this season, including four against sides in the top half of the table, and could be catching Chelsea at the right time. The game is live on Sky, so we'll get chance to hedge our bets via the bet365 'In-Play Console' (up to 14 dynamic markets), but the 7/1 pre-match price looks worth a small investment now. Arguably, our Asian Handicap is even better value (bet to 102%), where the Baggies are currently available at 2.02 with a goal start (if Chelsea win by a single goal your stake is refunded).
Newcastle v Bolton – Draw @ 11/5 / 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 4/6
We'll bottle the chance to get our Premiership acca off to a perfect start at the Hawthorns, but a £25 acca on Fulham (11/5), Middlesbrough (10/11), Man City (2/5) and Newcastle to draw (11/5) still pays out a healthy £718.43, which is inflated by a bet365 Premiership Acca Bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend).
Premiership Acca
4-fold on Fulham, Middlesbrough, Man City and Newcastle (to draw) pays £718.43 (£25 stake) – which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
INJURY WOE FOR 10/11 BLUES
The Baggies may (or may not) win the battle of the Hawthorns this weekend, but will they win the war against relegation? Three points against Chelsea would do very nicely, but even if things don't go their way at the weekend, they might still have enough breathing space to survive. Things change very quickly in the bet365 relegation market – the Baggies were odds-against before losing to in-form Boro – and Birmingham will go into their relegation six-pointers against Boro and West Brom (March 11th) with injuries to several key players. With Sunderland as good as down, and Portsmouth similarly doomed, it's a case of perming one from two, and my money is on the Blues at 10/11.
BECKHAM 13/8 NOT TO BE AT MADRID NEXT SEASON
England aside, David Beckham's future at Real Madrid has been thrown into doubt after the resignation of President Florentino Perez, and bet365 are offering 13/8 on him not starting next season at the Bernabeu. The England captain, who is yet to win a trophy at Real Madrid, has only got one season left on his current contract, and any extension looks to be on hold now.
Will David Beckham Start 2006/7 La Liga Season At Madrid?
Yes 4/9
No 13/8
WIN CHELTENHAM MONEY AND FREE BETS
Last week's big race tip, Fork Lightning, ran appallingly (jockey blamed the heavy ground), but he could still bounce back in one of the Festival handicaps on decent ground. We can be assured of a decent price there, but there's (Cheltenham) betting money to be made this weekend at the televised Newbury meeting, and free bets on offer here at bet365!
My idea of the Vodafone Gold Cup (3.15) winner is the hat-trick-seeking Montgermont, who must be seriously respected should he line up here instead of an alternative race at Lingfield (3.30). He's not trained by a fashionable yard (Mrs L C Taylor), which means he's been allowed to go off at generous prices for his last two wins, and that could be the case again on Saturday. In his absence, the Martin Pipe-trained Winsdsor Boy looks a good substitute as he's set to carry just 10st 8lb. The race is one of four to be screened live from the track by Channel 4, which means we can also look forward to a bet365 bonus of a free bet (up to £25) on the next live race, should the selection win at 4/1 or bigger.
Also, keep an eye out for Tokala, who'll be bidding to keep his unbeaten record intact at Newbury on either Friday or Saturday. Despite hating the sharp Fakenham circuit, he still managed to scramble home last time out, and this track will suit better. bet365 customers can follow his progress, wherever he runs, via our live stream, providing they bet £5 on the race.
9/1 KASBAH ROCKS THE TRIUMPH BETTING
A Glass In Tyne, an impressive winner of last month's Great Yorkshire Chase looks the answer to Saturday's Grimthorpe Chase at Lingfield (3.30, live on Channel 4 and bet365). The key to this horse is soft ground, and he's sure to get that, while his trainer (Ben Pollack) reckons there's "still more to come" from the improving eight-year-old. A further positive can be gleaned from his previous course form, when he ran a blinder when fourth behind L'Ami in a Grade 2 novice chase. The winner has since gone on to run a fine second to Trabolgan in the Hennessey, and filled the same berth in last weekend's Racing Post Chase, behind his stablemate Innox. That was a fine weight-carrying performance from L'Ami, who must now have a cracking each way chance in the Gold Cup, for which he gets a bet365 quote of 12/1.
His trainer, Francois Doumen, can also look forward to running his Kasbah Bliss at the Festival, after that one powered home on Saturday to win the Adonis Hurdle, a race that has thrown up the winner of the Triumph Hurdle on more than one occasion. Kasbah Bliss looks a solid 9/1 bet for that race, and the Gallic double pays out at a massive 129/1 for the win!
Cheltenham Ante Post Double (Each-way): L'Ami @ 12/1 (Gold Cup) & Kasbah Bliss @ 9/1 (Triumph Hurdle) – non-runner no bet
MONEY BACK ON CHELTENHAM NON-RUNNERS
After another Cheltenham Festival fancy, Rhinestone Cowboy, bit the dust last week, ante post bettors would have been relieved to see that bet365 are now non-runner no bet on all races at the Festival. This is a nice insurance to have, particularly with some of this year's novices, who have been declared for both the Supreme Novice and Royal & SunAlliance Hurdles. That includes Straw Bear, whose connections are still undecided on which race he'll tackle, although he's more likely to run in the former, for which he gets a bet365 quote of 10/1.
Another high profile runner, Our Vic, is a possible for both the Ryanair Chase (2m 5f) and the Gold Cup over three and a quarter miles. Trainer Martin Pipe is convinced that his charge will stay the longer trip, and that will please those bet365 customers who are on at 40/1 ante post! He's now half those odds, and backers at that price are at least assured of a run for their money, or their stake returned to their bet365 balance!
FORD CHAMPIONSHIP – WELCOME HOME FURYK AT 19/1
Th Mar 2 – 22.00 (SS2)
Fr Mar 3 – 20.00 (SSX)
Sa Mar 4 – 20.00 (SS2)
Su Mar 5 – 20.00 (SS3)
Tiger Woods is almost unbeatable when he's playing his best, and that was certainly the case last year, when he shot a remarkable score of 129 at the weekend to pip Phil Mickelson. Woods' record is now 1-2-9 for his three appearances here, and it is hard to believe (despite not being at his very best this year) that he won't be bang in contention going into the final round. The bet365 'Enhanced Win Only' price of 18/5 is the best out there, but value hunters might want to consider waiting until the event goes live. He's almost certain to be a bigger price on our 'In-Play Console at some stage, especially as he heads a stellar field containing nine of the world's top-10 players.
Tiger is of course a Florida resident, and Florida-based golfers have won 14 of the last 16 runnings of this first leg of the so-called 'Florida Swing'. Unfortunately for bet365 customers, 40 of the 144-strong field have now made their (or a) home in the Sunshine State, so we can't rely on this stat alone when picking the winner this week.
Fortunately, the stereotypical winner also has plenty of positive course experience, and that makes Jim Furyk of interest this week at bet365's 19/1 (EWO). Furyk will be glad to see the Tour arrive back in his home state (and back on his beloved Bermuda greens), and he's excelled in his event with four top-tens in his last five visits, including a win in 2000 and a second in 2003. The fact that he was eliminated early from last week's Matchplay, meaning that he didn't waste too much energy, could also be in his favour.
Europe sends out its big guns this week, including Sergio Garcia and Padraig Harrington, but neither have particularly good records here. Angel Cabrera is much more interesting (and a bigger price at 66/1!), as he's shown a liking for the course – tied 10th, tied 17th, missed cut, tied fifth in his last four starts. If you're looking for a big priced outsider to get into the frame (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5), then he could be your man, while we'll also be risking a few quid each way on Tampa resident David Branshaw, at a massive bet365 price of 175/1! Last years' Nationwide Tour Championship winner has been going well on the West Coast with two top-20's in four starts, including a solo sixth last week.
Ford Championship at Doral Three Off The Tee … Jim Furyk 18/1, Angel Cabrera 66/1, David Branshaw 175/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event. |
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» February 23rd, 2006
HEAD WEST FOR McMURRAY AT 7/1
Auto Club 500
Su Feb 26 – 3:30 pm ET (FOX)
The NASCAR Nextel Cup Series heads to the West Coast this weekend, with teams gearing up in the Auto Club 500 from California Speedway, the first of this season's so-called cookie cutter tracks.
It's been a gruelling couple of weeks for the drivers at Daytona, but it was all worth it for 500 winner Jimmie Johnson, who was winning his first restrictor plate race, and landing some nice bets for bet365 customers in the process (hope you were on at 8/1?). Johnson also has a very good track record at California Speedway (one win and three top-five finishes in six career starts), but he's not favourite to win this week. That honour falls on defending champion Greg Biffle (11/2), who also finished second in the fall race later in the year. However, he will need to do well after a sub-par 31st finish at Daytona, and that could leave the way for another of the Roush drivers to step up to the plate.
The dominant race team of last season have certainly gone well here in the past. In 20 total starts at California (and its sister track Michigan), Roush Racing have collected two wins and 15 top-seven finishes. In last year's race, the Roush gang had four cars in the top-seven placings (Biffle, Kurt Busch 3rd, Carl Edwards 5th and Mark Martin 7th), and it wouldn't be a surprise to see them in the same positions again, with one important addition – Jamie McMurray – who drives the Kurt Busch entry this week.
McMurray was driving a Ganassi Dodge car in last year's race, but still managed to finish fourth. He was also eighth in the later race on the track so, now that he's got a better ride, he can be expected to improve significantly on that. Throw in the fact that he was one of the better performing Roush drivers last week (top-10 runner for most of the race until an accident sent him home in 37th place), and everything is in place for a trip to Victory Lane for McMurray at a tasty bet365 price of 7/1.
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Jamie McMurray @ 7/1
AVOID MARCH SADNESS – PLACE YOUR PARLAYS WITH bet365!
For all you college basketball aficionado's out there, it will soon be time to fill out your bracket sheets for the NCAA tournament, but serious bettors will be getting excited at the prospect of picking point spread winners. Here at bet365, we'll have lines on all the games as soon as the final 65 teams and match ups are known. At this moment in time, the newly realigned 16-team Big East looks likely to have seven or eight teams involved, while the The Big 10 (which appears to be one of the strongest conferences this season), might get as many as seven. However, it's the presence of the smaller 'local' teams that make March Madness the exciting (and unpredictable!) spectacle that it is.
If you're looking for some value during 'March Madness' season (aren't we all!), it may pay to steer clear of the public teams - like Duke and Kentucky - as they're always likely to be well-backed, and that will be factored into the point spread. Hence, the other team is going to be a value price, in order to attract equal money on both sides.
For example, supporters of last year's North Carolina squad were asked to lay a heavy price to back their team, and they only covered one spread on their run to the Final Four. Meanwhile lesser-known schools provide great value for their backers – who will forget the great run by Wisconsin-Milwaukee last year! Another piece of advice is to check which teams will be playing on close proximity to their home venue and thus have a 'home' crowd advantage. Also, don't ignore teams that have had a poor season. They will generally be up for this final chance to make the 'Big Dance', and will be capable of pulling off an upset or two!
While we'll be backing our picks in singles (as every serious bettor should), it will be hard to resist a speculative parlay wager along the way, especially as we're assured of getting more back with the bet365 Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:-
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
CHRYSLER CLASSIC - ROLLINS A WORTHY TUCSON FAVOURITE AT 18/1
Th Feb 23 – 11:00 am ET (USA)
Fr Feb 24 – 11:00 am ET (USA)
Sa Feb 25 – 11:00 am ET (USA)
Su Feb 26 – 11:00 am ET (USA)
No big names playing in this week's back-up tournament to the World Matchplay (see below), which is open to players not ranked in the top-64 in the world. There's no obvious favourite either, but that burden falls on the shoulders of John Rollins, an 18/1 shot here at bet365. He's probably the form horse in this non-televised event after a couple of top-five finishes in recent weeks in much stronger events than this. He's also a Tour winner, which is more than can be said for many of the other players this week, and has previous course experience (26th last year).
However, he's not the only one doing it right now, and the improving Norwegian, Henrik Bjornstad should also be considered at a standout 50/1 with bet365. He has made a tremendous start to his American career with two top ten finishes, and this weaker event should see him challenging again come Sunday. We'll also be sticking a few quid on Justin Rose at 25/1. It was not that long ago since Rose was ranked highly enough to play in the Matchplay, and he's since come close to breaking his duck on the US Tour when finishing 3rd in the Buick Championship at the end of last year. He looks to have carried that form through to this year (top-10 in the Bob Hope), and, with his talent, he really should be up to winning an event like this.
Chysler Classic of Tucson Three Off The Tee...John Rollins 18/1, Justin Rose 25/1, Henrik Bjornstad 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
OPPOSE WORLD MATCHPLAY FAVOURITES
Th Feb 23 – 2:00 pm ET (ESPN)
Fr Feb 24 – 2:00 pm ET (ESPN)
Sa Feb 25 – 10:30 am ET (ESPN)
Su Feb 26 – 10:30 am ET (ESPN)
This week's World Matchplay tees off on Wednesday, but don't worry if you don't manage to get a bet on before the start as we'll have live In-Play betting throughout. Matchplay can be hard to predict. At this level, anyone can get hot over 18 holes, and you could find the player that you've backed on his way home after shooting 66 if their opponent shoots 65. So, don't be afraid to take on the jollies over the course of the five days. Despite winning twice this year, Tiger has not been playing his best golf, while neither Ernie Els nor Vijay Singh have great records here. My player against the field is Chris DiMarco (25/1 pre tournament). Last year's beaten finalist looks to be on his game entering the event, having won the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship in January and finishing in the top-15 twice in three starts on the Tour.
World Matchplay Pick: Chris DiMarco @ 25/1 (oppose Woods, Els and Singh)
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» February 22nd, 2006
UNITED A SAFE BET AT 8/13
Carling Cup Final, Man United v Wigan
Su Feb 26 – 3.00 ko (SS1)
Surprise results are memorable in Cup finals because they're so infrequent, and we shouldn't be betting on one here. Wigan (9/2) have done tremendously well to get this far by beating Bolton, Newcastle and Arsenal, but their most recent form has been more like what we expected from them at the start of the season – just one win in nine and one clean sheet in 13.
They've also struggled to beat the top clubs this season. Sunday's point against Spurs was their first from eight games against teams in the current top five, including a run of five successive defeats, culminating in a 4-0 thrashing at Old Trafford in December. That was only a week after United's exit from the Champions League, and they could also catch United (8/13) on the rebound again here after their defeat by Liverpool in the FA Cup last weekend. The draw is priced at 13/5.
You might want to consider backing United to have the lead at half time at 6/4, while in our First Goalscorer market, Wayne Rooney looks a good shout at 4/1, especially as we'll give you your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead. He scored twice in December's 4-0 thrashing, although it was Rio Ferdinand who scored the opener, and he's 20/1 to repeat that feat, and 5/1 to score anytime here at bet365. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 exciting live In-play markets.
Carling Cup Picks:
United to beat Wigan at 8/13
United / United @ 6/4
Wayne Rooney to score first @ 4/1
TOFFEES CAN RAID MAGPIES NEST AT 11/4
Newcastle v Everton
Sa Feb 25 – 5.15 ko (Prem Plus)
Everton are the form team in the Premiership at the moment thanks to a series of 1-0 wins, and look up to nicking the points at Newcastle at a tasty 11/4 (but be quick, this might not last too long!). Surprisingly, the Toffees have collected an impressive 16 points (with just eight goals) from their last six games, while Newcastle rode their luck in their recent victory against Villa. They can hardly brag about their home wins against Portsmouth and Southampton either, so we'll be backing the away win at 11/4, and chase even fatter odds by having a few quid on the 1-0 correct score at 8/1.
Everton go into our Premiership acca this weekend, along with Chelsea (1/7), Birmingham (4/6) and Bolton (4/5), who host one of the worst away teams in the Premiership, Fulham. A £50 acca pays out £854.97 to a £50 stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend).
Weekend Premiership Picks:
Everton to beat Newcastle @ 11/4
Everton to win 1-0 @ 8/1
Birmingham to beat Sunderland @ 4/6
Bolton to beat Fulham @ 4/5
4-fold on Everton, Birmingham, Bolton and Chelsea pays £854.97 (£50 stake) – which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
RACING POST CHASE - LIGHTNING TO STRIKE AT 8/1
This year's Racing Post Chase has been transferred to Sandown (due off 3.20), a course that bears little resemblance to its usual home Kempton, but that hasn't detracted from the quality of the field. Lacdoudal is bet365's 6/1 favourite for the race at 6/1, and it's not hard to see why. He's already proved his stamina for the 3m trip when winning over the course back in December, and produced another fine effort when last seen over fences, finishing third under a big weight in the Robin Cook Gold Cup. Unlike some of the others, he still has scope for improvement, as does Fork Lightning, who should be supported at the bet365 price of 8/1.
The selection missed a recent visit to the track due to the ground being too fast (unlikely to be the case on Saturday), his first start since finishing third to the useful Joacci over three and a quarter miles at Cheltenham on New Year’s Day. That run was even more creditable since he was entitled to ‘bounce’ on his second run back after injury, and he could do even better now that he’s racing right handed (won three times going right-handed in the past).
Of the others, L'Ami (10/1) could struggle to give the weight away, while Ladalko (7/1) needs to get his jumping sorted out, so the one for the forecast could be Iznogoud. This one looks the pick of Martin Pipe's three entries after finishing third in this race in 2004 and second last year, and he looks to have a great each-way chance at bet365's 16/1. Remember that if you back the winner of the race (or any of the six live Channel 4 races on Saturday), you're eligible for a free bet to the same stake on the next live Channel 4 race. bet365 customers can also watch the race live by betting £5 and clicking on the live stream next to the race, while forecast backers should be taking the bet365 'Showcast' price on the day, as we'll pay you the starting price (CSF) is it's bigger! Why bet anywhere else?
MONEY BACK ON CHELTENHAM NON-RUNNERS
Nick Gifford could be giving his big Cheltenham hope Straw Bear a run out at the weekend (entered 1.35 Sandown), and he's confidently expected to add to his two career wins to date. He's prominent in the bet365 betting for both the Supreme Novice (12/1) and Royal & SunAlliance Hurdles (20/1) at Cheltenham, and his trainer is confident that we haven't seen the best of him yet, ominous words indeed. Another potential Festival candidate is expected to line up on Saturday, when Monet's Garden bids for his first graded win over fences in the Pendil Novice Chase (2.10). Nicky Richard's charge is unbeaten over fences, and two and a half miles around Sandown should be right up his street. At this stage he's more likely to run in the Arkle Trophy over two miles rather than step up to three in the Royal & SunAlliance Chase, and he gets a bet365 14/1 quote for the former. Whichever race he runs in, bet365 customers can back him (or any of their Festival fancies) in the confidence of getting a run for their money, or their stake returned to their bet365 balance! As from Saturday, February 26th, bet365 are going non runner no bet on all Cheltenham ante post races!
CHRYSLER CLASSIC - ROLLINS A WORTHY TUCSON FAVOURITE AT 18/1
No big names playing in this week's back-up tournament to the World Matchplay (see below), which is open to players not ranked in the top-64 in the world. There's no obvious favourite either, but that burden falls on the shoulders of John Rollins, an 18/1 shot here at bet365. He's probably the form horse in this non-televised event after a couple of top-five finishes in recent weeks in much stronger events than this. He's also a Tour winner, which is more than can be said for many of the other players this week, and has previous course experience (26th last year).
However, he's not the only one doing it right now, and the improving Norwegian, Henrik Bjornstad should also be considered at a standout 50/1 with bet365. He has made a tremendous start to his American career with two top ten finishes, and this weaker event should see him challenging again come Sunday. We'll also be sticking a few quid on Justin Rose at 25/1. It was not that long ago since Rose was ranked highly enough to play in the Matchplay, and he's since come close to breaking his duck on the US Tour when finishing 3rd in the Buick Championship at the end of last year. He looks to have carried that form through to this year (top-10 in the Bob Hope), and, with his talent, he really should be up to winning an event like this.
Chysler Classic of Tucson Three Off The Tee... John Rollins 18/1, Justin Rose 25/1, Henrik Bjornstad 50/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
OPPOSE WORLD MATCHPLAY FAVOURITES
We Feb 22 – 19.00 BST (SS3)
Th Feb 23 – 19.00 BST (SS3)
Fr Feb 24 – 19.00 BST (SS3)
Sa Feb 25 – 15.30 BST (SS2)
Su Feb 26 – 16.00 BST (SS2)
This week's World Matchplay tees off on Wednesday, but don't worry if you don't manage to get a bet on before the start as we'll have live In-Play betting throughout. Matchplay can be hard to predict. At this level, anyone can get hot over 18 holes, and you could find the player that you've backed on his way home after shooting 66 if their opponent shoots 65. So, don't be afraid to take on the jollies over the course of the five days. Despite winning twice this year, Tiger has not been playing his best golf, while neither Ernie Els nor Vijay Singh have great records here. My player against the field is Chris DiMarco (25/1 pre tournament). Last year's beaten finalist looks to be on his game entering the event, having won the Abu Dhabi Golf Championship in January and finishing in the top-15 twice in three starts on the Tour.
World Matchplay Pick: Chris DiMarco @ 25/1 (oppose Woods, Els and Singh)
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» February 15th, 2006
PUSH THE PEDAL TO THE MEDAL WITH JUNIOR AT 9/2
Daytona 500
Sa Feb 19 – 1:30 pm (NBC)
For the winner of this weekend's biggest race of the NASCAR year, the Daytona 500, look no further than the Chevrolet drivers. In the last 10 Daytona races, the score reads Chevrolet 8 – the rest (Ford & Dodge) 2, and if we take in Taladega (the only other restrictor plate track), the score reads 21 to 3 in the Chevy dealership's favour. Unfortunately, that doesn't make finding the winner much easier, as there are still a host of Chevrolet drivers who can win this week.
Of those, Dale Earnhardt Jr. must have a great chance to win, and he's been popular with bettors at 9/2 here at bet365. His car is slow by itself, but when other cars are around it goes pretty well, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him near the front all the way to the line, with his team mate Martin Truex next to him. The Hendrick team has three strong candidates led by defending 500 champion Jeff Gordon (9/2), Jimmie Johnson (8/1) and Kyle Busch (20/1). Gordon has had all the past success, but Johnson is the driver who looks more likely to burst out this week. Kyle Busch's car is very fast, but his restrictor plate races last year were awful so, until we see that he's learned from that experience, we'll leave him alone for betting purposes.
A couple of Chevrolet drivers who can be considered long-shots this week are Bill Elliot and Sterling Marvin at 33/1 and 50/1 respectively. Both of these drivers are likely to be in the front pack for much of the race, and that's all you can ask for when considering a bet this weekend. As past 500 winners, with fast cars powered by Hendrick Motorsports, these two drivers could easily make it interesting down the stretch for their backers.
Nigel's Checkered Flag...Dale Earnhardt Jr @ 9/2 / Bill Elliott @ 33/1 (Each-way, 1/4 odds, 1.2.3)
PISTONS LOOKING GOOD AT HALF TIME
The football season is behind us, and we find ourselves in the middle of both the college and pro-basketball seasons. Fortunately, there are still plenty of games each day for bet365 customers to get their teeth into. However, at this stage of the season, some teams will be more motivated than others, and bettors should bear this in mind when looking for winning opportunities in the coming weeks.
The Pistons are beginning to look human after all after 'slumping' to a 4-4 (3-5 ATS) straight up record in their last eight games, including blowing a 13-point lead at Miami on Sunday. However they still have an excellent 42-9 SU record (the best in the NBA), and a 10 1/2-game lead over their closest competitor in the Eastern Conference (2/5 with bet365 to win Conference), and bettors should expect them to bounce back from that reverse after their six-day break. They're a solid 7-1 SU (6-2 ATS) after their first eight losses this season, with each of the seven wins coming by at least nine points or more.
The Heat were snapping an 0-7 skid against the divisional leaders, but that took nothing short of a fourth-quarter miracle (won 100-98 on a Dwayne Wade last second shot), and potential bettors should still be wary before supporting them on the spread, especially if they're playing without their dominant center, Shaquille O'Neal (9-9 this season without him). In contrast, red-hot Dallas are stuffing their bettors wallets right now after going 13-1 (11-3 ATS) in their last 14 games, and the Mavericks should be closely followed in the coming weeks.
New Orleans are a team of young players and limited talent, but they continue to get the results for bettors - 11-5 ATS the last 16 games! A key player for them is rookie Chris Paul, and they'll continue to overachieve as long as he's healthy and in the line up. Stay with them for a season-long profit, and don't forget our Parlay Bonus pays you much more for hitting your parlays. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NBA & NCAAB parlays on the following 6 markets:-
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
LAST WEEK – ARRON OBERHOLSER WON AT 28/1!
TIGER 31/10 FOR FIRST NISSAN WIN
Nissan Open - Live betting available
Th Feb 16 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Fr Feb 17 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Sa Feb 18 – 3:00 pm ET (ABC)
Su Feb 19 - 3:30 pm ET (ABC)
Tiger Woods is bidding to make it three wins from three 2006 starts when he tees up at the Riviera Country Club this week, yet bet365 are still offering a generous 3/1 for him to win (31/10 in our Enhanced Win Only market). That price is even more surprising when you consider that his closest challengers in the world rankings – Singh, Mickelson and Goosen - are resting this week, and that his nearest rival in the betting, Ernie Els, is almost sure to need his first start in his US-build-up to that elusive Masters (8/1 to prevail at Augusta here at bet365). However, with a record of zero wins from seven professional appearances (plus two missed cuts as an amateur!), Tiger still needs to prove that he can handle this relatively short course (only three par fives), and the value lies elsewhere.
Step forward ('on the tee') Robert Allenby, whose form on the Australasian Tour this winter was nothing short of amazing – he swept the Australian 'triple crown' of that nation's Open, PGA and Masters! He's also got three top 15's at Riviera, including a victory in 2001, and his third in last week's Johnnie Walker was a perfect warm-up for this. Of course, he's no good thing in this massive field, but everything's in place for a big week, and he's a great each-way price at 33/1 due to the presence of Tiger in the field.
Foreigners (non-US players) have a great record here – won six of the last nine renewals – so we shouldn't be out off backing one of the Europeans this week. Garcia and Donald will have their supporters at 25/1 and 40/1 respectively, but this is also a great event for long shots, so we'll be risking a few quid on Brian Davis who is a massive 125/1 with bet365 (12/1 to be Top European). His four starts this year have got progressively better, culminating in a fine tie for seventh last week at Pebble Beach. He also finished in a tie for third on is debut at Riviera last year, which makes his price even more hard to believe!
The final pick goes to Mike Weir, whose bet365 price of 25/1 is again inflated by the Tiger-factor, and who appeals on both current form and past form. He may have shot a disappointing 78 in the final round last week, but his first 54 holes (held the lead) were what was to be expected from a player with his stellar Pebble form, and his Riviera form is even better – winner in 2003 and 2004! Providing he can bounce back from Sunday's disaster, he looks sure to give us a great run for our money this week, but don't worry if you don't get on before the start as we'll have live In-Play betting throughout the event.
Nissan Open Three Off the Tee...Mike Weir 25/1, Robert Allenby 33/1, Brian Davis 125/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» February 15th, 2006
This week's article brought to you by Mark Henderson
Rafa's Revenge for Last Gasp Old Trafford Loss
Manchester Utd and Liverpool are separated by 30 miles and 3 Premiership points. That's about it. In terms of talent, there's barely a kitten's whisker between them, so picking a winner in Saturday's FA Cup 5th round match is going to be difficult.
bet365's odds reflects how closely matched these two are (7/5 Liverpool, 2/1 Man Utd) and Rio Ferdinand's last minute winner at Old Trafford last month followed a 0-0 draw at Anfield earlier in the season. Of course, you can't discount the draw here (2/1), so the best value looks to be on the Asian handicap where there is a 0 ball mark-up. Liverpool are available at 1.85 with Man Utd 2.00 (you get your money back if it's a draw). In such tight matches, the 0 ball Asian handicap at bet365 offers incredible value (betting to 104%).
With the draw out of the equation, Liverpool look the better value. They've got over their sticky patch and their home record remains excellent (they've won 9 of their last 10 at Anfield). United, in contrast, have won only one of their last 5 Premiership games on the road and that came at lowly Portsmouth. There is a case for taking the plunge and backing Liverpool to win the game at 7/5, but with the sides so closely matched, caution must be the best policy.
Live Game Pick: Liverpool (to beat Man Utd) @ 1.85
[Asian Handicap] Saturday 12.30 – Live On BBC1
Killer Villa Can Pearce City's Defences @ 11/8
On Sunday at 6.30pm, BBC1 and bet365 are offering us Aston Villa (11/8) against Man City (19/10). The Blues are playing some attractive stuff, but are incredibly inconsistent of late, with 3 wins and 3 defeats in their last 6 Premiership games. City's away record is appalling, in fact, it's almost as bad as Villa's home form. City will be without top-scorer Andy Cole, leaving the untried combination up-front of Vassell (7/1 to score first against his former employers) and £6 million man Georgios Samaras (15/2 to score first). Cole has netted 10 times this season and has formed a useful partnership with Vassell. Losing him is a big blow and could just turn the tie Villa's way.
Live Game Pick: Aston Villa (to beat Man City) @ 11/8
Sunday 18.30 – Live On BBC 1
Toon On The Roeder Recovery for Our Accumulator
The first leg of our weekend accumulator starts on Friday night, where peerless Reading travel to Kenilworth Road. Reading are priced at an amazing 11/10 to beat Luton, who have already suffered home defeats this season to the likes of Stoke, Burnley and Hull. Reading are proving to be different class, so a bet365 11/10 quote looks far too big.
Newcastle (2/5) have won both of their matches under Glenn Roeder, and they should continue their winning ways by beating Southampton at St James' Park on Saturday. Their recent upturn in fortune may be just papering over the cracks and their cup run may well end if they're matched with a Premiership team, but the luck of the draw helped the Magpies so far and they'll be expecting to be in the hat for the quarter finals.
They may be struggling in the league, but Birmingham (Evens) have shown they're still a cut above the Championship teams by beating Reading in the last round. They travel to Stoke on Sunday, who haven't won a game since 17th December, a run which has seen them slip from 5th to 16th place in the Championship. Birmingham may not see the FA Cup as their top priority but they've got a talented squad and should have far too much for demoralised Stoke.
The final leg of our Accumulator is the weekend's only Premiership clash between Tottenham (4/6) and Wigan (4/1). Spurs may have gone off the boil a bit in recent weeks, but their home form has remained solid (6 wins from their last 7). Wigan have lost their way lately, a last-gasp win at Middlesbrough has been their only success of 2006 and they should struggle against Spurs who'll have Mido back after his eventful African Nations Cup trip. Since their great early-season run came to an end, Wigan have won only four of their last 15 league matches.
Accumulator: Reading (11/10) Newcastle (2/5) Birmingham (Evs) Tottenham (4/6) - £25 Accumulator Pays £245.00
7/1 Nicholls can Pip Pipe in March to Red Square
The Paul Nicholls-Martin Pipe bandwagon moves to Haydock this weekend where the two heavyweight trainers have entered 10 horses between them for the Red Square Vodka Gold Cup. High-class 6-year-old Joaaci currently heads the betting at 5/1, and Pipe will be hoping for better luck this time around after he was brought down when travelling well behind the eventual winner in the Totesport Classic Chase last month.
That race was won very impressively by Eurotrek, who renews his rivalry with Joaaci here. Paul Nicholls runner is 7/1 at the moment and is bound to attract support. He's a proven stayer on soft ground so the only question mark is his weight. If, as expected, Nicholls takes out Royal Auclair, the weights will rise by 8lb, which will hamper the Pipe trio of Joacci, Therealbandit (currently 12/1) and It Takes Time (16/1). Grand National fancy Silver Birch is unlikely to participate, and Francois Doumen's Innox (12/1 at present) may prefer a crack at the Racing Post Chase at Sandown next week.
As usual for this time of year, the race is likely to cut up badly come Saturday, so with so many horses unlikely to start, the 7/1 Eurotrek could look a big price. The race is live on BBC2, but don't worry of you can't get to a TV. bet365 customers can still watch the race live on-line by betting £5 and clicking on the live stream next to the race.
Horse Pick: Eurotrek (1.40 Haydock, Saturday) @ 7/1
7/1 Clan Royal can go One Better This Year at Aintree
When it comes to horse racing, there's unlucky and there's Clan Royal. Bombing along in front last year, I was already planning my spending spree when he gets carried out by a loose horse. I still wake up in the middle of the night sometimes dreaming about it, but this year I can banish that painful memory of 9th April 2005 by backing Jonjo's 11 year-old at 7/1.
Last year's winner, Hedgehunter, is has been given a 12lb higher mark than last season whereas Clan Royal runs off the same 10st 8lb mark. The Grand National hasn't been the luckiest race for him, finishing second to Amberleigh House in 2004, but this generous handicap mark could mean his luck is changing. Since the weights were published on Tuesday, there's been a nibble for Paul Nicholls' Silver Birch who is now 14/1 from 16/1.
Ante Post Pick: Clan Royal (John Smith's Grand National) @ 7/1
England's Cowboys 11/1 for Indian Massacre
We might not be getting the massive 15/8 we got for Pakistan earlier this winter, but India to win the series at 4/5 is still a cracking bet. England haven't won a single test in India since 1984, losing 6 of their last 8 on the sub-continent. Also, the timing of this tour plays into India's hands. England's last tour of India was in 2001 during December, when it is a lot cooler than it is in March. In 1993, England toured after Christmas and wilted in the fierce heat, losing the three match series 3-0, two of those defeats were by an innings.
England's success over the past couple of years has been built on their pace attack, but with Flintoff likely to miss the final test and Harmison and Hoggard looking ineffective in Pakistan, it will be down to their spinners to bear the brunt of the bowling. Udal, Panesar and Blackwell have only three caps between them and a test bowling average of 92. In contrast, Harbhajan and Kumble are two of the best spinners on the planet, the latter needing just six more wickets to be the 5th player in history to take 500 test scalps. In the last series in India in November, 61 of the 86 wickets taken fell to spinners.
Apart from the gulf in class on the slow bowler front, India have probably the finest batting line up in the world. Tendulkar, Dravid, Sehwag and Dohni are all genuine world class performers and Yuvraj and Laxman would get into most test teams around the world. Michael Vaughan has injury worries, Flintoff will be at his wife's bedside during the final test and I fear the worst for England's inexperienced spinners against the might of the Indian top order. One of the reasons England won the Ashes was a settled side, something they didn't have in Pakistan, and something they don't have here. It could be a long, hard tour in Indian country.
Cricket Pick: India to win the Test Series (v England) @ 4/5
Series Correct Score Pick: India to win 3-0 @ 11/1
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» February 10th, 2006
LAST WEEK'S PICKS: PITTSBURGH -4 & PITTSBURGH / PITTSBURGH DOUBLE RESULT AT EVENS
BAND OF STEEL 10/1 TO HIT RIGHT NOTE AGAIN
This year's Super Bowl XL winners Pittsburgh are only the joint second most-fancied team (at 10/1) in their Conference with bet365 to win next year's Vince Lombardi Trophy after Sunday's 21-10 success against Seattle. The Steelers had been four-point favourites going into the game, but came home by a relatively comfortable margin, after making the big plays when they needed them, and having the officials wipe off the best of the Seahawk's work.
For Super Bowl XXXI, bet365 prefers the chance of this season's fast starters Indianapolis, and we make the Colts 6/1 favourites ahead of last year's winners New England, San Diego and Pittsburgh at 10/1 – all from the AFC. No surprise when you consider that the Conference has won the Super Bowl in seven of the last nine years. In fact, runners-up Seattle, at 12/1 joint third-favourites, are the highest-quoted NFC side in the 2007 market.
BIG BEN DELIGHTS BACKERS AT 33/1
After seeing stacks of money on Ben Roethlisberger at 11/4 to be MVP, there was a sense of relief to the layers at bet365 when the award went to Hines Ward, who was friendless at 8/1. His biggest play came when Roethlisberger handed over passing duties to receiver Antwaan Randle-El on a trick play, which saw Ward break free to score a 43-yard TD. However, Big Ben scoring was great news to the bet365 customers who had backed him to score first from 33/1 to 16/1, but they had their fingers burnt on the bet365 'score anytime' market, when neither Bettis nor Alexander went over for a TD.
AFC PRO-BOWL FAVS AT -4
On Sunday, the best players from the AFC will face their counterparts from the NFC in the heat of the Pro Bowl in Hawaii. The bet365 Pro Bowl line is not dissimilar to that of Super Bowl, with the AFC favoured by 4-points, although the perfect playing conditions and nature of the game dictate that the total is set at 69.0. Kick-off for the 2006 Pro Bowl will be 6 pm ET. (1pm Hawaii time), and we'll have live In-Play betting here at bet365 via our 'In-play Console (found on our homepage).
NFL Pro-Bowl Money Line...NFC 33/20, AFC 20/37
Pro-Bowl Pick: AFC -4 @ 10/11
DAYTONA READY TO ROLL WITH SHOOTOUT
Budweiser Shootout
Sa Feb 11 – 8 pm ET (TNT) / HDTV – Betting available on day of race
With the Super Bowl done and dusted, we can now look forward to the 2006 Nextel Cup season. And, just like it has since 1979, this Saturday night's Budweiser Shootout at the historic Daytona International Speedway will signal the beginning of another season. This is what you might call a 'fun' race, as there are no points allocated to either drivers or teams, but the winner can at least look forward to some momentum for when the serious stuff begins the following week in the season-opening Daytona 500 (full betting preview next week). A word or warning though, in the previous 27 Shootouts, only five winners have gone on to take the sport's biggest prize, the '500', and none since 2000.
JOHNSON THE DRIVER TO BEAT THIS YEAR AT 5/1
Of course, we'll have all the odds for the big race next week, but we've already got the latest Championship odds here at bet365, and last year's runner-up Jimmie Johnson is available at 5/1, along with current champion Tony Stewart. Many thought 2005 was going to be Johnson's year the way he came out charging, leading in points for 17 weeks, only for his team to falter to finish behind Stewart and his Joe Gibbs Racing Team.
Johnson's last victory came at Lowe's Motor Speedway in October, and was the 18th of his Nextel Cup career. He now has a top-10 finish at every track on the NASCAR Nextel Cup series circuit - Indianapolis and Kansas are the only two tracks where he has not posted a top-five finish – so there would no more worthy winner than Johnson. The problem last year (and in the previous two years) was that he came out too fast and burnt himself out by the time the 'Chase' got underway. His goal this year will be to pace himself and his No.48 team, so that he's running in the top-five in points after the first 26 races. Once he gets into the 'Chase' (last 10 races), he can really turn it on.
CLARK IS A REGULATION BET AT A STAND-OUT 25/1
AT&T Pebble Beach
Live betting – Th Feb 9 – 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Live betting - Fr Feb 10 - 3:00 pm ET (USA)
Live betting – Sa Feb 11 – 3:00 pm ET (CBS)
Live betting – Su Feb 12 – 3:00 pm ET (CBS)
Another pro-am lies in wait over the weekend on the US Tour, played over three courses (two at Pebble Beach), where the small greens are particularly influential and place a great emphasis on greens in regulation (live 'In Play' betting available at bet365).
This week's defending champion, Phil Mickelson, is difficult to leave out of calculations, despite some indifferent play in the last couple of weeks. His record here speaks for itself – twice a winner and twice third in his last eight visits – and his record at this time of year (the West Coast Swing) is superb, so I expect him to win one soon. However, at 5/1 (21/4 Enhanced Win Only) he hardly screams value, and better value can be had by backing Tim Clark at a standout bet365 price of 25/1. After making the cut at the Bob Hope, he showed his true abilities by finishing only three shots out of the playoff at the Buick Invitational. More importantly, he ranked 1st in driving accuracy and greens in regulation that week.
Also worth an interest this week is Arron Oberholser, who is a regular contender on the West Coast, and rates solid each-way value at the bet365 price of 28/1. He's finished fourth and sixth at Pebble the last two years, and has opened 2006 in great style, improving with every tournament he's played, culminating with four sub-70 rounds to finish tenth to last week's shock winner, John B. Holmes.
If there was going to be another J.B. Holmes-type result again this week, then one of the more likely candidates would be Bubba Watson at 66/1. So far on the Tour this year, he's the only player to outrank JB in driving distance, and has come pretty close to winning too, with finishes of 2nd and 4th. So long as his driving holds up this week, these courses will set up well for him, and he looks a big price at 66/1 here at bet365.
AT&T Pebble Beach Three Off the Tee...Tim Clark 25/1, Arron Oberholser 28/1, Bubba Watson 66/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» February 8th, 2006
RED DEVILS 4/6 JOLLIES TO FOLLOW HOME BLUES
Liverpool have been replaced by Manchester United at the head of the bet365 Premiership 'Without Chelsea' market after losing 2-0 at Stamford Bridge last weekend. United, who are 4/6 to finish second, have spent most of the season hoping for the leaders to slip up but, with just 13 matches to go, it's only a question of time before Chelsea wrap things up mathematically, and reward those bet365 punters who backed them at 10/11!
CHELSEA TO HAVE A FIELD DAY AT 2.10
Boro may have taken the scalps of Arsenal and Man United at the Riverside, but they have managed just one other win there this season, and have now gone six league games without victory, conceding on average more than two goals a game. Expect Chelsea to have a field day here, and they should be the cornerstone of any bet365 Premiership Accumulator this weekend. They can also be backed with confidence on our Asian Handicap, giving up a goal and a quarter start (currently 2.10). Here at bet365 we bet this market to just 102%, so it's easy to see where the value lies, compared to the fixed price of 2/5.
Asian Handicap Pick: Chelsea (-1.25 goals @ 2.10)
The anticipated loss for Boro would see them drop into the bottom three, and the 11/4 currently on offer for them to be relegated will look decent value come next week (especially if Birmingham beat West Ham on Monday night). bet365 also go 5-2 that Steve McClaren is removed from his Middlesbrough post before the season is over, following their 4-0 loss to Aston Villa at the Riverside.
13/10 UNITED FOR THE DOUBLE
No prizes for picking Man United to beat Portsmouth this weekend at 8/15 but, bearing in mind that Pompey have conceded almost as many goals in the first half as in the second, there's grounds for taking the bet365 price of 13/10 for United to have this sewn up by half time. Man City are a much better team at home, where only one team outside the top four has beaten them, and they should be backed at 10/11 to beat Charlton on Sunday. The Addicks started the season as the Premiership's most impressive away team, but have now gone six away games without a win, and it's hard to imagine them reversing that form here.
At Craven Cottage, Fulham ought to be able to improve on their decent home record against a Baggies outfit that is poor on the road, and they complete our weekend at accumulator at bet365 odds of 5/6. A £50 four-fold on our four outright selections this weekend will return you £394.45 at the current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend here at bet365).
Weekend Premiership Picks:
Man United to beat Portsmouth @ 8/15 (United / United @ 13/10)
Man City to beat Charlton @ 10/11
Fulham to beat West Brom @ 5/6
4-fold on Chelsea (2/5); Man Utd; Man City; Fulham – pays £394.45 (£50 stake)
GOALS A SAFE BET AT 21/20
West Ham v Birmingham
Mo Feb 13 - 20.00 BST ko (SS1)
Monday's live encounter (up to 14 bet365 'In-Play' markets available) looks closer to call, with slight preference for West Ham at 10/11, who are on a six-game winning streak. However, with Birmingham on the rise too, the better bet looks to be on the 'Over' goals market. If you ignore an end-of-year two-game blip, the Hammers have scored in all of their last 15 games, with 15 goals in the last six. Unfortunately for them, they've also been conceding plenty too! Since drawing 0-0 with Arsenal back in December, they've managed just two clean sheets in all competitions.
Live Game Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20
CHIEF TO TRIUMPH AT 10/1
Should racing go ahead, the highlight of Saturday's card from Newbury will be the fiercely competitive Totesport Trophy (3.10), for which the Alan King-trained Penzance has been installed as the bet365 6/1 joint-favourite. His finest hour came when winning the 2005 Triumph Hurdle at The Festival, but he's been below that form in his two runs this season. However, a left-handed track and decent ground are Penzance's' requirements and he should get that on Saturday, while his Cheltenham heroics prove he'll be able to live with what's likely to be a furious pace. Connections are confident of a big run, but preference is for Chief Yeoman, who looks to have been laid out for the race, and is currently at double-figure odds (10/1).
He's another who has run with credit in the Triumph Hurdle (second in 2004), and he looked on the way back to his best when chasing home the useful Acambo (getting 17lb!) at Windsor before Christmas. Since then the selection was far from disgraced in an ultra-competitive race at Sandown, and he'll be much more suited to Newbury's track. The fact that he's been given a Champion Hurdle entry tells its own story. If you're looking for one at a decent price, then Admiral has plenty going for him at a tasty 25/1. He needs to improve on his run on very soft ground last time, but his early season handicap form brings him right into the reckoning. If you're having a forecast bet, remember to take the bet365 'Showcast' price on the day, as we'll pay you the starting price (CSF) is it's bigger!
bet365 customers can also take advantage of our Channel 4 Offer on this race (and the other six live races from Newbury and Warwick on Saturday). Back a winner at 4/1 or bigger to get a free bet to the same stake on the next live race.
Totesport Trophy Picks: Chief Yeoman @ 10/1 / Admiral @ 25/1 (Each-way)
bet365's BEEF OR SALMON TV DINNER
Other highlights from Newbury will include the reappearance of current Champion Chase 2/1 favourite Kauto Star (3.45), and the running of the Aon Chase (2.35), which should be an informative guide to this season's Gold Cup. Martin Pipe has a strong hand here with five possible runners, the best of which would be Celestial Gold, but he could be thwarted by Take The Stand. This one will be ridden by Tony McCoy, and is reported to be in 'excellent shape' by his trainer Peter Bowen. Current Gold Cup favourite, Beef Or Salmon, will be a warm order when he lines up for Sunday's Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup at Leopardstown. The race is not live on terrestrial TV, but bet365 customers can still watch the race live by betting £5 and clicking on the live stream next to the race.
CLARK IS A REGULATION BET AT A STAND-OUT 25/1
AT&T Pebble Beach
Th Feb 9 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Feb 10 – 20.00 BST (SSX)
Sa Feb 11 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Feb 12 – 20.30 BST (SS2)
Another pro-am lies in wait over the weekend on the US Tour, played over three courses (two at Pebble Beach), where the small greens are particularly influential and place a great emphasis on greens in regulation (live 'In Play' betting available at bet365).
This week's defending champion, Phil Mickelson, is difficult to leave out of calculations, despite some indifferent play in the last couple of weeks. His record here speaks for itself – twice a winner and twice third in his last eight visits – and his record at this time of year (the West Coast Swing) is superb, so I expect him to win one soon. However, at 5/1 (21/4 Enhanced Win Only) he hardly screams value, and better value can be had by backing Tim Clark at a standout bet365 price of 25/1. After making the cut at the Bob Hope, he showed his true abilities by finishing only three shots out of the playoff at the Buick Invitational. More importantly, he ranked 1st in driving accuracy and greens in regulation that week.
Also worth an interest this week is Arron Oberholser, who is a regular contender on the West Coast, and rates solid each-way value at the bet365 price of 28/1. He's finished fourth and sixth at Pebble the last two years, and has opened 2006 in great style, improving with every tournament he's played, culminating with four sub-70 rounds to finish tenth to last week's shock winner, John B. Holmes.
If there was going to be another J.B. Holmes-type result again this week, then one of the more likely candidates would be Bubba Watson at 66/1. So far on the Tour this year, he's the only player to outrank JB in driving distance, and has come pretty close to winning too, with finishes of 2nd and 4th. So long as his driving holds up this week, these courses will set up well for him, and he looks a big price at 66/1 here at bet365.
AT&T Pebble Beach Three Off the Tee... Tim Clark 25/1, Arron Oberholser 28/1, Bubba Watson 66/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» February 2nd, 2006
PITTSBURGH V SEATTLE – STEELERS FAVOURITE AT -4
Live betting - Su Feb 5 – 6:00pm ET
Either way, the team that wins the Super Bowl must be considered as a surprise. Pittsburgh were as big as 50/1 after Week 13, while Seattle were pre-season 40/1 shots. Pittsburgh have since won seven in a row to reach the Super Bowl for the first time since 1995, including a swashbuckling playoff run which saw them join the 1985 Patriots as the only clubs to win three consecutive road games in the preseason. In comparison, Seattle have had a relatively easy time of it getting to their first Super Bowl, handing out a 20-10 the Redskins in the divisional round, and then blowing out the Carolina Panthers 34-14 in the NFC Championship Game. On that evidence, we made Pittsburgh early favourites at -3 here at bet365, and this has now been bet down to -4. The total is set at 47.5 (from 47).
bet365 Super Bowl Money Line... Pittsburgh 20/37, Seattle 33/20
Although this is technically a road game for both, the well-backed Steelers can expect to have an element of home advantage on Sunday. Detroit isn't too far from Pittsburgh, and their fans should easily out-number those from the Pacific north-west. The reduced Seahawk fans will take also away the noise advantage that played such a factor throughout the regular and postseason back in Washington. And, playing on an artificial surface should prove a bigger disadvantage to Seattle. Pittsburgh only recently played in a Dome when defeating the Colts, whilst Seattle's only indoor game was way back in Week 5 against St Louis.
ONE MORE FOR THE ROAD?
Not that Pittsburgh should feel disadvantaged playing away from home. Their last three wins all came on the road, starting with Cincinnati in the Wild Card playoffs, before a 21-18 win at Indianapolis, a team who many predicted would win the Super Bowl after it's 13-0 start. However, their best road performance came in Denver, winning the AFC championship game 34-17 over a club which hadn't lost at home all season. During the main season, Seattle's three defeats all came on the road – Jacksonville, Washington and Green Bay (admittedly at a time when the number one seed was all but secure) – and they struggled to beat San Francisco (27-25) and Tennessee (28-24), two of the poorest NFL teams in 2005. So, the omens are good for Pittsburgh, and they look a solid bet at -4.
Super Bowl XL Pick: Pittsburgh -4 @ 10/11
SUPER BOWL 'XL' LIVES UP TO ITS BILLING
First Score of Game
You'd think that it would be easier to score a field goal than a TD, but both of these teams like to make their first score of the game in the end zone. The Steelers have scored a six-pointer first in 14 of their 19 games this season, while the Seahawks have gone one better.
Pick: Touchdown @ 4/7
Team scoring first wins game
No team knows how to protect a lead like Pittsburgh, especially in the playoffs. If the Steelers can put some early points on the board, then expect them to do anything to protect that lead.
Pick: Yes @ 4/7
Penalties - Total number of penalties made by both teams, over or under 12 1/2?
This total is probably based on the fact that the Seahawks and the Steelers were two of only eight teams in the NFL to commit fewer than100 penalties over the season. However, everything changes under the glare of the Super Bowl lights, especially for Super Bowl virgins. The Panthers were flagged 12 times in 2004 in their first ever appearance, while Baltimore also succumbed to nerves with nine penalties in 2001.
Pick: Over 12 1/2 @ 10/11
Sacks - Total quarterback sacks made in the game, over or under 4 1/2?
The Steelers defence is nasty, but it's the Seahawks that lead the NFL in sacks in the regular season with 50 (three more than Pittsburgh), led by Rocky Bernard on 8 1/2 (scored two more against Carolina in the NFC Championship game). For Pittsburgh, Joey Porter is leading all linebackers with 10 1/2 sacks this season, and he's a constant source of irritation to offences.
Pick: Over 4.5 Sacks @ 10/11
Double Result
If Pittsburgh is a solid bet at -4, an even better bet could be on our half time / full time market, which sees the AFC champions available at Evens to be leading at both the interval and at the end of the fourth quarter. This is also backed up by the fact that six of the last seven Steelers' games have followed this trend.
Pick: Pittsburgh / Pittsburgh @ Evens
Highest Scoring Quarter
Super Bowl fans have been treated to some crazy finishes in recent years. In six of the last seven finals, the highest scoring quarter has been the fourth, yet our betting for the most productive quarter is like any other NFL game – second quarter as favourite, ahead of the fourth, with the first and third as rags. Only once in the past 20 years has the first quarter copped, while the third looks bad value at 13/8 given that scoring between the 16th and 30th minutes has been the most productive only three times (once in the last 14).
Pick: Fourth Quarter @ 9/5
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
Of course, there's only one game on the schedule this weekend, and if you like to bet 'In-Play' you'll love our new 'In-Play Console', which has all the odds and markets on one convenient page - just click on the link on the top left-hand side of the home page.
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS WITH BET365...
You should know the score by now, but it's worth repeating that you can earn up to 50% more on your football (and basketball) parlays here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus - we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
- Point Spread
- Game Total
- First Half Point Spread
- Second Half Point Spread
- First Half Total
- Second Half Total
For example, a $50 Parlay on Pittsburgh -4 and 'Over' 47.5 Points pays out $191.34, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» February 1st, 2006
This week's article brought to you by Mark Henderson
No Euro Skeptics – England are 4/1 Favourites!
Following a favourable draw in Montreux last week, England are the 4/1 favourites to win Euro 2008. The Three Lions are 2/5 to win Group G, which also contains Croatia (4/1) and Russia (5/1). Poor Scotland have an horrific group which includes Italy (11/10 to win Group B), France (5/4) and Ukraine, who at 9/2 look the best value. The Ukrainian’s are notoriously difficult to beat, and no-one will relish a trip to Kiev. Ukraine qualified for this summer’s World Cup in a group which included Turkey, Denmark and Euro 2004 Champions Greece.
Euro 2008 – To Qualify for the Finals: 1/20 England, 6/4 Rep.Ireland, 8/1 Wales, 10/1 Scotland, 50/1 N.Ireland.
4/5 Chelsea at Home? You’re havin’ A Laugh!
Chelsea and Liverpool have met each other an incredible eight times in the last two seasons, and the Reds have come out on top only once. Some may argue that the Champions League semi-final at Anfield last May was the most important of these eight games, but nevertheless, it does remain their only victory over Jose Mourinho’s men. Whilst Liverpool (10/3 to win on Sunday) are as good a side as they’ve been for many years, Chelsea continue to raise the bar above and beyond any other team, making the 4/5 at home look massive. Chelsea last suffered a home league defeat way back in February 2004 and Liverpool’s last away venture ended in defeat, albeit unluckily, to Manchester Utd.
Live Game Pick:
Chelsea to beat Liverpool @ 4/5 (Sunday 16.00, Sky Sports 1)
DJ’s Blues can be Louder than the Gunners @ 10/3
It’s been a shocking season for Arsenal so far, and could get a lot worse come Saturday evening. Arsenal can’t be backed with any confidence at 8/11 and, although Birmingham are third from bottom, it’s worth remembering that Arsenal have already lost at places like West Brom and Middlesbrough. Birmingham are unbeaten in their last 5 home matches and the Gunners away record is worse than Aston Villa’s and Newcastle’s. The Blues are finally showing signs of recovery, and with the useful addition of Chris Sutton and the sensational swoop for DJ Campbell, the 10/3 looks very tempting.
Premiership Pick:
Birmingham to beat Arsenal @ 10/3 (Saturday 15.00)
Hammers & Rovers Make A Cracker of an Acca!
After watching their 3-0 humiliation at home to Middlesbrough on Tuesday, it’s clear that Sunderland have only two hopes of retaining their Premiership status next year. No hope and Bob hope. Throw in the fact that Sunderland’s last Premiership win in London was in March 2001 (against Chelsea no less!), the 8/15 for West Ham is definitely worth throwing in our accumulator. The reasons for opposing Sunderland are too numerous to mention, so I’ll crack on with my final selection for this weeks accumulator, which is Blackburn at 11/8. Mark Hughes’ outfit have been quietly climbing up the Premiership. After 6 matches, they were third from bottom, but now look like possible UEFA Cup candidates. The Baggies have suffered back-to-back home defeats to Aston Villa and Sunderland and won’t be looking forward to Blackburn’s physical style of play
We’ve got some big prices in there, so it’s big returns for small stakes time! A mere fiver will return £149.13 on our Premiership four-timer, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (Up to 60% available every Premiership weekend).
Premiership Accumulator Pick:
Birmingham (10/3), Blackburn (11/8), West Ham (8/15) and Chelsea (4/5) - Pays £149.13 (Only £5 stake)
Trust 9/2 Dempsey, and Make Pieces of Silver this Weekend
The Victor Chandler Chase will finally take place this weekend. The race, originally run at Ascot, was switched to Cheltenham before that card was abandoned and has finally ended up at Sandown. Paul Nicholls has put a cat amongst the pigeons by entering Hoo La Baloo, which was immediately well supported (currently 8/1 from 12/1). Hoo La Baloo only runs on right-handed tracks, so the original Cheltenham venue would never have been considered. Paul Nicholls’ 4 year-old did win a Grade 2 chase over course and distance on Boxing Day, but this race may cut up slightly with Sandown planning to water the back straight before Saturday.
Watering will suit Albuhera (5/1), Bambi De L’orme (10/1) and Town Crier (15/2), the latter was Tom Segal’s Pricewise selection for the original abandoned race. This is a fiercely competitive Chase, but Dempsey could have too much for his rivals at 9/2. Mark Pitman’s 8 year-old has a 100% record over 2 miles at Sandown, and Pitman believes the extra week’s break will work in Dempsey’s favour. Dempsey renews rivalries with Tikram (7/1) and Tysou (12/1), both of whom were beaten by Pitman’s runner last time out.
Nicholls’ Gelding can Be Be King of the Hurdlers
Paul Nicholls may have surprised a few people by throwing Hoo La Baloo in the Victor Chandler Chase, but there’ll be no surprises if his much-improved Be Be King wins the Totescoop6 Handicap Hurdle on Saturday.
The 7 year-old gelding looked uneasy during his hurdling debut at Uttoxeter, but has won all three subsequent races, improving every time. A 3 1/2 length victory in a decent Grade 2 contest last time out showed us enough to suggest he can win on Saturday. Be Be King is likely to start around the 3/1 mark, with Nicholls’ other two runners Gungadu and Fountain Hill both likely to be around 12/1 or 14/1.
With Channel 4 covering racing from both Sandown and Wetherby, bet365 customers can take advantage of our fantastic Channel 4 Offer. Back a winner at 4/1, or bigger, and we'll give you a free bet (up to £50) on the next live race on the channel.
bet365 customers can watch the remainder of the cards via our new 'Bet & Watch' service, which allows you to watch EVERY race in the UK and Ireland live. Just bet £5 with us to take advantage of this service – why bet anywhere else?
Horse Racing Pick:
Dempsey (1.30 Sandown, Saturday) @ 9/2
Be Be King (3.10 Sandown, Saturday)
Killer Wales 10/11 to Make a Mockery of 16 Point Handicap
The Six Nations Championship kicks-off this weekend, with last year’s Grand Slam winners Wales taking on England at Twickenham. Wales haven’t won at Twickers since Margaret Thatcher was Prime Minister (they’re 5/1 to win the match) and, given their horrendous injury list, they’ll certainly find it tough this weekend, but this match should be closer than the 16-point handicap on offer.
11/8 For a French Collection
Although they’re the current reigning champions, Wales simply don’t have the same strength in-depth as France or England, and the French are worthy favourites for the title at 4/5. With so many players missing, the 9/1 about a Welsh repeat success of last year is about right, but the 28/1 about a Grand Slam has little appeal. Given the poor performance of the Lions down under, this year could all be about the French, who will use this as a springboard for next year’s World Cup, which they host. The fact that they play England and Ireland in Paris just gives them the edge, and the 11/8 for the Grand Slam could look value come mid-March.
Rugby Union Pick:
Wales (+16 points) to best England @ 10/11
France to Win The Grand Slam @ 11/8
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» January 26th, 2006
PITTSBURGH V SEATTLE – STEELERS NOW FAVOURED AT -4
Another week, another Super Bowl favorite. After the demise of Indy, it was Denver who took over the poisoned chalice of favouritism but that was short-lived, and the team that beat both the Colts and the Broncos are now favoured at 5/9 straight up. Pittsburgh, who were as big as 50/1 after Week 13, will now face Seattle in Super Bowl XL after becoming the first sixth seed to reach the big game. We make Pittsburgh 4-point favorites after winning on the road against the first, second and third seeds in their Conference. Seattle, who were available at 40/1 (Pittsburgh 16/1) pre-season, are in their first Super Bowl after easily disposing a lack-lustre Carolina. The total is set at 47 here at bet365.
If anything, the Super Bowl line is based on the belief that the AFC is vastly superior to the NFC. Pittsburgh, a No.6 seed, is -4 against Seattle, the NFC's top seed. That belief is backed up by looking at the teams that Pittsburgh have beaten in recent weeks – Cincinnati, Indianapolis and Denver – and they would have won all three by double-digits if it wasn't for a Jerome Bettis fumble near the goal line against Indy.
In comparison, Seattle have had a relatively easy time of it getting to the Super Bowl, handing out a 20-10 the Redskins in the divisional round, and then blowing out the Carolina Panthers 34-14 in the NFC Championship Game. And neither the Redskins (little offence) nor the Panthers (too many injuries) brought anything close to their 'A' game against the Seahawks.
The Steelers also became the second team in history to win three consecutive playoff games on the road to land in the Super Bowl. Yes the Seahawks are extremely tough at home, but where were Seattle's big road wins? During the regular season, the Seahawks' road wins came against the Rams, 49ers, Cardinals, Titans and an injury-depleted Eagles club. They struggled to beat the 49ers and the Titans, and they might struggle again at Ford Field in Detroit on February 5th (live 'In-play' betting here at bet365).
BETTORS RIDING STEELERS BUS TO VICTORY AT -4
Bettors here at bet365 certainly think so after backing the early -3 down to -4. That could easily go to -4.5 next week, especially as there is more of a fan base for Pittsburgh, and the general public tend to bet up the favorite on these occasions. So, if you're thinking of backing the Steelers, don't wait till next week, take the -4 now.
Super Bowl XL Pick: Pittsburgh -4 @ 10/11
BIG BEN 11/4 FOR GREATNESS
Last year's final featured two fine QB's in Donovan McNabb and Tom Brady. Brady was calm the whole game because he was playing in his third Super Bowl in four years, while McNabb (playing his first) was erratic. Nerves will again play a large part in this year's Super Bowl. Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger will become the second youngest QB (after the Dolphin's Dan Marino) to play in a Super Bowl at 23 years 11 months. Last year, he came close to becoming the first rookie QB to start in a Super Bowl, but was intercepted three times in the Steeler's 41-27 loss to the Pats in the AFC Championship game. Against Denver, he looked much more comfortable when completing 13-of-17 passes for 180 yards and two TD's in the first half, before finishing the job in the fourth quarter with a four-yard TD. That was his third striking performance in the playoffs. He's 11/4 favorite to pick up the Super Bowl MVP award, ahead of his Seattle counterpart Matt Hasselback, and the league MVP Shaun Alexander at 3/1.
Ben Roethlisberger to be Super Bowl MVP @ 11/4
MANNING SPECIALS
bet365 go 7/2 that Indianapolis QB Peyton Manning will win a Super Bowl one day, and pitch Manning's brother Eli (NY Giants) at 5/6 each in a match bet on who lifts the Vince Lombardi Trophy first.
More Super Bowl ramblings next week, including a look at our huge range of super Bowl props. In the meantime, don't forget, when placing your wagers this weekend our Parlay Bonus pays out more pays out up to 50% more on successful football (and basketball) parlays on the following 6 markets:
- Point Spread
- Game Total
- First Half Point Spread
- Second Half Point Spread
- First Half Total
- Second Half Total
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» January 25th, 2006
BOLTON TO WIN BATTLE OF THE REEBOK AT 9/5
Bolton v Arsenal
Sa Jan 28 – 5.40 ko (BBC1)
The Gunners will be reeling after being dumped out of the Carling Cup by Wigan in the week, and they might struggle to re-group for this midfield battle against Bolton. This is just the sort of game that Arsenal want to avoid right now and we could see an end to their excellent run in this competition (semi-finalists every year since 2000/01). Their form on the road makes them even less appealing here. They've already lost six Premiership aways this season (including at the Reebok), while Bolton have lost only once at home in all competitions. Last week, I suggested that Bolton would struggle with a depleted squad against Man City, but they put in a sound performance to win 2-0 (12th clean sheet of the season), and they look a belting bet at 9/5 to see off the Londoners. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 'In-Play' markets.
Live Game Pick: Bolton @ 9/5
READING CAN PROGRESS AT 6/1
There are at least five Premiership sides guaranteed to bite the dust this weekend, and Birmingham could well be one of them. They did rout Portsmouth last weekend, but Pompey missed stacks of chances, and Reading are unlikely to be as generous in front of goal. Only three places separate the Championship leaders from Birmingham, and the Royals have only been beaten by Arsenal in the Carling Cup since the opening day of the season. They could be a good bet in our 'Furthest Progressing Championship Team' market at 6/1, as both Stoke (4/1) and Derby (6/1) could come unstuck against lower league rivals.
Stoke took two games and a penalty shoot-out to see off non-league Tamworth, then followed that with a dismal 3-0 home defeat against Hull. What's more, their top scorer is away on African Cup duty, and they weakened themselves further this week by selling defender John Hall. Their opponents Walsall have already negotiated a tricky away tie in the last round and must be in with a shout here. Championship strugglers Derby are coming off a 6-1 spanking by Coventry, and must travel to League 1 leaders Colchester, who have won eight of their last nine.
Reading to beat Birmingham @ 13/10
Reading to be Furthest Progressing Championship Team @ 6/1
Walsall to beat Stoke @ 7/2
Colchester to beat Derby @ 6/5
THERE'S LIFE IN MACKEMS AT 11/10
In other FA Cup games, a back-to-form Aston Villa (1/5) should have no trouble seeing off Port Vale, while Sunderland (11/10) are fancied to beat Brentford. The Mackems could well be playing in the same league as Brentford next season, but they're finally showing signs of life after beating West Brom and running Chelsea close. Charlton (1/5) can also take heart from their point at Stamford Bridge last weekend, and they can put an end to giant-killers Leyton Orient Cup run. The treble pays a respectable £75.60 for a £25 stake, but I would hesitate to include Newcastle in your accas this weekend. You could argue that 4/7 is a cracking price for them to beat Cheltenham, but they just can't be trusted right now, especially away from home. If they do win, it's unlikely to be by much, which makes an Asian Handicap bet on Cheltenham look attractive (bet to 102%).
FA Cup Treble: Aston Villa (1/5), Sunderland (11/10), Charlton (1/5)
Asian Handicap Pick: Cheltenham (v Newcastle)
7/2 ALBUHERA BACKED FOR CHANDLER
This weekend's racing is under threat from the freezing temperatures, but Cheltenham are '60-40' at the time of writing, so hopefully we'll get to see Saturday's star-studded card, and in particular the Victor Chandler Chase (2.10). Betting has really heated up over the last few days, and Albuhera, in particular, has been the subject of strong support. He's now 7/2 favourite (from 11/2), and this prolific hurdler (who has taken really well to fences his term) should be involved at the finish. However, his lack of experience could find him out in this hot contest, and he doesn't look good value now. Problem is most of his opponents have question marks against them too. Second favourite, Dempsey, is almost certainly better going right-handed, while the progressive Town Crier ran poorly on his only previous visit to the track.
PUT FAITH IN TYSOU AT 11/1
There are no such concerns about Tysou, who rates excellent each-way value at bet365's 11/1 (could be single figures on the day). He's already shown he can make light work of the stiff track and fences by winning over course and distance last month, one of several creditable runs at Cheltenham, including a fourth at last year's Festival. There was also a lot to like about his latest third behind Dempsey at Sandown and, on 4lb better terms, he's fancied to turn the tables on the winner back at his favourite track. The race is one of four to be screened live from the track by Channel 4, which means we can also look forward a free bet (up to £25) on the next live race, should the selection win at 4/1 or bigger.
Victor Chandler Pick: Tysou @ 11/1 (plus free Channel 4 bet!)
HARALD IS KING AT 6/1
Channel 4 are also showing the Skybet Chase from Southwell (2.25), where King Harald is fancied to get his career back on track (currently 6/1) – Channel 4 Offer applies. Things haven't really gone his way since winning at last year's Festival, as he had a really hard race on his reappearance at Cheltenham, and would have been feeling the effects of that when disappointing in the Hennessy. Since then, a bout of ringworm has kept him off the track, but he has been working well at home, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him bounce back to his best here. In an open year, he could also be an outside bet for this year's Gold Cup – he's currently a massive 50/1 with bet365 for that race, and those odds will collapse should he win well on Saturday.
Skybet Chase Pick: King Harald @ 6/1 (Gold Cup ante post @ 50/1)
BACK GOLD FOR GLORY AT 11/1
There should also be plenty of Gold Cup clues to be gleaned from the Cotswold Chase (3.20), to be run on the same card as the Victor Chandler. A good performance from any of the principals will see their odds tumbling for the big race in March, and Martin Pipe is sure to have Celestial Gold primed for his first run back since finishing seventh in last year's GC. A couple of early mistakes soon sealed his fate there, but he was probably 'over the top' for the season after magnificent wins in the Paddy Power and Hennessy. This season, his campaign has been geared towards the big one in March, but he goes well fresh so we can back him here with confidence (and have a few quid at 11/1 ante post). The danger is Monkerhostin, who remains in the form of his life and is still relatively unexposed over a staying trip. Don't forget, you can watch the race (any race) live here at bet365. Just bet £5 on the race and click on the live stream next to the race.
Cotswold Chase Pick: Celestial Gold (Gold Cup ante post @ 50/1)
DONALD TO START WHERE HE LEFT OFF AT 18/1
Buick Invitational
Th Jan 26 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Jan 27 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Sa Jan 28 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Jan 29 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
It might be folly to oppose Tiger this week in one of his favourite tournaments (form figures of 3-1-2-4-5-1-10-1), but we have to take his preparation on trust as he hasn't played competitive golf for over a month, and there must be plenty of each way value elsewhere. The main dangers according to our betting appear to be Phil Mickelson (9/1), but he'll have to drive a lot better than he did last week, while Sergio Garcia's (14/1) putting woes continue to make him a risky proposition. Instead, the 18/1 on Luke Donald looks an each-way steal (19/1 EWO). His record here is impressive – 7th, 2nd and 2nd – and he'll start this campaign with a great deal of confidence after shooting a final round 64 to win last month's Target World Challenge.
Also of interest this week, is last week's runner-up, Jesper Parnevik, at a particularly generous bet365 price of 66/1. That was a welcome return to form for the Swede, after a poor 2005 by his standards, and he's comfortable playing this course judged on his third here to Woods in 2004, and a runner-up spot in 1997. The final pick goes to Arron Oberholser, now that the Tour has reached his home state of California. He has finishes of 4th and 6th in two of three visits to Torrey Pines, and at next month's event at Pebble Beach. In fact, he has a top-10 strike rate of 40% on the PGA Tour in California, which makes our 66/1 look very attractive (40/1 in a place!).
Of course, Tiger won't have to be 100% to win this week, and I wouldn't put anyone off backing him at 13/5 in our 'Enhanced Win Only' market, or wait until the event goes in-running, when he'll probably drift to a bigger price on our 'In-Play Console' at some stage.
Buick Invitational Three Off the Tee … Luke Donald 18/1, Arron Oberholser 66/1, Jesper Parnevik 66/1. Each-way 1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» January 20th, 2006
BIG NAMES CRASH OUT - DENVER NEW FAVS AT 15/8
Who’d have believed it – the reigning champions and the champions-elect (for many) are out of the Super Bowl at the last-eight stage. Both had opened the season as joint 6/1 favourites, but with the Pats dumped at Denver, and the Colts’ heroics just falling short at home to Pittsburgh 24 hours later, the outright market has a brand new flavour to it. And, it’s Denver who inherit favouritism after gaining home field advantage for the AFC Championship game against Pittsburgh, ahead of Seattle, who host awayday specialists Carolina. Both visitors are small handicap underdogs here at bet365 – Pittsburgh +3, Carolina +3.5.
SUPER BOWL LINES SCRAMBLED - AFC NOW -3.5
The ramifications of the Colts being eliminated can also be seen in our early Super Bowl XL line. Before Indy’s loss at the weekend, the AFC was as high as -8.5 to beat the NFC in the final (-12.5 before their loss to San Diego). The line would probably have been higher if the Colts had made it to Detroit. Instead, the number is all the way down to -3.5 for the AFC (the total is set at 46). As a result, if the Seahawks advance to Super Bowl XL, early NFC futures bettors here at bet365, could find themselves getting 8.5 points with the game day favourite, depending on how the AFC title game shakes out.
bet365’s latest Super Bowl line... +3.5 / AFC -3.5
AFC TITLE - PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT DENVER BRONCOS
Live betting - Su Jan 21 – 3:00 pm EST/08:00 GMT
The Steelers may have the most momentum of any team left in the NFL playoffs, after six straight victories. However, they could well run out of gas here, and the Broncos look great value with bet365 at -3. After beating the Bengals in Cincinnati and upsetting the Colts on Sunday, this could be one game too many for the Steelers. They’re such a physical team, which means they’re using up vast amounts of energy week in and week out. That could well take a heavy toll at the business end of the season. Remember, they’ve already lost four of five AFC championship games and one Super Bowl under Bill Cowher.
But that’s not the only factor working in the Bronco’s favour. Pittsburgh are 0-5 when they can’t get 100 yards rushing, and they’ll struggle to get 100 yards rushing at Denver. Then there's the Denver defense. Last week, the Steelers got a quick 14 on the board, but they only ended up with 21. You'd have to say that Denver are far superior defensively to Indy, allowing just 12 ppg at home this season. Oh, did I mention home field advantage!
Pick: Denver (-3.0) @ 10/11
NFC TITLE - CAROLINA PANTHERS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Live betting - Su Jan 21 – 6:30pm EST/11:30 GMT
If the Panthers want to reach the Super Bowl, they’ll have to win their fourth consecutive road game. However, we all know what the Panthers are like on the road, and they are excellent value at +3.5 with bet365. Of course, they’ll be without running back DeShaun Foster (broken ankle). Without him they really are a one-man offense with Steve Smith – but what a man! Last week, he helped the Panthers score 29 runs with a return of 219 yards on 12 receptions, TD’s of 58 and 39 yards, and 26 rushing yards for good measure.
While Smith has come up big in the playoffs, so has QB Jake Delhomme, who’s 5-1 in his career in the postseason (4-0 on the road). While Smith is the NFL’s best receiver this year, somebody has got to get it to him, and Delhomme deserves some credit for that. The last time the two teams met, the Seahawks posted a 23-17 victory over the Panthers here, but that was last season. Last week, Seattle could only manage 20 points last week against a decent Washington defense. Carolina's pass defense is almost identical to Washington‘s, but their run defense is significantly better!
Pick: Carolina (+3.5) @ 10/11
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
What was remarkable about the Pittsburgh – Indy game was the fluctuating prices on our ‘In-Play Console’. The Steelers started the game at +10, but were bet down to -11 when they were leading 21-3. When the Colts closed to 21-18 the game was Pick’em, but when Colts QB Peyton Manning was sacked on his own two-yard line the game looked over. However, a fumble by Jerome Bettis allowed Indy’s Nick Harper to race off for what looked a game-winning TD, only for him to be tackled by Ben Roethlisburger - incredible! This weekend, we’ll have live ‘In-Play’ betting on both games, of course, but don’t forget to check out our pre-game props too. There were 33 at the last count!
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS...
Hopefully, you haven’t got to this stage of the season without hitting a parlay or two. If so, you’ll know all about our Parlay Bonus, which pays out up to 50% more on successful football (and basketball) parlays on the following 6 markets:
- Point Spread
- Game Total
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A $50 parlay on this weekend’s Conference Final’s picks - Carolina +3.5 and Denver -3 - pays out $191.34, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%.
Best of luck for this weekend!
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» January 18th, 2006
REDS ON THE RISE AT TASTY 21/10
Man United v Liverpool
Su Jan 22 – 3.00 ko (SS1)
Chelsea have all but wrapped up the title, but this game will tell us more about who will finish second, and it's Liverpool who are fancied to come away with the points at a tasty 21/10. They may be a point behind their rivals in the table but they have two games in hand, and are assembling an impressive run of wins and clean sheets. They've won 11 of their last 12 league games (drawn the other one), and have only conceded three goals. They've also had three 1-0 wins here in five seasons, and another one looks on the cards. Should they win the game, they'll be a lot shorter than the current Evens in our 'Without Chelsea' market. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 'In-Play' markets.
Live Game Picks:
Liverpool to beat Man United @ 21/10
Liverpool to win 1-0 @ 7/1
CITY UP FOR IT AT 21/10
Bolton v Man City
Live betting - Sa Jan 21 – 3.00 ko
Friday sees the start of the 2006 African Cup, much to the inconvenience of various Premiership managers, who are having to cope with key players being taken away from them. In particular, Sam Allardyce, who's been hit hard by the loss of Jaidi, Okocha, Faye and Diouf. He suffered another blow when Hidetoshi Nakata was sent off against Blackburn last week, leading to his suspension for the game against Man City this weekend. That leaves the Trotters (available at 5/4) with a severely depleted squad, and we can take advantage by backing City at 21/10. Much has been made about City's decline recently, but the 3-1 win over United could see a reversal in their fortunes, and they'll be up for another Lancashire derby.
Man City to beat Bolton at 21/10
HOWELL WORTH ABU DABBLE AT 12/1
Abu Dhabi Golf Championship
Th Jan 19 – 06.30 BST (SS1)
Fr Jan 20 – 06.30 BST (SS1)
Sa Jan 21 – 08.30 BST (SS2)
Su Jan 22 – 08.30 BST (SS2)
The European Tour is normally low-key at this time of year, but that's not the case with this week's 'new' Abu Dhabi Golf Championship, where world No.2 Vijay Singh heads a high-class field. Anyone thinking of backing the golf-a-holic Fijian will be encouraged by his performances in Hawaii over the last two weeks (2nd and 6th) but, at 7/2, I would prefer to look elsewhere for the winner.
At nearly three-times the price, David Howell must have an excellent chance this week, although it's hard to be too confident with no course form to go on. The 12/1 shot is a genuine title contender every time he tees up, and he's played particularly well in the Middle East, where he has finished in the top-ten in each of the last two Dubai Desert Classics, and the last three Qatar Masters (played next week). That augurs well for yet another high finish from the player who already sits at the top of the European Order of Merit - 5/1 to finish top money earner here at bet365. And, don't worry if you miss the start, as we'll have live 'In-Play' betting, including 'End of Round Leader'. In fact, you might be better off waiting a couple of rounds to see who's playing the course best before placing your bet.
Abu Dhabi Pick: David Howell @ 12/1
PHIL A CLASSIC WINNER AT 23/4
Bob Hope Classic
We Jan 18 – 21.00 BST (SS2)
Th Jan 19 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Fr Jan 20 – 20.00 BST (SSX)
Sa Jan 21 – 20.00 BST (SS2)
Su Jan 22 – 20.30 BST (SS2)
The US PGA Tour hits mainland America for the Bob Hope Classic and, here again, bettors should be aware that there will be a new host course, the Classic Club, which will be played twice. However, this marathon five-round pro-am is still a specialist's event, and for that reason, it could pay to stick with players who've already shown they enjoy the format. As a two-time winner, Phil Mickelson stands out from the pack, and he thoroughly deserves to be in all staking plans this week at a best-priced 23/4 with bet365 ('Enhanced Win Only' market). That price will disappear as soon as the event gets under way, but you can still get on via our live 'In-Play' service, available throughout the five days.
Each-way backers could do worse than back Tour veteran Mark Calcavecchia at a standout 50/1 with bet365 (1/4 odds 1.2.3.4.5). He's tried and tested here, having rewarded supporters on four occasions in the past, and a top-20 spot in last week's Sony proves he's till in good enough form to contend this week. There's also a lot like about Jonathan Kaye this week (especially his price of 80/1!). Like the other selections, he's played well here before with finishes of 4th and 8th.
Bob Hope Classic Three Off The Tee... Phil Mickelson @ 23/4 (EWO), Mark Calcavecchia @ 50/1, Jonathan Kaye @ 80/1
HOME IN ON ARISTOXENE
Heavy ground is likely to be the order of the day at the weekend, which is likely to deny us the chance to see several Cheltenham Festival contenders in action, although Kingscliff looks sure to line up in the Peter Marsh Chase at Haydock (2.10). There have been several rumours going around about this horses' well-being recently, but his trainer, Robert Alner, has denied that there any problems with the Gold Cup second-favourite (11/2 here at bet365).
He's sure to be a warm order on Saturday but, as this is a handicap, he'll have to give weight and a beating to all of his rivals, including the French import Aristoxene. This one is at home at Haydock, with a win, a second, and a third to his name there, and he'll be in his element on the forecast heavy ground. Whatever beats him will know they've had a race!
FREE MONEY AT WINCANTON
The best ground is likely to be found at Wincanton, which also features four live Channel 4 races, and some interesting bets to boot. Don't forget, if you can find the winner of one of the televised races (at 4/1 or bigger) here at bet365, we'll give you a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race. And, Free Gift can get the ball rolling by winning the Handicap Chase (2.05). He scored a pillar to post victory last time out at Taunton, a course not dissimilar to Wincanton, and he can defy a 8lb higher mark in this company. Later on, Jakari can get back to winning ways, now that he's regained his enthusiasm following an unhappy experience in the Grand National last season. He travelled well for a long way at Sandown last time, and he'll be hard to beat off a 7lb lower mark than his previous win.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» January 12th, 2006
This week's article brought to you by Allan Drost
TIME TO BACK THE OUTSIDERS
With the Wild Card Weekend behind us, it will be all about the race for the Divisional titles in AFC and NFC respectively over the coming two weeks. The weekend saw a clean sweep for all the NFL-picks advertised by bet365's Nigel Ridgway in last week's Get In The Game and the $50 parlay on Carolina (+2.5), Washington (+2.5), Pittsburgh (-3.0) and 'Under 37 points' in the Patriots game was also right on the money and paid out $747.15, which included a bet365 bonus of 10%!
So 8 teams are still on route to The Big Show in Florida on February 5th and a tasty looking match-up for the Conference semi finals this weekend (where you can bet on all 4 games Live In-Play with bet365) should ensure plenty of excitement in front of the TV. Looking at potential smokers of the big cigar, its worth noting that bet365 has the best price on the market on the Patriots to win the AFC at generous 5.75 and the schedule ahead of them does not look impossible, although it would take two away wins to get them that far. However Brady's consistency and the stone-cold mind of Coach Bill Belichick along with an outstanding 10-0 play-off record over the last 3 seasons, tells a tale of a team that knows how to win when the going gets tough.
ARE YOU BACKING BRADY @ bet365?
bet365 latest AFC Outright prices... IND Colts @ 1.57, DEN Broncos @ 4.50, NE Patriots @ 5.75 (best price!) and PIT Steelers @ 11.00
bet365 latest NFC Outright prices... SEA Seahawks @ 1.72, CHI Bears @ 3.75, CAR Panthers @ 5.25 and WAS Redskins @ 11.00
Pats comfortably saw off the JAX on Saturday night, Brady had perhaps his most impressive of many seasons on QB, this year adding the long throws to an impressive repertoire and Sunday saw another outstanding display by the defence which only allowed a single FG and sacked JAX QB, B. Leftwich 6 times for a total loss of 42 yards in the Wild Card game. Obviously Broncos will be a different matter, but in 10 attempts no team has gotten past Brady and Belichick in the post-season and I can't see why it'd be likely to happen on Saturday either with a team that apart from losing with a reserve-roster to Miami in week 17 has not lost a game since late November.
Obviously Indianapolis are still heavy favourites for the divisional title, but firstly they are up for a big test against the Steelers. Secondly it's actually been a full 4 weeks since the last impressive Colts performance. This could obviously work either way, but in a one-off winner-takes-all between a red-hot Patriots and a slightly over-fancied Colts (and that's IF they see it past the Steelers which is no certainty either, making a saver on the Steelers @ 11.00 with us, which is also un-rivalled in the market, a decent option), I certainly know where my money is going, especially thinking back to last season where the situation was exactly the same before the Colts were completely closed down losing 20-3 in the Divisional play-off game to... New England!
As for the battle in the NFC, bet365's price of 5.25 on the Panthers is also amongst the highest available out there. Panthers know what it takes to get all the way through, as they did it only a couple of seasons – also back then after having taken the slight de-tour through the Wild Card-games. The total thrashing of the Giants on Sunday where Jake Delhomme let the team to a total of 335 offensive yards through possessing the ball for more than 42 out of the total 60 minutes of play was expected and much fancied here at bet365, and surely the Bears must be on their toes in order not to get 'skinned' in the late game on Sunday by a Panthers outfit that seemingly improve game for game, much like a couple of seasons ago.
WAS Redskins @ SEA Seahawks
Live Betting – Sa Jan 14 – 5:30pm ET
Seahawks haven't lost at home this season and the Redskins only managed a total of 120 offensive yards in a tight Wild Card game against the Buccaneers.
Seahawks (13-3) haven't lost at home this season. Should be easy, right!? Wrong! Divisional playoff games are NEVER easy, Redskins are on a 6-0 winning streak and they beat Seattle 20-17 through an OT field goal in week 5. Furthermore, on Saturday they were up against a better defence than that of the Seattle Seahawks, they have proved that they can contain Shaun Alexander who was only allowed a total of 98 rushing yards in week 4.
Apart from Alexander, the Seahawks don't have anyone coming even close to the 1000 offensive yards mark for the season and in any case, the 9 points advantage available at bet365 seems very big indeed against a team that I personally think is over-rated and hugely dependent on one single player. Sure, Alexander's 1880 offensive yards for the season is impressive, but if anyone knows how to contain him, it is Gregg Williams, probably the best defensive coordinator in the NFL for which he was rewarded last week with a new contract and a big, fat pay-check!
With the likes of Clinton Portis and Santana Moss to lead the team on offence, they will definitely put points on the board, and I wouldn't even rule out the upset (which is priced at a massive 4.25 with us). The safest bet, however, seems to be settling for Redskins with the 9 points advantage.
bet365 Pick: Redskins +9 @ 1.90
NE Patriots @ DEN Broncos
Live Betting – Sa Jan 14 - 9.00pm ET
The Patriots have really stepped up their game in recent weeks and Brady is looking as impressive as ever. Forget about the tales from the past about a Patriots that predominantly keep the ball on the ground to pick up short yardage. Brady has gone airborne, passing for more than 4000 yards for the season, which is amongst the highest in the league. Whereas many would say that this is a sign of Brady having matured, I'd argue that it's a sign of Belichick successfully managing to improve a team which has won three Superbowls on the stretch – namely in the pass-protection area. That combined with having a quarterback capable of throwing the football to any square inch of the pitch is bound to be a recipe for success and could hurt the Broncos where they are vulnerable, namely against the pass!
Admittedly, a trip to Denver is not among the most heavily fancied at the moment. Broncos are 8-1 from the last nine and beat Patriots 28-20 in week 6. However a look through the tapes suggests that the Patriots-outfit that day was very different to the one turning up on Sunday, since neither Corey Dillon, nor Kevin Faulk, Richard Seymour, Tedy Bruschi or Ellis Hobbs was in the line-up. As such the Broncos offence will not be likely to better the 178 offensive yards from week 6 and with Brady alone averaging about 235 passing yards per game, the fact that Broncos this year has a negative net passing record (Broncos passed for 3227 yards in total in the regular season while their opponents totalled 3643...) and the likes of Corey Dillon getting involved along the ground as well, one would have to fancy Patriots and give them the edge here. Bet365 is EVS on Patriots +3 and that is not bettered by anyone in the market.
bet365 Pick: Patriots +3 @ 2.00 (best price!)
PIT Steelers @ IND Colts
Live Betting – Sa Jan 14 - 1.00pm ET
The Pittsburgh defence will need all their skill when squaring off with the Colts if they are to contain Peyton Manning, but that is by no means an impossible task. The Colts have struggled to keep tight on defence when facing teams with a winning record this season and apart from a scrappy win against the Cardinals in week 17, its actually been 4 weeks since the last impressive Colts victory in the NFL. The Steelers are coming off a good win at Cincinatti against the Bengals, they have won 5 games in a row, where they have only given up an average of 10 points per game – very impressive indeed!!
At the same time Big Ben seems to have overcome his injury-worries and the Steelers offence lead by 'Fast Wille' Parker, Duce Staley, Veron Haynes and Jerome 'The Bus' Bettis seems to have gotten into gear! The two teams met earlier this season where Roethlisberger was held to a season-low total of 7 points, but that was Big Bens first game back after the knee surgery that sidelined him for three weeks in the middle of the season and certainly the Steelers seem much more potent at present. The biggest problem for the Steelers might be handling the noise-level which will be insane at the RCA Dome on Sunday. However I am confident that the slightly match-rusty Colts starters will be held on a leash by the best 6th seed in the NFC for a long, long while.
bet365 Pick: Steelers +9.5 @ 1.90
CAR Panthers @ CHI Bears
Live Betting – Sa Jan 14 - 5.30pm ET
Get ready for the toughest defensive battle of the season! Chicago Bears defensive capabilities have been well proven throughout the season, and the Panthers proved against the Giants that they are not far behind at all, not conceding as much as a single point for the first time this season against a team that only once in the last 11 games put less than 20 points on the board! With that in mind, this is almost guaranteed to be a low-scoring affair, just like it was the case in week 11, where Chicago won 13-3 at home. The totals line with bet365 is not surprisingly set to just 30 points, but still there seems to be value in the UNDER 30 points @ 1.90, which will get the shout for me in this game. Gun to my head on the spread, I (and many others, judging from the movement in the market) could see the Panthers take advantage of the home field and edge out the Bears – especially with a 3-point advantage, but as this has been backed down to 1.80 (from 1.90) with us, the value seems to be on UNDER the 30 total points in the game, as both teams are likely to continue what they do best: Keep it tight on defence and avoid to lose the game through penalties and offensive errors.
bet365 Pick: UNDER 30.0 @ 1.90
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
This weekend, as always, it's a good idea to have a speculative parlay wager on our four selections, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at
bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful football and basketball parlays on the following 6 markets
:
- Point Spread
- Game Total
- First Half Point Spread
- Second Half Point Spread
- First Half Total
- Second Half Total
A $50 parlay on Washington (+9), Patriots (+3), Pittsburgh (+9.5) and 'Under' 30 points in the Panthers game pays out $754.49 - which includes a
bet365 bonus of 10%
Good luck to everyone following!
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» January 11th, 2006
This week's article brought to you by Mark Henderson
13/10 About Toon and Gloom at the Cottage
Well, what about last week? The FA Cup saw more giant killings than a Jack-and-the-Beanstalk convention. I mean, we all expect the odd shock here and there, but to see so many Premiership teams humbled was beyond anyone's expectation. After a difficult draw for the likes of Bolton, West Ham and Blackburn, the outright market remains largely unchanged. Chelsea (11/4), Man Utd (7/2), Arsenal (13/2) and Liverpool (13/2) still head the betting, with Newcastle offering the best of the rest, after a kind draw, at 14/1.
We're back to the nitty-gritty of league football this weekend, so hopefully matches may go a bit more to form than last weeks madness! For me, the standout bet of the weekend is Fulham to beat Newcastle at 13/10. The reason Fulham occupy 14th place is their away form. At home they've a better record than Bolton, Newcastle and Man City. After last week's disaster against Leyton Orient, Chris Coleman was scathing in his team's performance, so there could be a backlash here.
It's also worth remembering that Newcastle are constantly overrated by the bookmakers. We all remember the glory days of Keegan, Ginola, Asprilla and the like, but it appears that the romanticism of Newcastle and their long-suffering fans affects the odds compilers, who always show the Magpies too much respect. Newcastle (7/4 to win the match) are only 3 points better off than Fulham, and will be without Michael Owen. The Magpies have recorded only one league win in 10 attempts without the England striker, and that came against hapless Sunderland.
Premiership Pick:
Fulham to beat Newcastle @ 13/10
Hughes the Daddy in Lancashire Derby @ 11/10
Blackburn entertain Bolton on Saturday (5.15 – Premiership Plus) and Mark Hughes' much-improved outfit can keep up their excellent run by registering all three points. Bolton are suffering more than most at the moment, losing five players to the African Nations Cup. The Trotters didn't have a great Christmas period, and have dropped to 7th place, whereas Rovers have won five of their last six, and have climbed into 8th.
Bolton were down to 12 fit first team players against Watford last Saturday, and Sam Allardyce has made no secret of the fact that his team may struggle throughout the next month without the likes of Diouf, Jaidi and Okocha. Dickov (11/2 to score the first goal) Pedersen (7/1) and Bellamy (5/1) have all been finding the net recently, and it all points towards a Rovers win.
Live Game Pick:
Blackburn to beat Bolton @ 11/10
Fortress Fratton Again Now Harry's Back
Amazing isn't it? Portsmouth haven't been able to win a one-ticket raffle at home all season, then Harry returns and what happens? They're unbeaten at home. One of the main contributors to Pompey's success over the last couple of years has been their home form, and it looks like Harry's got them back-on-track. Pompey can be backed at 10/11 to avoid the drop, and this price is sure to harden, should they turn Everton over (the Toffees are 5/1 to be relegated). It's getting harder every week to trust Everton. Just when you think they've turned the corner, they let you down. Leon Osman's late equalizer against Millwall spared their Cup blushes, but after wins against Sunderland and Charlton, Everton fans (and backers) would have expected better. The 11/5 on offer to beat Pompey doesn't exactly get the juices flowing, so it'll be Portsmouth in our accumulator.
The Good (1/5) vs. The Bad and The Ugly (12/1)
The final leg of our four-fold is the easiest of the lot. On Sunday at 4.05 (live on Sky Sports 1), the worst team in the league, with the worst home record, who haven't won in their last 13 league games take on the best team in the league (maybe the world), with the best away record, and have lost only 2 league games in the last 2 seasons. You've got more chance of getting a council house in Belgravia than Chelsea losing this match. While the 1/5 is as skinny as it gets, there are two reasons for choosing the champions to complete our accumulator this week. Firstly, the match is on Sunday, which means the other 3 legs will already be up, so it'll add to the excitement, and secondly….. it's a certainty! After the madness of last week, order will be restored (I hope)!
A £25 Accumulator on our four teams pays a handsome £319.50 which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% available every weekend).
Premiership Accumulator Pick:
Fulham, Portsmouth, Blackburn & Chelsea pays £319.50 (£25 Stake)
Lahore Bore Draw too Good to Ignore @ 4/5
At 4.45am on Friday morning, Pakistan and India meet in Lahore for the first of three Test Matches. Of course, the pitches will bear little or no resemblance to the fast bowler graveyards prepared for England's pace attack. India have two of the best spinners in the world in Anil Kumble and Harbhajan Singh and the rumours are that pacey, grassy pitches will be the order of the day.
There's very little between these sides (12/5 Pakistan and 10/3 India), and the 4/5 quote about the draw may look skinny, but 15 matches out of 23 between these two in Pakistan have ended in stalemate. It's midwinter in Pakistan, so the days are shorter. There's a particular problem with fog in Lahore at the moment and the weather forecast is for rain during the match.
If the 4/5 doesn't appeal, the 0-0 series correct score looks value at 13/2. Given how closely matched the teams are, the quality of the batsmen on show (Tendulkar, Dravid and Inzamam are amongst the top 10 in the world at present) and midwinter conditions in Pakistan, it's almost inconceivable that any more than one match will end in a result. If you fancy India or Pakistan to win, you can get 7/2 for a 1-0 series victory for either side. I believe there are only three possible series outcomes; 1-0 for either side, or 0-0. At bet365's 13/2, the 0-0 has to be the value.
Cricket Pick:
Pakistan v India (1st test, Lahore) – Draw @ 4/5
Pakistan v India (Series correct score) 0-0 @ 13/2
Joaaci Can Continue Gold Cup Pipe Dream
The Totesport Classic Chase takes place at Warwick on Saturday, and there are plenty who can stake a realistic claim. Paul Nicholls lightly raced 9 year-old Eurotrek (currently 9/1) could feature, after a resounding 25-length victory at Newbury last month. This victory, however, was in far more modest company and the 13lb ratings rise looks a little excessive. Another impressive winner last time out was Dead-Eyed Dick (currently 9/1). Nick Williams' runner turned in an impressive performance, beating well-fancied Toulouse Lautrec by 9 lengths at Exeter.
The one to be on has to be back-to-form Martin Pipe's gelding Joaaci. He's available at 3/1 (from 7/2), and with so many big-names out of the Cheltenham Gold Cup, a win here could see the 20/1 quote tumble. Joaaci won a high class event at Cheltenham on New Years Day, beating the likes of Lord of Illusion and Fork Lightning. The Pipe yard has dominated racing for decades and commands plenty of respect, so get on early as the price has already started to shorten.
One for the Each-way punters has to be Sir Rembrandt (14/1). He has been placed in the last 2 Gold Cups, and looked to be travelling well when he came down five fences from the finish in the Welsh National. Sir Rembrandt is a top class stayer, so the 3m 5f distance won't be a problem.
You Can Run But You Can't Hyde
One of the most competitive hurdle races of the season takes place at Leopardstown on Sunday. Escrea is currently 5/1 joint favourite with bet365, yet finished four lengths behind No Where To Hyde at Fairyhouse last month, in a race won by Feathard Lady. No Where to Hyde has been the subject of a monster gamble (currently 7/1 from 14/1) and should reward those who've already put their money down.
Another horse who has been backed this week (currently 5/1 from 7/1) is Victram. He looked all over the winner when well-fancied at Sandown last time out on heavy going, before running out of steam, finally beaten 4 lengths by Verasi.
Weekend Horse Pick:
Joacci – (3.00 Warwick [Saturday])
No Where To Hyde – (2.20 Leopardstown [Sunday])
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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» January 5th, 2006
WEEK 17 - RAMS BACKED DOWN TO 7.5...
bet365 latest Super Bowl prices... Indianapolis Evens, Seattle 9/2, New England 7/1, Denver 8/1, Chicago 10/1, Pittsburgh 25/1, New York Giants, Tampa Bay, Cincinnati, Carolina 33/1, Washington 40/1, Jacksonville 50/1
Week 17 was a surprisingly busy one for betting, considering the amount of fixtures that meant nothing. And, with nine favourites winning and covering, the money certainly went the way of bet365 customers, with the world and his dog wanting to be on Carolina (-4), and St Louis (+12.5), against Atlanta and Dallas respectively. The latter had lost any hope of qualifying by kick off, and that fact was not lost on our customers who piled into the winning underdogs (line fell by 5 points). The bet365 Parlay Bonus also took a hammering (up to 50% more every week), and for those of you looking to play up your winnings this week, here's my take on the best bets for this weekend's wild card games.
WILD CARD WEEKEND - END OF THE ROAD FOR HOME TEAMS?...
Up to last season, history had dictated that the majority of the road teams may as well of stayed at home. In the nine seasons up to and including 2003/4, no more than one of the fifth and sixth seeds in each conference managed to make it through the divisional round, but that all changed last season, when three of the four road teams progressed. In fact, only Indy justified their position as home favourites, and they were -10! This year's hottest favourites at bet365 are the Patriots (-8 from -7), but even they're not likely to have things all their own way against Jacksonville.
JACKSONVILLE @ NEW ENGLAND – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE...
Saturday, 1/7: 8:00pm ET ABC
The Jags will get a massive break when (if) QB Byron Leftwich returns to the team after being absent since November. Not that his replacement, David Garrard, has been bad, it's just that Leftwich is better, and he's got to be worth a couple of points at least to the line. However, he's bound to be rusty, and it's going to be tough coming back at Foxboro in January. Bettors shouldn't be fooled by the Jags 12-4 record either. In their last ten games, they've played one team with a winning record, and have trailed in nine of their 12 victories. In that respect, the Pats could be worth backing at -4 to be leading after the first half (check out our other '1st Half Lines'), but should we be backing them at -8 to win outright? They'll probably win, but instead of worrying about the line, we'll back the 'Under' at bet365 instead. The cold weather is going to be a big factor in keeping the scoring low between these two strong defenses.
Pick: Under 37 Points @ 10/11
PITTSBURGH @ CINCINNATI – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE...
Sunday, 1/8: 4:30pm ET CBS
Two of this weekend's matchups were played out in the regular season. Pittsburrgh won 27-13 in their Week Seven clash at Cincinnati, although they lost 38-31 at home to the Bengals six weeks later. Since then, the Steelers have been on a roll, having won their last four games by an average of 20 points, which would explain why they're 3-point favourites here at bet365 (opened at 2). That's good news for those of you who like the fact that + 3 Cincinnati have homefield advantage, but can we really trust this team right now? Cincy have covered just one of their last seven home games, and looked terrible in their last two games, losing to by a combined 44 points to the Chiefs and the Bills. Ok, with the No.3 seed wrapped up, they might not have needed those games, but it's still difficult to see past Pittsburgh -3, and at the current bet365 price of 20/21, there's only one place to bet it.
Pick: Pittsburgh -3 @ 20/21
WASHINGTON @ TAMPA BAY – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE...
Saturday, 1/7: 4:30pm ET ABC
In the NFC, Tampa Bay won their Week Ten game against Washington 36-35 with a dramatic two-point conversion in the final minute, and things look set to be close again this weekend. Tampa probably just deserve to be favourite (currently -2.5) with homefield advantage, and the way QB Chris Simms is playing, but Washington will go into this game full of confidence on the back of a 5-game winning streak. They'll also be looking to put more pressure on Simms than they did in Week Ten. They finished sackless there, and allowed Simms to throw for 279 yards and three TD's, but the Redskins (who registered seven sacks against Dallas and four at Philly) will make sure the young QB is never comfortable, and that should see them through to the next round.
Pick: Washington +2.5 @ 10/11
CAROLINA @ NEW YORK GIANTS – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE...
Sunday, 1/8: 1:00pm ET FOX
This is a tough one to call, but personal preference is for Carolina +2.5 (opened +3). The Panthers were my ante post Super Bowl pick at 14/1, and those odds are looking poor value now they're trading at 33/1, but much better since their 44-11 romp over Atlanta last weekend. Of course, it's going to be tough for them to go all the way – no fifth or sixth seed has even reached the Super Bowl since the 12-team playoff format was introduced in 1990 – but those odds will be a lot shorter should they beat the Giants this weekend. The Giants may be 8-1 at home this season, but Carolina are 6-2 on the road, so there's no clues there. If only the Panthers could run the ball...
Pick (or like to see win): Carolina +3.0 @ 10/11
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS...
This weekend, we'll also be having a speculative parlay wager on our four selections, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful football and basketball parlays on the following 6 markets:
- Point Spread
- Game Total
- First Half Point Spread
- Second Half Point Spread
- First Half Total
- Second Half Total
A $50 parlay on Carolina (+2.5), Washington (+2.5), Pittsburgh (-3.0) and 'Under' 37 points in the Patriots game pays out $747.15 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 10%
Good luck for the playoffs.
CRANE CAN TAKE LEAP OF FAITH AT 22/1...
MERCEDES CHAMPIONSHIP – LIVE BETTING AVILABLE
Thursday, 1/5: 7-10:30pm ET ESPN
Friday, 1/6: 7-10:30pm ET ESPN
Saturday, 1/7: 7-10:30pm ET ESPN
Sunday, 1/8: 7-10:30pm ET ESPN
If (like me) you've been suffering from withdrawal symptoms after not being able to bet on the PGA Tour for several weeks, then this week's Mercedes Championship offers a quick fix. It's not quite the full monty, with only 28 players and no Woods in the field, but that at least give us a first rate chance of finding the winner, or at least getting one into the frame (1/4 odds 1st four). And, as our 7/2 favourite, Vijay Singh, has yet to win this in six attempts, there is also the possibility of finding one at a decent price.
The keys to success here are the ability to handle the inevitable Hawaiian wind, making the most of the par fives (four in total), and being able to out well on the large grainy greens. The latter has been made even more of a test now that they've changed the grass to make them even quicker, and that could rule out the likes of Sergio Garcia (8/1) and Singh, whose putting problems have been well-documented. But, as officially the best putter this week based on last year's stats (3rd overall), the chances of Ben Crane cannot be ignored, and the devout Christian is our main selection this week at a tasty 22/1. The fact that he's already got experience of the course is a plus too – tied for month on his debut two years ago – and he's a much more accomplished player now.
It might also be worth a having a few quid on the only current Major winner who's bothered to turn up this week – Michael Campbell – especially as he's a standout 18/1 with us! The US Open champion was a good third in Tiger's tournament in California in December, which means he won't be as rusty as some, while his ability to play in the wind is a plus too. The final pick goes to Geoff Ogilvy for much of the same reasons as the other two (great putter, excellent on par fives), so let's just hope we can have one player in contention on Sunday night. If not, we can always resort to our 'In-Play' service which offers wire to wire betting on the US PGA Tour events, including Outright, End Of Round Leader, and Who Will Shoot The Lowest Score betting. Best of luck with your golf bets this season!
Nigel's Three Off The Tee... Michael Campbell @ 18/1, Ben Crane 22/1, Geoff Ogilvy @ 33/1 (1/4 odds 1.2.3.4)
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
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» January 4th, 2006
This week's article brought to you by Mark Henderson
Take A Chance On Wild Rovers And White Hot Laners!
Those people who say anyone can win the FA Cup are, of course, correct but history tends to point to the usual suspects. The last 10 FA Cup Finals have all been won by either Man Utd (4/1 with bet365 for this year's competition), Chelsea (3/1), Arsenal (11/2) or Liverpool (9/1). In the 1980's there were 7 different winners, and 9 in the 70's. This just confirms the dominance of the 'big 4' and it's no surprise to see all four teams' head this year's betting.
It's often hard to see past the favourites, but Tottenham look a standout bet at best-priced 14/1, considering their excellent league form. Spurs have a comfortable looking tie at Leicester in the third round, (9/2 Leicester, 4/7 Spurs and 5/2 the draw – Live on BBC1), but have the makings of an excellent cup team. They're difficult to beat and will believe they have a genuine opportunity of winning this trophy. Another team who look overpriced are Blackburn at 50/1. Mark Hughes has quietly moved Rovers up to eighth in the Premiership, and have a home tie against QPR (2/5 Blackburn, 6/1 QPR and 3/1 the draw). When you consider they're double the price of Middlesbrough (25/1 – 16th) and three times bigger than Newcastle (14/1 – 11th), that has to be value, but be quick. The 50/1 is the biggest price among all UK bookmakers so it may not last!
FA Cup Picks:
Tottenham to win the FA Cup @ 14/1
Blackburn to win the FA Cup @ 50/1
Pool Of Talent Will Be Too Much For Hatters
With every Premiership team taking on lower league opposition, there's bound to be a shock or two. The key is, of course, to avoid those banana skins (Remember Exeter last year?). Man Utd take on non-league opposition again this year, but can't really be backed at 1/14 nor can they realistically be opposed. Liverpool (2/5) travel to Luton (6/1) for Saturday's live game (17.30 BBC1) and should record an easy win. After their good start to the season, Luton have nosedived, losing nine of their last 13 games. Liverpool's excellent form has been well-documented and an early goal could see the Reds win at a canter. In games where they've led at half time, Liverpool have won every time (7 out of 7) and they're 10/11 to do it again.
Live Game Pick: Half-time/Full-time – Liverpool/Liverpool @ 10/11
On Sunday, Tottenham travel to Leicester (18.30 BBC1) and the 4/7 about Spurs is giving money away. The Foxes are struggling in the Championship and have suffered home defeats to the likes of Luton, Cardiff and Burnley already this season. Leicester can be backed at 9/2 to win this game, but Craig Levein will be more concerned with maintaining Leicester's Championship status than putting together a cup run in a competition which ultimately they can't win. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.
Live Game Pick: Double: Liverpool (2/5) & Tottenham (4/7)
FA Cup 3rd round weekend is notoriously tough. It is one of the most difficult weekends to make money because there are more short-priced teams than normal, and there's always at least one team that hangs on for an unlikely draw. Seven Premiership teams are 1/5 or shorter, and backing all seven equates to about 8/11, so we're going to have to look elsewhere for value.
Everton (4/5) look a decent price to turn Millwall over. The Lions have the worst home record in the Championship and Everton's record suggests they're better away from home. Millwall may have won their last 2, but they were against lowly Derby and Brighton and prior to that, they'd won only one of their previous 17. This game comes at a time when Everton are starting to turn the corner, with influential midfielder Tim Cahill hitting form, scoring 3 in his last 2 games.
Another standout bet is League One highfliers Brentford to beat League Two's bottom club Stockport at 10/11. Stockport have won only twice all season, and recent results include 6-0 defeats to Macclesfield and Carlisle. Brentford have suffered only one defeat in their last nine, and have been hovering near the top of League One all season. Stockport managed the shock of round 1 by beating Swansea, but it's very unlikely they could manage a repeat against Martin Allen's side.
Of course, there's always a chance one of the minnows could cling on for a draw and you'd do your cash. If you're feeling cautious there's always our 'draw no bet' coupon, or even the Asian Handicap, which is becoming more popular every week.
Our FA Cup Accumulator pays £188.94 for £25, but you can always add on the likes of Chelsea (1/20), Man Utd (1/14) and Arsenal (1/10) to boost the return, but be wary of Exeter's incredible achievement at Old Trafford last year. Surely that can't happen again. Can it?
FA Cup Accumulator: Liverpool, Tottenham, Everton and Brentford pays £188.94 (£25 Stake)
Barney's Rivals Turn To Rubble
After the Phil Taylor show in Purfleet, the attention of the darts world moves to Frimley Green for the Raymond Barneveld show. The four-times World Champion is widely regarded as second only to Phil Taylor, and rumours have it that 'Barney' may well be preparing to jump ship to the PDC after this tournament. Undoubtedly the PDC is a much tougher circuit and there are those who believe the gap between Barneveld and the rest of the BDO is as big as the gap between Taylor and the rest of the PDC, yet Taylor started 4/9 and Barney is available at 5/4. Should he win his first round match against Brian Sorensen, he'll almost certainly go odds-on, so get on early. There's also a trend for one or two big names to fall at the first hurdle in this tournament, further strengthening the argument for an ante post wager at 5/4.
Darts Pick: Raymond Barneveld to win BDO World Championship @ 5/4
Briareus Can Provide Some Handy Money
It's been a terrible week for ante post punters with Kicking King, Harchibald and Inglis Drever all confirmed as non runners for Cheltenham. This news, coupled with the loss of the much loved Best Mate and Rooster Booster has left some very interesting ante post markets, not least the World Hurdle where Rhinestone Cowboy (7/2) heads the betting despite not being sighted on a racetrack for nearly two years.
On Saturday we've got Channel 4 racing from Haydock and Sandown, with the Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle taking place at the Surrey track. This is a very competitive race, with Nicky Henderson saddling the favourite Afrad (11/2). The best supported horse in the race has been Verasi, who has been backed in to 10/1 from 12/1. Gary Moore's 5 year-old last ran on 3rd December when it beat a high class field in the William Hill Handicap Hurdle on heavy going. Martin Pipe has five entries in the race at present, and Not Left Yet (10/1) looks his best chance. This really is an open race with lots of chances, but Briareus (9/1) looks the one to beat. Andrew Balding may be better known as a flat trainer, but Briareus ran impressively at Doncaster last month, losing narrowly, when conceding weight, to Desert Quest for the in-form Paul Nicholls yard.
Another which caught the eye last time out was Handy Money, when finishing sixth to Lingo at 150/1. Alan King's horses are bang in form at the moment and this one could run well at 18/1.
The race is live on Channel 4, where you can take advantage of our great offer. Back a winner at 4/1 or better, and you get a free bet to the same stake on the next Channel 4 race! If you can't get to a TV don't worry. Just bet £5 on the race and click on the live stream next to the race and you can watch it on your PC.
Horse Pick:
Briareus (3.10 Sandown) @ 9/1
Handy Money (3.10 Sandown) Each-way @ 18/1
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 22nd, 2005
INDY OUT TO EVENS FOR SUPER BOWL GLORY...
The Colts have been eased to Evens for the Super Bowl after their loss to San Diego last Sunday. The win for San Diego wasn't totally unexpected - in fact the Chargers were our main bet last week at +7.5 – as the Colts had already secured homefield advantage throughout the playoffs, while the Chargers had to win to keep their postseason dreams alive. Of course, the Colts are still the team to beat, but the Chargers have at least shown other teams that they can be beaten – and how to do it – and our outright betting certainly has a more 'open' look about it now.
Seattle claimed their eleventh straight win with a hard-fought success over the Titans, and continue to get shorter for the title at 6/1 (from 15/2). That price will contract more should they beat Indy this weekend, which seems likely (more of that later). In our 'Winning Conference' betting, the AFC are now favoured by only eight points in the Super Bowl, compared to a high of 13 only a couple of weeks ago. It was also a good week for New England, who are looking strong again after shutting out the Buccaneers 28-0, and Carolina (our pre-season picks), who moved back into first place in the NFC South with a 27-10 victory over the Saints.
CHARGERS STILL DESPERATE TO WIN...
Despite their win over the Colts, the San Diego Chargers (for many the NFL's second-best team) may not even make it into the playoffs. With the Divisional winners now decided, the Chargers are in a real dog fight with Jacksonville, Pittsburgh and Kansas for the final two wild-card spots, and their game against the Chiefs on Saturday is a must-win one for them. Of course, Kansas still have a chance of playing postseason themselves, and have an awesome record in December over the past few seasons, which will make them hard to beat this week (Pick).
The nightmare scenario for Pittsburgh would be if San Diego and Jacksonville both win this weekend. The Steelers might look good for the No.6 seed right now, but should all three teams finish 11-5 then, according to the new NFL rules, San Diego would take the No.5 spot ahead of Jacksonville. As it stands, San Diego are a standout 50/1 shot for the title with bet365.
INDIANAPOLIS @ SEATTLE – SURGING SEAHAWKS CAN BEAT RESTING COLTS...
Sat Dec 24 – 4:15pm EST/21:15 GMT – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE
There's no doubt where the matchup of the week is taking place as Seattle host Indy, in what is seen by many as a Super Bowl preview. The pair have lost only three games all season, and if this was a straight fight, then Seattle would be marginal favourites. However, the Colts are no longer chasing a 16-0 record and, with only a psychological edge to gain from winning here, they're a massive 9.5 point underdog this week (backed from 6.5). That's more than understandable, as HC Tony Dungy is almost certain to give his big guns a breather, including QB Peyton Manning who took a pounding from the Chargers defence last week, while Seattle will not want to relent until their own No.1 seeding is in the bag.
Pick: Seattle (-9.5) @ 10/11
CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY - GROSS' IS THE MAN FOR BEARS...
Sun Dec 25 – 5:00pm EST/22:00 GMT – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE
The NFL does not stop for Christmas Day, and being able to watch the games live will be a welcome relief from the usual predictable TV fare. You can't beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that's where our 'In-Play Console' comes in with all the odds and markets on one convenient page.
One of the live games sees Chicago take on struggling Green Bay, and the Bears are strongly fancied to beat the 6.5 point line and, at the same time, wrap up the NFC North. The Packers used to be a force to be reckoned with at Lambeau Field, but they've lost four of their six home games this season, including a 48-3 thrashing from Baltimore last Monday. They certainly won't beat Chicago for defence. The Bears have given up more than ten points only once in their last six games, and might even be better on offense too, now that Rex Grossman has been given the nod to start at QB.
Live Game Pick: Chicago (-6.5) @ 10/11
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS...
It's hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend's suggested parlay is on the following teams:
Chicago (-6.5); Seattle (-9.5); Carolina (-5.0); Houston (+6.0) and Cincinnati (-14.5) - all teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 15%
This weekend’s live bet365 games are:
Navy vs Colorado State
Thu Dec 22 – 10:30 pm EST/03:30 GMT (Fri)
DAL Cowboys @ CAR Panthers
Sat Dec 24 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
IND Colts @ SEA Seahawks
Sat Dec 24 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
Nevada vs Central Florida
Sat Dec 24 – 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Sun)
CHI Bears @ GB Packers
Sun Dec 25 – 5:00 pm EST/22:00 GMT
MIN Vikings @ BAL Ravens
Sun Dec 25 – 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Mon)
NE Patriots @ NY Jets
Mon Dec 26 – 9:00 pm EST/02:05 GMT (Tue)
Good luck in Week 16
Hope you have a prosperous Christmas and New Year!
Nigel Ridgway.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that 'The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.' Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 22nd, 2005
FEAST YOUR EYES ON THIS LOT...
A buffet-style Boxing Day feast awaits us with a full league programme guaranteed to tempt even the most jaded palettes. Of course, with so many games to choose from, it would be easy to get carried way on a tide of port and brandy, so we need to be selective. And, like a box of chocolates, the Premiership has something for everyone, with several home 'bankers', and a few games that require a little more chewing over.
A lazy punt would be to combine the likes of Chelsea (1/5), Man United (2/9), Tottenham (1/2) and Arsenal (8/11) in accumulators and, with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus, you can at least be assured of getting some additional value (up to 60% more). A £50 four-fold on the big three will return you just under £200 at the current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5%. If you're happy to place singles, you might even beat those prices when the games go In-Play, especially on the likes of Chelsea, who've made a habit of winning their games late on. All but Spurs are live on TV, which means we'll be offering up to 14 Live markets.
BACK CHELSEA AT EVENS!...
However, at the short prices on offer, you're just as likely to collect by backing them to win by a couple of goals or more on our Asian Handicap. This form of betting consistently throws up some excellent value, particularly as we bet to just 102%, and you're going to get more back than by having just a straight win bet. Taking United as an example, a bet on them at 1.90 (10/11) will cop if they win the game by three goals or more. If they win by only two clear goals, you're still going to win (half your stake times the price, with the other half returned). The same applies to Chelsea (Evens), and you've got to fancy them to score well against Fulham. This might be a local derby, but the Blues are on a different planet.
Asian Handicap Picks: United (-1 3/4) @ 1.90 / Chelsea (-1 3/4) @ 2.00
LIVERPOOL V NEWCASTLE – 4/6 REDS TO SPOIL OWEN'S RETURN...
Boxing Day, 3.00 ko, live on Sky Prem Plus...
As far as entertainment goes, the game at Anfield looks the pick of the programme and, with the all the hype surrounding the return of Michael Owen, we're serving up a host of specials to mark the occasion. The Reds are favourites to win the game at 4/6, but the best bet could be on the 'Total Goals' instead. The Liverpool defence is proving to be impenetrable right now while, despite their strike force of Owen and Shearer, the Newcastle attack is producing only average results (Newcastle 9/2, Draw 12/5).
Live Game Pick: 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 – Bet Live In-Play
CROUCH TO OUTSCORE OWEN @ 5/2...
That also makes our 5/2 on Crouch to outscore Owen look attractive, which would have been unthinkable a couple weeks ago. The pair are 5/1 and 13/2 respectively to score the first goal in the game and, remember, if they don't score first, but go on to score the last goal in the game instead, we'll give you your money back. Of course, the rumour about Owen returning to Anfield for good next summer refuses to go away and, if you believe he'll be pulling on a red shirt at the beginning of next season, you'll be accommodated at 6/1 here at bet365.
Michael Owen Specials (Must start for bets to stand):
| 1st goal |
13/2 |
| Score anytime |
7/4 |
| Score 2 or more |
9 |
| Hat trick |
50 |
| Booked |
10 |
| Sent off |
66 |
Goal Match Bet:
| Owen |
10/3 |
| Tie |
4/6 |
| Crouch |
5/2 |
WOLVES TO DRAW COMFORT AT 21/10...
In the Championship, the top two teams both face potentially tricky Boxing Day ties, and we can cash in by backing the draw in each instance. Reading are romping away from the pack, but they could come unstuck against draw specialists Wolves, who are a hard side to score against. Only Sheffield United have conceded fewer goals at home this season. The Blades are short of strikers due to injuries, and could be kept in check by a resurgent Norwich side who've won back-to-back games and look to be on the upgrade. A double on the two draws pays out £102.30 for a tenner.
Boxing Day Championship Picks: Wolves & Sheffield United to Draw @ 21/10 & 23/10 respectively
CHANNEL 4 OFFER IS NO TURKEY...
Boxing Day is all about sitting down in front of the TV with a plate of cold turkey sandwiches, a few beers and (if you're a racing fan) watching the King George. This year will be no different (apart from the fact the race is being run at Sandown instead of Kempton), and anyone suffering 'cold turkey' due to being deprived of racing for three days, is in for a televisual feast with five live Channel 4 races. And, we can make it even more exciting with our perennial 4/1 Offer, which is not just for Christmas but applies every single time there's live racing on Channel 4. We've been banging on about this all year, but it's worth it! Just back a winner at 4/1 or bigger to get a free bet to the same stake (up to £25) on the next live race.
MAKE L'AMI YOUR FRIEND AT 6/1
Of course, backing a winner is easier said than done, but we might be able to help there too. The big race is all about whether Kicking King can come back to the sort of form that saw him win the Gold Cup so emphatically last March. There were genuine excuses for both his defeats this season (lack of fitness, lost a shoe), and it seems many bet365 customers are ready to give him another chance. He's been by far the best-backed horse all week (13/8 from 15/8), but he's no good thing to finish in front, of Kingscliff, who beat him last time out at Haydock. The latter has been described as “absolutely flying” by his trainer, and last years' KG runner-up will be even more suited by the stiffer Sandown circuit. However, at 2/1, he doesn't represent any value and, a better bet looks to be L'Ami at the current 9/1. This one has been backed at bigger prices, but could still represent some value, considering his trainer's amazing record in the race (victorious five times). Admittedly, the selection was beaten by Trabolgan in the Hennessy, but, for me, that horse would have won this race, and will win the Gold Cup if he can recover from injury. I would have fancied Impek if the race had been at Kempton, as he's not guaranteed to see out the trip up the stamina-sapping Sandown hill.
There has also been nibbles in the ante post market for both Monkerhostin and national runner-up Royal Auclair and the latter in particular appeals as the best each-way shot in the race. His trainer, Paul Nicholls is flying, and he comes here on the back of a very impressive success under top weight at Cheltenham. What's more, he's run some of his best races on the track – ran away with a novice, and was just pipped in the old 'Whitbread' – and he'll be staying on when others have had enough. And don't worry if you lose the battle with the kids over the TV remote, as you can always watch the racing live here at bet365. Just bet £5 on the race and click on the live stream next to the race.
King George Picks: L'Ami @ 9/1 / Royal Auclair @ 14/1 (Each-way)
5/1 KNIGHT TO DELIVER
On Tuesday, the big betting race is the Welsh National at Chepstow, and we're sticking with our original selection, One Knight, now a 5/1 shot after being recommended at 7/1 two weeks ago. Some will say that he can't win a race of this nature on his seasonal debut, carrying so much weight (set to carry 11st 6lb), but he's won all four starts at the track and, even more significantly, he has won first time out in every season that he's raced. He was also 5/1 favourite for last year's Welsh National, only to be pulled out on the eve of the race due to injury, and can race off an 11lb lower handicap mark this time. His trainer, Philip Hobbs, has laid him out for this, and that's good enough for me.
Welsh National Pick: One Knight @ 5/1 (already recommended at 7/1)
Hope you have a prosperous Christmas and New Year!
Nigel
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 15th, 2005
INDY 4/6 FOR SUPER BOWL...
Week 14, and another win for the Colts, although they didn't impress everyone with their play against Jacksonville. Peyton Manning was sacked a couple of times in positions where his offensive line should have done better. Still, with Indy now assured of playing all their postseason games indoors (homefield advantage in the playoffs, plus the Super Bowl at Ford Field, Detroit), we've cut them to 4/6 to go the distance. Seattle were also positive market movers (into 15/2 from 8/1), after destroying San Francisco on Sunday and, thanks to other teams tripping over each other, are just 6/5 to be the NFC's representatives in the Super Bowl. However, after a weekend of setbacks, some teams are facing much tougher tasks in the race for the other playoff positions.
JAGS 1/10 FOR WILD CARD...
'Setback Sunday' saw Carolina, Chicago and San Diego all suffer costly defeats, and the Chargers plight is worse due to their schedule, which includes a road game against the Colts this Sunday (Indy are early 7.5-point favourites) - but more of that later. As a consequence, Pittsburgh are right back in contention in the AFC, and their game against the Vikings this weekend will have serious playoff implications. Things also fell right for the Jags, despite their loss to Indy, and they now look nailed-on to get a wild-card, especially considering their easy run-in. Their final three opponents have won only seven games between them, starting with the 49ers (16 point underdogs!) at home this Sunday. In the NFC, most teams have similarly-hard tasks to make the elite half-dozen, with Atlanta looking to have most to do.
bet365 latest Conference Wild Card betting (to qualify for post-season via the NFL's wild card selection)
AFC – Jacksonville 1/10, Pittsburgh 4/6, San Diego 11/8, Kansas 6/4, Cincinnati 10/1, Miami, Denver, New England 20/1
NFC – Carolina 5/6, Dallas, Minnesota 10/11, Tampa Bay 11/10, NY Giants 11/4, Atlanta 5/1, Chicago 11/2, Washington 9/1
SAN DIEGO @ INDIANAPOLIS – CHARGERS TOO BIG AT 7.5...
Su Dec 18 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE
The time has arrived for the Colts to join the '72 Dolphins at 14-0, in a matchup of the AFC's highest-scoring teams. The Colts are currently 7.5-point favourites, with the total set at 51, but the bet has to be San Diego getting the points. For one, with only three games left, SD need this game badly just to stay in the playoff race, while Indy's priority might be to stay healthy now they've secured the No.1 spot. The Colts would surely take winning a Championship over going 14-0, let alone 16-0.
SD might also have the better team this weekend. Indy have played three teams in the top 15 for total offense, and they all scored well (Cincy scored 37, NE 21, St Louis 28). SD are 8th (3rd for scoring), but what seperates them from the other teams is their ability to play defense as well. They are No.1 at stopping the run, and that will force Peyton Manning to throw the ball more than he has done so far, making it tough for Indy to convert 3rd downs to keep possession. And, LaDainian Tomlinson and the San Diego offense could well catch a break this week with two of the Colt's best defenders, Corey Simon and Cato June, likely to sit the game out with minor injuries. The Colts are rightly favourites, but the number is just too big. Once the game starts, don't forget to check out our live markets, via our 'In-Play Console'.
Live Game Pick: San Diego (+7.5) @ 10/11
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS...
You know you shouldn't, but it's hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend's suggested parlay is on the following teams:
Chicago (-3.0); Carolina (-9.0); Oakland (-3.0); San Diego (+7.5) and Tampa Bay (+4.5) - all teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 15%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365...
You can't beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that's when our In-Play service kicks-in via our new 'In-Play Console', which has all the odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top left-hand side of the home page). This weekend's live games are:
TB Buccaneers @ NE Patriots
Sa Dec 17 – 1:30 pm EST/18:30 GMT
KC Chiefs @ NY Giants
Sa Dec 17 – 5:00 pm EST/21:30 GMT
SD Chargers @ IND Colts
Su Dec 18 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
DAL Cowboys @ WAS Redskins
Su Dec 18 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
ATL Falcons @ CHI Bears
Su Dec 18 – 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Monday)
GB Packers @ BAL Ravens
Mo Dec 19 – 9:00 pm EST/02:00 GMT (Tuesday)
Good luck in Week 15
GET READY FOR THE BOWL SEASON...
Arkansas State @ Southern Mississippi
Tu Dec 20 – 8:00 pm EST/01:00 GMT (Wednesday)
We're less than a week away from the start of the Bowl schedule, and we've got lines on all 28 games here at bet365. It all kicks off with the New Orleans Bowl next Tuesday, with Southern Mississippi listed as 17-point favourites against Arkansas State and, after being deprived of action for three weeks, college football fans are sure to be watching this one (live In-Play betting available). However, the four Bowl Championship Series games (Fiesta, Sugar, Orange and Rose) don't take place until early next year.
Since the series began in 1998, there have been 28 BCS games, with the favourites lying 19-9 straight up and 15-13 against the spread. If you're going to back the underdog, history shows you should be taking the money line – the 'dog has won outright nine of the 13 times it has covered the number, the biggest being Stamford (+14) in 1999. Also, you might be disappointed if you're looking for a close battle, as just 30% of the games have been decided by single figures. That's interesting, considering that none of this year's teams are giving up more than 7.5 points.
Texas @ Southern California
We Jan 4 - 8:00 pm EST/01:00 GMT (Thursday)
Florida State @ Penn State
Tu Jan 3 - 8:00 pm EST/01:00 GMT (Wednesday)
On January 4th, No. 1 Southern California will face No. 2 Texas in the Rose Bowl. This is the second BCS national title for USC in the last two years, and we've got them listed as 7-point favourites against the Longhorns. USC's head coach, Pete Carroll, is a perfect 3-0 both straight up and against the spread in BCS games. The Orange Bowl (Jan 2nd) pits the No.3 Penn State against ACC champions, Florida State, with the Nittany Lions as 7.5 point favourites.
West Virginia @ Georgia
Mo Jan 2 - 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Tuesday)
Notre Dame @ Ohio State
Mo Jan 2 - 4:30 pm EST/09:30 GMT
The Sugar Bowl has No.8 Georgia against No.11, and 7.5 point underdogs, West Virginia, while the most intriguing battle on paper is the Fiesta Bowl. No. 4 Ohio State and No. 5 Notre Dame will knock heads in the desert, with Ohio State currently listed as 4 point favourites. The Buckeyes have a great record in BCS bowls (3-0), including a 31-24 upset over Miami (FL) in 2003.
USA SIX LOOK MOSCONI MARVELS AT 8/11...
Normally, the USA team would be red-hot favourites for the annual Mosconi Cup competition, which starts in Las Vegas tonight, but the odds are a lot closer this time than in previous years. This is despite the USA side being defending champions and playing on their home soil. In fact, the USA have dominated this event, winning nine of the last 11 tournaments contested since 1994, although there has been little to split them in recent years.
In the past, the European squad has been weakened somewhat by the inclusion of several snooker 'stars' to make the event more palatable for a British audience. This time, with the likes of Davis, Higgins, O'Sullivan and White all absent, many bettors will feel that the European side is the best ever, and should even be favourites for glory. However, the USA still fields a formidable team, including four of the six players that beat Europe 12-9 in Holland last year, led by skipper Johnny Archer, Earl 'The Pearl' Strickland, and last year's MVP, Rodney Morris. The latter won eight of his nine Mosconi matches last time, and looks worth an interest at 5/1 in our 'Top Points Scorer' market (11/4 to be top USA points scorer)
Once the action goes live, you can still get a bet on the 'Match Winner' via our 'In-Play Console' but, be warned, this is one of the most volatile live betting markets, and the prices will be moving quicker than the balls on the blue baize.
Mosconi Cup Picks:
USA @ 8/11
Top Points Scorer - Rodney Morris @ 5/1
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel Ridgway.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that 'The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.' Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 14th, 2005
IT'S THE CHELSEA LATE SHOW...
Sunday December 18th, 4.00 ko, live on Sky Sports 1...
Arsenal will have their backers based on their 100 percent home record, but that has to be seen in the context of their previous opponents, none of whom were from the current top seven in the table. Successive away defeats (without scoring) against Bolton and Newcastle don't exactly inspire confidence either, so does that mean we should be lumping on Chelsea at 6/4. They're certainly going to be hard to beat. Their only defeat of the season came at Man United on November 6th, since when they've not even conceded a goal, let alone dropped a point.
If you are going to back them, it might be worth backing the Draw / Chelsea double result instead at 9/2. This combination has already come up trumps nine times in the Premiership, while Chelsea have yet to concede in the second half this season. However, the best bet looks to be 'under' goals at 8/11. Mourinho's main priority will be to deny Arsenal any chance to grab the points and cut into the massive Chelsea lead, which means scoring opportunities could be at a premium. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.
Arsenal v Chelsea Picks:
Draw / Chelsea @ 9/2
Under 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
TOFFEES TO NICK THE POINTS AT 2.10...
There won't be many goals in the Everton vs Bolton game either (currently 4/6 'under'). Nine of Bolton's last 11 games have been 'under', while Everton's home games average 1.33 goals, and a single goal for the home side could well be enough to nick the points. They've already beaten Bolton this season, and are playing much better now with three wins - plus a draw with Chelsea – from their last five games. They go into our Premiership acca this weekend along with Wigan, who are fancied to get back to winning ways against Charlton.
Charlton broke a losing run of their own last weekend, but that was against Sunderland and their defence still can't be trusted. Prior to last Saturday, the Addicks hadn't kept a clean sheet in 13 games, and the likes of Jason Roberts and Henri Camara should have no trouble finding a way through. Wigan certainly haven't been disgraced in their recent defeats, and this looks a great opportunity to get back to winning ways. Roberts is 11/2 to score first in the game, and that doesn't look bad value considering we'll give your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead.
Fulham are not obvious acca material based on their lowly position in the table, but a glance at their home performances tells a different story. Chris Coleman's side have already accounted for Liverpool, Man City and Bolton at Craven Cottage this season, and Saturday's opponents, Blackburn, are no bigger threats than those teams. Besides, Blackburn's away form is one of the least impressive in the Premiership, which makes the case for including Fulham even stronger.
Remarkably, there are only two odds-on chances on the coupon this weekend. Man City (4/5) should batter a poor Birmingham side, but Man United (8/11) can't be trusted right now, and are potential 'banana skins' away at Aston Villa. Instead, we'll stick to Everton, Wigan, Fulham and Man City, safe in the knowledge that we're nicking a bit of extra value with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus (up to 60% extra every weekend). In fact, I wouldn't put anyone off backing Villa, getting a half-goal start on our Asian Handicap (currently 2.10). This form of betting consistently throws up some excellent value, particularly as we bet to just 102%.
Weekend Best Bets:
Everton to beat Bolton @ 11/10
Wigan to beat Charlton @ 5/4
Fulham to beat Blackburn @ 13/10
Aston Villa @ 2.10 (+1/2, Asian Handicap)
5-fold: Everton, Wigan, Fulham, Man City - pays out £513.49 (£25 stake), which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%
LADALKO IS THE PICK OF WEIGHTS...
Weather permitting, there's plenty of racing action this weekend, and some excellent betting opportunities to help recoup the money spent on Christmas presents. In the totepool Handicap Chase at Windsor (1.40), Ladalko is no gift, but he has to be worth a bet off what looks an attractive handicap mark. The Paul Nicholls-trained runner is set to run off 10st 6lb, and he's undoubtedly the pick of the weights judged on his easy win at Newbury last time out. They key to that win was the step up to three miles, and even more improvement can be expected on the softer ground he's likely to encounter here. His trainer can certainly do nothing wrong at the moment (in contrast to his main rival Martin Pipe), and it was no surprise to see him well-backed to be Top National Trainer this season this week.
Another trainer in blinding form is Venetia Williams (14 winners from her last 29 runners!), and the stable just has to be followed right now. And she looks to have found another winning opportunity for Indalo in the three-and-a-half mile handicap chase at Haydock on Saturday (2.05). This one won three of his last four races last season, including one over the tricky Haydock fences, and he still looks well-treated here. He's also entered at Exeter on Thursday, and would be hard to beat there too.
On the same card, Jazz d'Estruval can take advantage of a good mark in the handicap hurdle (2.35). Things did not go to plan over fences last season for the talented grey, and a return to the smaller obstacles can do the trick, especially as he has a good record first time out. Both races are live on Channel 4 which means that bet365 customers who back either (or both!) of the winners, at 4/1 or bigger, can take advantage of a free bet to the same stake (up to £25) on the next live Channel 4 race.
DREVER IS DIFFERENT CLASS
In the Long Walk Hurdle (Windsor, 2.10), Inglis Drever is a class apart from his rivals and should win, albeit at short odds. Since winning on his debut at Wetherby, the current favourite for the World Hurdle at Cheltenham (6/4), has since beaten his old rival Barcouda at Newbury, and he looks unstoppable right now. The third at Newbury, Crystal D'Ainay, ran well enough in defeat and looks the one for forecast backers. Remember, if you take a price on your Showcast (fixed price forecast) here at bet365, we'll pay you the computer straight forecast if it's bigger.
On the same card, Miko de Beauchene is fancied to bounce back from a disappointing effort at Sandown last time out. He was well-backed that day but never really got into contention in a race that wasn't run to suit and, with conditions in his favour this time; he'll be hard to beat in the novice hurdle (2.40). Unfortunately, the BBC are showing live snooker instead of the race, but don't worry as you can watch the race live here at bet365. Just bet £5 on the race and click on the live stream next to the race.
Weekend Horse Racing Picks
Windsor: Ladalko (1.40); Inglis Drever (2.10); Miko de Beauchene (2.40)
Haydock: Indalo (2.05); Jazz d'Estruval (2.35)
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 8th, 2005
WEEK 13 REVIEW
14/1 BEARS UP TO EIGHT IN A ROW
Last week, I highlighted Chicago’s chances of winning the NFC, and they did nothing to dispel my confidence with a 19-7 win over Green Bay on Sunday, their eighth straight success. The Bears had not beaten the Packers since 1993, but once again their defence came up with the key plays, and they’re 9/2 to win the NFC Outright (from 11/2). Their awesome defence could take them a long way towards the Super Bowl (for which they are now 14/1), and should at least be able to secure them home field advantage in the divisional playoffs, before a trip to Seattle for the NFC Championship.
They’ll certainly provide the Seahawks with a much sterner test than Philadelphia, who were trashed 42-0 by Seattle (now 8/1 for the Super Bowl) in a snowstorm on Monday night. Other market movers were Carolina (8/1 from 12/1), who secured a vital victory over NFC South rivals Atlanta, and Pittsburgh (40/1 from 14/1), who are going in the other direction after a costly defeat to Cincinnati.
WEEK 14 PICKS
CHICAGO BEARS (+5.5) @ 10/11
The Bears can be our friends again this week against an overvalued Pittsburgh side, who are on the verge of falling out of contention at 7-5. The simple reason being that the Bears defence is just too good and, in a game that’s likely to be decided by a field goal, the 5.5 points are hard to resist.
Pick 1: Chicago (+5.5) @ 10/11
BUFFALO BILLS (+3.5) @ 10/11
The Bills are not obvious betting material only a week after collapsing against the Dolphins, and now taking on the Pats, who looked good when beating the Jets last week. However, the Bills are 26-9 at home ATS since 1980 coming off a loss, which makes them of interest this week getting 3.5 points.
Pick 2: Buffalo (+3.5) @ 10/11
HOME IN ON THE FAVOURITES
The feature of Week 13 was again the number of winning favourites (12 out of 15, 60% this season) and, in particular, the continuing trend for teams favoured by ten points or more to reward their supporters. Last week, it was the turn of Indy, San Diego and New England to cover double-figure handicaps, and we should see even more wide-margin lines in the coming weeks, as genuine playoff contenders match up with teams who’ve been eliminated from playoff contention. Perhaps it’s easier for the favourites to take these teams apart once they’ve given up for the season.
This week’s highest double-figure handicap favourites are Seattle (-16.0), San Diego (-13.5) and Denver (-14.0), and they all make some appeal against the likes of San Francisco, Miami and Baltimore respectively, as their opponents are out of the race and playing for pride. The next highest number is Cincinnati, who are currently 11.5-point favourites at home to the Browns. However, the Steelers could be on a mental letdown after their 38-31 win over Pittsburgh plus, it’s also an inter-state rivalry, so the Browns might be able to keep this one close.
Pick 3: Cleveland (+11.5) @ 10/11
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
We’ll be backing all our picks in singles (as serious bettors should), but it’s hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as you’re assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend’s suggested parlay is on the following teams:
Chicago (+5.5); Buffalo (+3.5); Cleveland (+11.5); San Diego (-13.5) and Denver (-14.0) - all teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 15%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can’t beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that’s when our In-Play service kicks-in via our new ‘In-Play Console’, which has all the odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top left-hand side of the home page). This weekend’s live games are:
IND Colts @ JAX Jaguars
Su Dec 11 - 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
NY Giants @ PHL Eagles
Su Dec 11 - 4:05 pm EST/21:05 GMT
KC Chiefs @ DAL Cowboys
Su Dec 11 - 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
DET Lions @ GB Packers
Su Dec 11 - 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Monday)
NO Saints @ ATL Falcons
Su Dec 12 - 9:00 pm EST/02:00 GMT (Tuesday)
Good luck in Week 14
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel Ridgway.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that 'The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.' Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 7th, 2005
LAST WEEK – BOLTON WON AT 10/3
ENGLAND 7/1 FOR GLORY AS SEEDS ARE SOWN
England received a big boost on Tuesday when they became one of the top eight seeds going into Friday’s World Cup draw. That wasn’t enough to change their outright price from 7/1, but a good draw on Friday could see that price come under pressure and, anyone considering backing the Three Lions to win in Germany, should seriously consider going in now. The worst case scenario for England could be the possibility of facing Holland, USA and Ivory Coast, and that would be a big improvement on the 2002 finals when they faced Argentina, Nigeria and Sweden in the Far East. The big losers from FIFA’s announcement were Holland, who are rated third in the world rankings but were not among the eight big boys. Instead they will go in with all the European non-seeds and, as a result, they’re 9/1 from 8/1 to claim their first World crown here at bet365.
NEWCASTLE V ARSENAL – GO FOR GOALS AT 8/11
Saturday December 10th, 5.15 ko, live on Sky Prem Plus
On the domestic front, Arsenal will be looking to get their Premiership campaign back on track at St James’ Park, after going down to Bolton last weekend (tipped here at 10/3). However, with their away form being so bad, it’s hard to be confident about their chances this weekend, so a more lucrative bet could be to go for goals.
Goals have been scored by both van Persie and Henry in four of Arsenal’s November games, and the Newcastle defence won’t provide them with much of a challenge. At the other end of the field, the returning Michael Owen has a good track record against Arsenal, and will fancy his chances of scoring against a side who’ve kept just the one clean sheet on the road this season. Once the game goes live, don’t forget to check out our 14 exciting live ‘In-Play’ markets.
Match Pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/11
BOLTON A SOLID 5/6 BET AT FORT REEBOK
Bolton did us proud last weekend, and we’re not going to desert them now they’re playing at home to Aston Villa this Saturday. Bolton’s style of play might not be that pretty to watch, but it certainly gets results, and their rise to sixth in the table is no fluke. They managed to keep another clean sheet last weekend against Arsenal, and that can’t be down to their opponents’ lack of scoring prowess alone. And, with the Villa defence leaking goals away from home, the Trotters look a solid bet at 5/6 at ‘Fort Reebok’.
They’re the cornerstone of our Premiership acca this weekend, along with Blackburn, who’ll be smarting after their surprise 2-0 defeat by Everton last weekend. That could spell trouble for the Hammers, who’ve not been great away from home this season. The treble is brought up by Spurs, who should give Portsmouth a good pasting at the Lane on Monday night, and pays out a respectable £132.41 for a £25 bet. The temptation is to include both Chelsea (1/5) and United (3/10), who look nailed on against Wigan and Everton respectively, especially as we’re assured of getting extra value with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus (up to 60% extra each week). The 5-fold pays out £227.22 for a £20 stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 10%.
However, I’d be wary of including Liverpool at our odds-on quote of 4/7. Their opponents, Middlesbrough, have a habit of raising their game against the better Premiership sides, as they showed when beating Arsenal and United, and they’re a speculative tip at 5/1 to win in 90 minutes (live betting available). But they can be more confidently backed at 2.10 getting a three-quarter ball start (half money back if they lose by only 1 clear goal) which, once again, shows the value of our Asian Handicap betting (bet to 102%).
Other Weekend Best Bets:
Bolton to beat Aston Villa @ 8/11
Blackburn to beat West Ham @ Evens
Tottenham to beat Portsmouth @ 4/9
Middlesbrough to beat Liverpool @ 2.10 (+3/4, Asian Handicap)
Treble - Bolton, Blackburn, Tottenham
5-fold - Bolton, Blackburn, Tottenham, Chelsea and Man United (subject to bet365 10% bonus)
HARCHIBALD TARGETS BULA
One of the most talked about horses in training, Harchibald, is likely to return to the scene of his agonising and controversial Champion Hurdle defeat on Saturday when he lines up for the televised Bula Hudle (3.15). He’s never been the sort of horse to have the mortgage on, but he has by far the best form figures going into the race and should be able to get his head in front. Perhaps the biggest challenge will come from one of last season’s star juveniles, with Penzance and Faasel – first and second in the Triumph Hurdle – both possible runners (live on Channel 4). The latter is also entered in the Relkeel Hurdle (1.30); however, my money will be on The Market Man, who thoroughly deserves his chance in this grade after a slick win at Newbury last time out. This race is not live on Channel 4, but that doesn’t stop you watching it live here at bet365. If you’re a bet365 customer (and you should be by now), just bet £5 and click on the live stream next to the race.
OUR VIC 11/4 FAV TO FOLLOW-UP
In the big betting race of the day, the Robin Cook Memorial Cup (2.40), I’m loathe to desert Our Vic, after he did us a big favour when landing the Paddy Power Gold Cup last month (won at 9/2). He’s undoubtedly the best horse in the race and probably has the class to carry 11st 12lb to victory (he’s certainly big enough to carry the weight), but he doesn’t exactly represent much value at the current price of 11/4. Perhaps he’ll drift on the day (like he did in the Paddy Power), in which case we might be able to back him at 4/1 or bigger, and take advantage of a free bet on the next live Channel 4 race (if he wins of course!). Our 4/1 Offer applies to all 6 live races from Cheltenham and Doncaster this weekend.
At this stage, there doesn’t appear to be anything further down the weights that is progressive or well-handicapped enough to trouble the favourite, although Redemption would be a threat if he stands up. He was cruising when taking a crashing fall in the race won by Our Vic and, one of these days, he’ll land a big one. However, I’d prefer to trust course ‘specialist’ Fondmort for the forecast bet. The Cheltenham regular has been nibbled at in the betting this week (8/1 from 10/1), and looks to have been laid out for this by his shrewd trainer, Nicky Henderson. If you’re having a forecast bet, remember to take our ‘Showcast’ price on the day, as we’ll pay you the starting price (CSF) is it’s bigger!
Robin Cook Pick: Our Vic @ SP (especially if 4/1 or bigger); Fondmort (Showcast)
7/1 KNIGHT CAN WIN ON NATIONAL BOW
Fork Lightning would be an interesting runner should he turn out for the 3m handicap at Cheltenham on Friday (1.20). The talented grey, was last seen on the track when dishing out a 2 length beating to Shardam at last years Festival, and he looks an ideal candidate for one of the big staying handicaps this season. His trainer, Alan King, is going great guns right now, and it wouldn’t be a massive surprise to see him go well on his reappearance, but this is surely a warm-up for the Welsh National at the end of this month (December 27th). He gets a bet365 20/1 quote for that race, and that has to be worth a few quid now, along with a more sizeable bet on the current 7/1 favourite, One Knight, who’ll be making his seasonal debut in the race.
The race is run at Chepstow, which attracts a large number of course specialists due to its gradients and frequently testing ground, and few horses have a better record than the selection. He has won all four starts at the track and, even more significantly, he has won first time out in every season that he’s raced. He was also 5/1 favourite for last year’s Welsh National, only to be pulled out on the eve of the race due to injury, and can race off an11lb lower mark this time. No wonder his trainer is making bullish remarks about his chances, and we should take the hint.
Welsh National Picks: One Knight @ 7/1; Fork Lightning @ 20/1
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» December 1st, 2005
ALL ROADS LEAD TO DETROIT – INDY EVENS FOR PERFECT RUN
I have to admit that (along with the majority of non-Indy fans) I had a sneaky feeling that Pittsburgh would end the Colts unbeaten run last Monday night, or at least cover the 8.5-point line. However, after becoming only the 11th team in NFL history to post an 11-0 record with 26-7 victory, we're now going Evens from 11/5 that Indy finish the season with a 16-0 record, to emulate the Dolphin's perfect season of 1972.
Pittsburgh had won their last nine meetings with Indianapolis, including playoffs, but the Colts' three best offensive players – Manning, James and Harrison – played in just one of those games, and they were the difference on Monday night. This weekend we've set the handicap line at 15 for their home game against Tennessee, with the total at a whopping 50.5. The next serious test for the Colts looks to be Jacksonville on the road in Week 14, but if they keep up their dominance, they'll be double-digit favourites no matter what team they face in the Super Bowl.
DENVER ONLY SECOND BEST TO COLTS AT 15/2
Indy were not the only team to improve their Super Bowl prospects last week, with Denver, in particular, impressing against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day, where Dallas played their A game but still came up short. The Broncos are in to 15/2 (from 12/1) and, as it stands right now, would have a home berth in the AFC divisional playoffs (along with Indy) against the highest ranked wild-card survivor.
In the NFC, Seattle would be top seeds following their win over the Giants. They were denied the honour of being the first team to secure a play-off spot when St Louis came back from the dead (ten points in the final minute!) to beat Houston. As you can imagine, our live betting, via the 'In-Play Console' was going crazy at this point.
BEARS DEFENCE SHUFFLING TO TOP OF NFC AT 11/2
Currently, the other NFC divisional play-off spot would go to Chicago. That might surprise a few people, but not 'in the game readers' who hopefully took my advice to back them at 7/2 for the NFC North. They're now trading at 1/8, so that's all-but cashed in, and I wouldn't put anyone off backing them at 11/2 to win the Conference outright. Their offence may not be that pretty (they're still 6th in the NFL at running the ball), but it's their No.1 ranked defence which stands out more than anything. The remaining schedule is very favourable too, so they could well end up at Seattle for a tilt at the NFC Championship. And we all saw what happened to the Seahawks against the Giants defence on Sunday!
NFC Conference Pick: Chicago @ 11/2
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
We'll be backing all our picks in singles (as serious bettors should), but it's hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend's suggested parlay is on the following teams:
Pittsburgh (-3.0); Jacksonville (-3.0); Dallas (+3.0); Atlanta (+3.0) and St Louis (+3.0) - all teams are currently priced at 10/11, and a $50 parlay pays out $730.59 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 15%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can't beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that's when our In-Play service kicks-in via our new 'In-Play Console', which has all the odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top left-hand side of the home page). This weekend's live games are:
Texas @ Colorado
Sa Dec 3 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
UCLA @ USC
Sa Dec 3 – 4:30 pm EST/09:30 GMT
Florida State vs Virginia Tech
Sa Dec 3 – 8:00 pm EST/01:00 GMT
ATL Falcons @ CAR Panthers
Su Dec 4 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
DAL Cowboys @ NY Giants
Su Dec 4 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
WAS Redskins @ STL Rams
Su Dec 4 – 4:05 pm EST/21:05 GMT
DEN Broncos @ KC Chiefs
Su Dec 4 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
OAK Raiders @ SD Chargers
Su Dec 4 – 8:30 pm EST/01:30 GMT (Monday)
SEA Seahawks @ PHL Eagles
Mo Dec 5 – 9:00 pm EST/02:00 GMT (Tuesday)
Good luck in Week 13
SKATE IN FOR LEAFS AT 25/1
We're a couple of months into the season, and we're already starting to see which teams are going to prosper in the new-look NHL. The Ottawa Senators are going great guns and are coming off a win over their arch-rivals Montreal. At 9/2, they're getting plenty of respect in our Stanley Cup betting too, but there are several teams who perhaps aren't getting the respect they deserve, and that allows us to take advantage of some fancy prices.
A couple of teams who look over-priced at this stage are the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Pittsburgh Penguins, available at 25/1 and 33/1 respectively. The Leafs have had two ways of playing, but they've won four of their last six games, so look to be improving. The most impressive thing about them has been their power play (second in the league with 23.3% efficiency) and, with a weak schedule ahead in the coming weeks, they can be expected to put up several wins. It could be worth taking the value now.
Despite several high-profile acquisitions during the off season, the Penguins have had a slow start to the season, but that could be due to the high number of rookies in the side. As these players adjust, the Penguins can be expected to improve as the season goes on. In fact, with so many good players in this squad (Mario Lemieux, Sidney Crosby and Mark Recchi), it can only be a question of time before the Penguins explode into form, and the 33/1 could look massive value in a few weeks time.
Of course, betting on futures is not for everyone, but these teams are often under-valued in our weekly game betting, so NHL bettors can take the value here too. However, you can't beat the adrenaline rush of a live game, and that's when our 'In-Play Console' comes in with 'Puck Line' and 'Game Total' betting. This Friday's live NHL game is the Carolina Hurricanes @ Dallas Stars (start time 8.30pm EST).
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel Ridgway.
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that 'The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.' Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» November 30th, 2005
EARN YOUR SPURS AT 9/4
Last week's Premiership matches provided no shocks at the top of the table, with all the big guns winning to justify odds-on quotes in their matches. After the early exploits of Wigan, the top of the table has a familiar look about it. With their ten-point lead, Chelsea are obviously long odds on-shots (1/16), with Man United (10/1) and Arsenal (14/1) filling the next two places. The outright market may be dead and buried, but you can still grab some value with our betting 'Without the top three' market. Here, Tottenham look the pick at 9/4. They've got Liverpool to beat, but the Merseysiders are still having problems scoring, while Spurs can rely on a wealth of talent up front.
With the big guns all going in last week, it was good news to all bet365 customers who combined them in accumulator bets, especially as they were assured of getting extra value with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus (up to 60% extra each week). This weekend, we could have more of the same, with the likes of Chelsea, United and Spurs all looking nailed-on against inferior opposition at 1/4, 1/5, and 1/3 respectively. It might be tempting to include both Arsenal and Liverpool in that list, but bettors should approach these games with more caution.
LIVERPOOL V WIGAN – LIVE BETTING AVAILABLE
Sa Dec 3 – 12.45 ko (SS1)
Liverpool look to have turned around their relatively disappointing start to the season, but still look under-priced at 8/15 to beat Wigan. Home wins against Sunderland, Blackburn, West Ham and Portsmouth won't exactly strike fear into the Latics, who've shown themselves more than capable of holding their own against the 'better' Premiership sides, and they can come away from Anfield with a point. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.
Liverpool v Wigan - Draw @ 5/2
BOLTON V ARSENAL
Arsenal have been in fine form at home this season, but it's been a different story on the road. Their only win was a 3-2 thriller at Wigan, with the Latics constantly threatening to get back into the contest, and Bolton's more physical approach will provide them with an even sterner test. In fact, Arsenal have always had problems against Bolton, winning only one of their last four matches at the Reebok, including a 1-0 defeat at the end of last season.
Bolton to beat Arsenal @ 10/3
Our weekend acca is completed by West Brom, who must be backed at 11/8 to beat a Fulham side who've been woeful on the road this season (just 2 points from a possible 21), which gives us a tidy return of £2161.25 (£25 stake) on our 6 selections, including a bet365 bonus of £360.21.
Suggested Premiership Acca:
Chelsea (1/4), Man United (1/5), Tottenham (1/3), Wigan to Draw (5/2), Bolton (10/3) and West Brom (11/8) – pays £2161.25 (£25 stake)
'HOUDINI' SHEARER 9/2 TO SEE RED THIS SEASON
Here at bet365, we like to spice up the season with a vast array of novelty bets, and the latest may strike a chord with some of our Geordie customers. After news that Newcastle skipper Alan Shearer will face no action over his clash with Everton's David Weir, we make Shearer a 9/2 shot to get sent off this season. Although he has received plenty of cards during his career, only two of them have been red, and it wouldn't be a surprise to see referees taking pity on him in his final season.
BEAU AN ABLE DEPUTY FOR FLYER AT 9/2
This year's Tingle Creek Chase (2.35) from Sandown is devoid of any big names, especially now that Moscow Flyer has been scratched, but that shouldn't detract from what looks a fascinating contest. The betting is headed by the Paul Nicholls-trained Kauto Star, at 7/4, who deserves to be favourite on his excellent first time out second to Monkerhostin at Exeter. The winner has since run with great credit in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, which gives the form a solid look, but he's no certainty at the weights to beat the Exeter third, Ashley Brook, who re-opposes on 9lb better terms for a 9-length beating.
The latter is also the confirmed ride of Tony McCoy and represents the better value of the two at 7/2, but they could both be beaten by the Irish-trained Rathgar Beau, should he be given the go-ahead to run. No decision will be made until later in the week, but his trainer has said he'll only run him if he thinks he can win, and that'll be a tip in itself. He's certainly got the form in the book, having beating Moscow Flyer in April after running a blinder at Cheltenham. He was beaten by War of Attrition on his reappearance this season (no disgrace), a race that would have put him spot-on for this, and his ability to stay 2m 4f will also be in favour in what is likely to be a strongly-run 2m.
Tingle Creek Pick: Rathgar Beau @ 9/2 (current) – if absent Ashley Brook
The race is the feature of Channel 4's coverage on Saturday (6 races from Sandown & Wetherby), which means that any bet365 customer clever enough to back a winner at 4/1 or bigger can take advantage of a free bet to the same stake (up to £25 ) on the next live race.
Up at Haydock, Horus must not be missed in the Tommy Whittle Chase on his seasonal reappearance. That's the best time to catch him, as all his wins have come first time out at this time of the year, including in a 3m handicap on this course last season. Neither race is due to be screened live on TV but, don't worry, as you can always watch the race live here at bet365. Just bet £5 and click on the live stream next to the race. Another potential winner on the card is The Cool Guy in the closing novice hurdle (3.35). A top bumper winner last season, he started this with an easy win at Uttoxeter on his hurdling debut, where he looked a very promising horse. He's also entered at Chepstow (1.05), but he'll be hard to beat wherever he runs.
CLARK 14/1 TO SHINE AT SUN CITY
Th Dec 1 - 9.00 BST (SS1)
Fr Dec 2 - 9.00 BST (SS1)
Sa Dec 3 - 9.30 BST (SS3)
Su Dec 4 - 9.30 BST (SS3)
You're taking a chance on the fitness of Ernie Els if you back him for this week's Nedbank Challenge, played at Sun City, South Africa. However, all the reports (including on his own website) suggest that he's fully fit on his first competitive outing since damaging his knee in early August and, if he plays anything near his best, the rest may as well stay at home. The 'Big Easy' has always considered this tournament as one of his favourites, giving it 100% every time he tees up, resulting in three victories. The fitness doubts do at least ensure that he's not favourite to win this week (for a change), with that honour going to fellow South African Retief Goosen.
The 'Goose' would be a major contender if he was at his best, but he wasn't exactly making positive noises about his swing during last week's Nelson Mandela Invitational, where he was outplayed by compatriot, Tim Clark, and he can be swerved at 10/3. Considering the wealth of international talent that lines up for this annual event, the home nation have an incredibly good record, having provided the winner 12 times in the last 19 years, and Clark is no stranger to success in his homeland either, having won the South African Open twice. At 14/1, he represents superb each-way value this week, but we'll also be having a saver on Ernie at 9/2. And, don't worry if you don't mange to get a bet on before the start, as we'll live betting available via our 'In-Play Console'.
Nedbank Challenge Picks: Tim Clark @ 14/1 (1/4 odds, 1.2.3), Ernie Els @ 9/2
Get in the game and be lucky!
Nigel
Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times are subject to change. Check local listings for TV coverage on these event.
Nigel Ridgway, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune.
Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com.

bet365 - International Sportsbook, Casino and Poker - UK licensed since 1974.
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» November 24th, 2005
This week's article brought to you by Allan Drost
LAST WEEKS WINNING PARLAY-PICKS – INDIANAPOLIS (-5.5), DALLAS (-8.0), CHICAGO (+3.0) AND CLEVELAND (-2.0) - ONLY GREEN BAY (-4.5) LOST IN OT!
PEAKING AT THE RIGHT TIME
Several teams seem to have stepped their game up a gear at a very crucial time of the season, namely when the playoff spots are being disputed between the various contenders. Obviously Indy still standout as favourites on bet365 to receive the jewellery at Super Bowl XL in Detroit on Feb 5th. Currently the 8-2 Broncos look the biggest challengers from the AFC but don't forget the rejuvenated Steelers who will welcome back QB Roethlisberger for the Monday night football clash. This together with visiting the Seahawks on Christmas Eve might well prove the biggest obstacles to making history with a perfect 16-0 run.
Personally I don't fancy them to do it as motivation and injury concerns are known to play their part come Christmas time - time will tell. Speaking of Seattle they are already asking serious questions of the other teams in the NFC, although the Buccaneers, the Bears and the Cowboys are currently on streaks that would suggest it to be a good idea to keep them in mind, at least for a division title.
NEW YORK GIANTS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
BET LIVE IN PLAY – Su Nov 27 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
This proves to be a cracking contest between two of the best teams in the NFC so far this season. Interestingly, in their 5 home games so far, the Seahawks have only met 2 teams with a winning percentage above the .500 mark, and both have been very close contests (Hawks-Cowboys 13-10 in week 7 and Hawks-Falcons 21-18 in week 2).
Still, I won't hesitate to pick Seahawks here for several reasons: First off, a 7-2 overall record along with 6 straight wins and a perfect 5-0 home record doesn't lie; the team has averaged 28 points per game at home against the Giants average score-line away from home of 20 points. No visiting team has managed to put more than a maximum of 20 points on the board at Qwest field, and last but not least there is a difference in experience at the QB-position where young Eli Manning has thrown nine interceptions against Hasselbeck's five and recorded six fumbles against Hasselbeck's three.
With the Seahawks defence having stepped their game up a gear this season and Shaun Alexander providing the Seahawks offence with an alternative option when finding themselves in a third-and-short situation, I am confident that the Seahawks will cover the 4.5 point margin in this live match-up where they can secure the NFC West division title if they win and the Rams lose to the Texans. (live betting available via our 'In-Play Console').
Pick 1: Seattle (-4.5) @ -110.
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ KC CHIEFS
BET LIVE IN PLAY – Su Nov 27 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
The three-fold Super Bowl winners from New England are very lucky to find themselves in probably the weakest of the AFC divisions so, in spite of a pretty mediocre season this far they are well on their way to the division title and a place in the Playoffs. The normally rock-solid Pat's defence have struggled this season, allowing more points on average than the amount being scored by Brady and the rest of the offensive line (Patriots average score-line for the season is 22.7 points for and 25.3 points against).
However, the Patriots defensive line does seem strengthened, following the return of all-important line-backer Teddi Bruschi who has helped the team to win 3 of the last 4 games after returning from injury. On Sunday they are facing the Chiefs who hold a 3-1 home record, but its worth noting that the Chiefs have yet to play a winning team at Arrowhead. The Patriots have been given a 3 points start and this together with the fact that the Chiefs boat have seemed very rocky lately, clearly demonstrated in week 10 where they only managed a single field goal on the scoreboard against Buffalo may be the reason why punters are currently lumping on New England +3, which we've had to adjust from -110 to -115.
Pick 2: New England (+3.0) @ +125.
However, the value seems to be even bigger on the 'Total points' market in the same match, where the line is currently set to a massive 51 @ -110. If we take a look at the average points scored by the two teams, this suggests a total around the 46 points mark (Patriots averages 22 points scored per game whereas the Chiefs average 24 points per game). In terms of average points allowed per game, the picture is no different, since the Patriots defence on average allow 25 points against per game with the number for the Chiefs being 21. Both teams have only once in their last five games recorded more than 51 total match points and with the Patriots defence strengthened after Bruschi's return its hard to see the reason for the line at 51 in this match which you can bet on live via our brand new live 'In-Play Console'.
New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs - Under 51 points @ -110
PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
BET LIVE IN PLAY – Mo Nov 28 – 9:00 pm (ABC)/Tu Nov 29 – 02:00 GMT
The Monday night game features a classic match-up between two of the hottest contenders for the AFC title, when the Colts host the Steelers who will likely welcome back Big Ben Roethlisberger at the QB position. With an outstanding firework of offence, the Colts out-scored the Bengals in an emphatic first half on Sunday night, but as it has been the case in recent weeks, the Indy defence did not slam the door shot allowing a close game until very late in the third.
Looking at the last five games, Indy are giving up 24.6 defensive points on average, with teams like the Texans scoring 17 and 20 points and the Rams putting up 28 points against them before only a super display by Manning and his receivers was enough to see off Bengal's 37 points on Sunday. Big Ben will be likely to exploit such defensive gaps and personally I think that this could make this game a lot tighter than most people think. Steelers are 7-3 for the season and 4-1 on the road, and its worth mentioning that they have won the last 9 straight games against the Colts, four of them with coach Bill Cowher calling the shots on the sideline. Surely the recent defensive display from the Colts along with Big Ben's return does not justify a line of 8.5 points, and I would not even rule out the big upset. However I will remain sensible and recommend Steelers on the handicap in this Monday night football clash which you can also bet on live through our 'In-Play Console'.
Pick 3: Pittsburgh Steelers (+8.5) @ -110.
GET MORE BACK FOR HITTING YOUR PARLAYS
We'll be backing all our picks in singles (as serious bettors should), but it's hard to resist a speculative parlay wager each weekend, especially as you're assured of getting an extra value here at bet365 with our Parlay Bonus. Each week, we pay out up to 50% more on successful NFL & NCAAF parlays on the following 6 markets:
Point Spread, Game Total, First Half Point Spread, Second Half Point Spread, First Half Total, Second Half Total.
This weekend's suggested parlay is on the following teams:
Seattle (-4.5); NE Patriots @ KC Chiefs (under 51 points); PIT Steelers (+8.5) TB Buccaneers (-3.0). All teams apart from Tampa Bay are currently priced at -110 (TB Buccaneers at +105), and a $50 parlay pays out $785.63 - which includes a bet365 bonus of 10%
BET IT LIVE WITH 365
You can't beat the adrenaline rush of the live game, and that's when our In-Play service kicks in via our new 'In-Play Console', which has all the odds and markets on one convenient page (just click on the link on the top left-hand side of the home page). With the Thanksgiving match-up's bet365 will cover an additional two live NFL games this week, so there is no excuse for missing out, since you will have the option to bet on a massive 6 games live In-Play! This week's live games are:
ATL Falcons @ DET Lions
Live betting – Th Nov 24 – 12:30 pm EST/17:30 GMT
DEN Broncos @ DAL Cowboys
Live betting – Th Nov 24 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
NE Patriots @ KC Chiefs
Live betting – Su Nov 27 – 1:00 pm EST/18:00 GMT
NY Giants @ Seattle Seahawks
Live betting – Su Nov 27 – 4:15 pm EST/21:15 GMT
NO Saints @ NY Jets
Live betting – Su Nov 27 – 8:30 pm EST/Mo Nov 28 - 01:30 GMT
PIT Steelers @ IND Colts
Live betting – Mo Nov 28 – 9:00 pm EST (ABC)/Tu Nov 29 – 02:00 GMT
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bet365 - Get Into the Game with Nigel Ridgway
» November 23rd, 2005
This week's article brought to you by Mark Henderson
CHELSEA TO DISAPPEAR INTO THE BLUE YONDER @ 10/3
Sa Nov 26 – 5.15 ko (PremPlus)
Chelsea look the bankers of the weekend, as they travel to struggling Portsmouth. Even Perry Mason couldn't make a case for Pompey, who have failed to win at home so far this season. Chelsea's mini dip in form was exorcised last week when they beat Newcastle 3-0 (Joe Cole's a tasty 7/1 to score first again), but they had to wait until the second half to break down the Magpies defence. This shouldn't have come as a surprise though. In Chelsea's 11 wins so far this season, they have failed to lead at halftime on six occasions.
In contrast, Pompey tend to be stronger in the first half. Despite their poor results, they have only been behind at the break five times in thirteen games, and that includes the Sunderland match where they came back to win 4-1. I can see Portsmouth hanging on until half-time, maybe by parking the team bus in front of goal, but once their defence is breached, it could open the floodgates. Better teams than Pompey have been blown away by the Blue Machine this year, and there's an attractive 21/20 about Chelsea giving up a goal start.
Live Game Pick:
Draw Half-time / Chelsea Full-time @ 10/3
Chelsea to win 3-0 @ 8/1
BLUES TO PUNCH SUNDERLAND'S LIGHTS OUT @ 7/4
Last week was only the third occasion that the 'big three' all won on the same weekend this season, but it could be more of the same this time around. We've already outlined Chelsea's credentials, and Arsenal (4/11) look hard to resist at home to Blackburn. The Gunners have a 100% record at Highbury this season and have conceded only twice.
Blackburn (8/1) did manage the upset of the season so far, turning over Manchester United at Old Trafford in September, but it may be asking too much of them to repeat that feat. Manchester United (8/11) make up the 'big three' trio, and should have too much for inconsistent West Ham. The Hammers (4/1) have never beaten United in the Premiership at Upton Park, and this game may have just come at the wrong time for Alan Pardew's men, as United look to be running into form. They'll be disappointed with the result against Villarreal in midweek, but the Spanish came with a game plan and weren't looking for anything other than the draw. On the balance of play, United were unlucky not to get anything out of the game. It wasn't that long ago we were all wondering how long Fergie could hang on to his job for, but wins against Chelsea and Charlton have sent a clear message to the rest of the Premiership that United are back.
Birmingham can give Steve Bruce a much-needed boost by overcoming Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Both of these teams have lost five in a row, but Birmingham will be the more optimistic going into this match. The Blues possess players of genuine Premiership class, but the same can't be said for Sunderland. Relegation rivals Portsmouth and Aston Villa both visited Wearside recently, and both left with maximum points, and the 7/4 about Birmingham looks too good to miss. The Black Cats (6/4 to win on Saturday) are without a home win all season, and there's been nothing in recent weeks to suggest a change in fortune is just around the corner. A £25 acca on our four fancied teams pays out £229.65, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% available every weekend).
Premiership Accumulator:
Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd & Birmingham – pays £229.65 (£25 Stake)
MacGILL TO PUT THE WINDIES IN A SPIN @ 9/1
Fr Nov 25 – Tu Nov 29 – 12.30 am (SS2)
As England continue their tour of Pakistan, there's a slightly more one-sided (though no less interesting) Test series going on in Australia. The Baggy Greens already lead the series 2-0, going into the final test in Adelaide which starts on Friday. The omens are not good for the West Indies. They're dogged by infighting, Lara is out of form, and Australia have won 11 of the last 13 contests between these two, so it's not surprising they're quoted at 1/6. There's always value if you look hard enough, and for me Stuart MacGill at 9/1 for man of the match is a standout bet.
MacGill has the best strike rate of any modern spin bowler, better even than Warne and Muralitharan, yet is often overlooked by the selectors. His line and length may not be as consistent as Shane Warne's but in the 11 Test matches they've played in together, MacGill has taken more wickets on no fewer than nine occasions. Adelaide is traditionally a spinning pitch, and don't worry about Australia's reputation for not competing in dead rubbers. They have a point to prove to their public after losing the Ashes, and with Clarke, Gillespie and Martyn now seemingly out of the picture, competition is hot for the forthcoming visit of South Africa.
Australia v West Indies (3rd Test) Pick:
Stuart MacGill – Man of the Match @ 9/1
HARALD CAN BE KING OF THE CHASERS @ 8/1
Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup
Sa Nov 26 – 2.40 pm
Another high-class chase takes place this weekend at Newbury, the Hennessy Cognac Gold Cup. The usual suspects will have us all checking our Ten-to-Follow entries, Trabolgan, Comply or Die and Our Vic to name but three. The former is a top class performer, winner of the Royal and Sun Alliance Chase at Cheltenham, but the criteria for winning the Hennessy is usually a light-weight, preferably under 11 stone, and Nicky Henderson's runner may end up topping the weights. All the money this week has been for the Martin Pipe-trained runner Comply Or Die, who is now trading at 6/1 second favourite (behind 7/2 Trabolgan) and given Pipe's record in this race and recent good form, this one is | | |